Western Mich.

MAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 301 · Raw net -8.9 · Tempo 69.0 · 29 Division I games · Through 2026-03-06

Record: 9–20; 9 wins
AdjNet: -7.6β; rank 273 of 365
AdjO: 106.8β; rank 203 of 365
AdjD: 114.4β; rank 318 of 365
AdjT: 68.7β
SOS: -0.0β; rank 165 of 363
NCSOS: -0.2β
WAB: -13.1β; rank 282 of 363
RR: -0.8β
Exp. W: 9.8β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	106.6213	115.5330	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	49.9239	54.4309	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.9197	13.4346	16.7
Offensive rebound %	30.5177	29.1109	30.6
FTA / FGA %	32.8241	37.5251	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.395	36.1306	33.9
2P%	48.1306	54.5296	51.7
FT%	74.4106	69.740	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	36.1	43.7	39.5
Assists / FGM %	48.2	53.8	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.6	12.0	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	30.8	35.1	31.4
2-pointers %	49.6	45.5	48.8
Free throws %	19.6	19.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 10.6
Top Three Share of Minutes: 38%
Bench Share of Minutes: 43%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Coastal Carolina	W 76–71	75.6	Home	1–0
11-09	Campbell	L 82–91	80.4	Away	1–1
11-12	Purdue Fort Wayne	W 83–71	75.9	Home	2–1
11-16	South Dakota	L 78–83	68.8	Away	2–2
11-20	Ohio St.	L 58–91	72.5	Away	2–3
11-23	Mount St. Mary's	W 83–60	67.9	Home	3–3
11-29	Valparaiso	L 55–84	65.0	Away	3–4
12-03	Southern Ind.	W 88–74	72.4	Home	4–4
12-06	SIUE	W 83–73	68.1	Away	5–4
12-14	Iowa	L 51–91	64.3	Away	5–5
12-20	Buffalo	L 71–88	65.6	Home	5–6
12-30	Toledo	L 79–84	70.9	Away	5–7
01-06	Miami (OH)	L 76–87	73.8	Away	5–8
01-10	Eastern Mich.	W 79–62	66.3	Home	6–8
01-13	Massachusetts	L 82–85	67.5	Home	6–9
01-17	Akron	L 89–104	68.0	Away	6–10
01-20	Bowling Green	L 54–72	66.5	Home	6–11
01-24	Central Mich.	W 77–65	68.0	Home	7–11
01-27	NIU	L 65–85	60.8	Away	7–12
02-03	Ohio	L 71–91	69.2	Away	7–13
02-07	Texas St.	L 61–77	64.3	Away	7–14
02-11	Toledo	L 79–90	68.7	Home	7–15
02-14	Eastern Mich.	W 76–62	64.6	Away	8–15
02-17	Akron	L 73–90	67.9	Home	8–16
02-21	Central Mich.	L 70–83	74.5	Away	8–17
02-24	Bowling Green	W 88–79	73.0	Away	9–17
02-27	Miami (OH)	L 67–69	68.2	Home	9–18
03-03	Ball St.	L 71–74 1OT	71.7	Home	9–19
03-06	Kent St.	L 78–86	70.2	Away	9–20

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 29 of 29 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
EJ Ryans	29	27:18	68.0%	224	50	56	15	2	33	64	49–106	46.2%	29–90	32.2%	39–44	88.6%	47.2%	52.0%	22.4%	5	29:15 +1:56	71.3%	9.6 +1.9
Jayden Brewer	29	25:22	63.1%	374	198	30	23	27	51	46	121–256	47.3%	11–36	30.6%†	99–141	70.2%	47.1%	52.8%	48.3%	5	32:32 +7:10	79.4%	17.8 +4.9
Max Burton	28	24:48	59.6%	154	140	49	5	15	34	63	62–126	49.2%	0–2	0.0%†	30–44	68.2%	48.4%	52.3%	34.4%	4	18:35 −6:12	36.3%	3.5 −2.0
Jalen Griffith	25	22:19	47.9%	283	39	84	15	0	42	46	55–119	46.2%	43–109	39.4%	44–53	83.0%	52.4%	56.3%	23.2%	3	12:18 −10:01	18.0%	5.7 −5.7
Justice Williams	18	29:54	46.2%	271	64	35	11	0	28	30	59–125	47.2%	32–88	36.4%	57–67	85.1%	50.2%	55.9%	31.5%	5	30:44 +0:50	75.0%	13.4 −1.7
Trey Lewis	29	17:31	43.6%	232	77	13	6	6	21	56	28–56	50.0%	50–127	39.4%	26–35	74.3%	56.3%	58.5%	19.1%	5	22:15 +4:44	54.3%	8.0 0.0
Brady Swartz	23	20:55	41.3%	177	104	6	6	3	8	49	29–60	48.3%	29–85	34.1%	32–47	68.1%	50.0%	53.4%	32.4%	1	27:18 +6:23	13.3%	10.0 +2.3
Carson Vis	29	14:46	36.7%	169	64	21	15	3	18	24	45–91	49.5%	14–46	30.4%†	37–58	63.8%	48.2%	52.0%	42.3%	5	19:01 +4:15	46.4%	9.6 +3.8
Sharod Barnes	26	12:26	27.7%	85	42	32	13	1	37	45	20–56	35.7%†	1–8	12.5%†	42–51	82.4%	33.6%†	49.2%†	79.7%†	5	16:36 +4:10	40.5%	5.2 +1.9
Michael Sulaka	22	11:02	20.8%	59	46	12	1	7	10	37	23–44	52.3%†	1–3	33.3%†	10–15	66.7%†	52.1%†	55.0%†	31.9%†	5	16:37 +5:35	40.5%	2.6 −0.1
Declan Peterson	25	9:12	19.7%	53	58	13	3	7	23	47	24–39	61.5%†	0–0	—	5–9	55.6%†	61.5%†	61.7%†	23.1%†	4	5:56 −3:16	11.6%	0.0 −2.1
Hudson Ward	11	18:51	17.8%	55	37	9	7	3	4	21	14–22	63.6%†	9–25	36.0%†	0–2	0.0%†	58.5%†	57.4%†	4.3%†	—	—	—	—
Junior SileuFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	8	6:13	4.3%	2	9	1	0	0	1	9	1–2	50.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	50.0%†	50.0%†	0.0%†	3	7:56 +1:43	11.6%	0.7 +0.4
Nicholas ErricaFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	3:54	1.3%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	1–1	100.0%†	1–4	25.0%†	0–0	—	50.0%†	50.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	29 games			2143	1041	362	not published	74	340	not published	531–1103	48.1%	220–623	35.3%	421–566	74.4%	49.9%	54.3%	32.8%
Sum of players				2143	928	361	120	74	311	538	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+113	+1	not published	0	+29	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $295K; 80% Range $105K to $770K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $235K to $320K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
EJ Ryans	68.1%	$23K	$2K to $89K	10.9%	$19K to $25K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jayden Brewer	65.4%	$61K	$16K to $230K	18.4%	$49K to $66K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Max Burton	59.8%	$19K	$2K to $74K	9.5%	$15K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalen Griffith	48.0%	$19K	$2K to $66K	8.7%	$15K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Justice Williams	46.3%	$33K	$9K to $110K	10.6%	$26K to $35K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trey Lewis	43.4%	$10K	$1K to $44K	5.2%	$8K to $10K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brady Swartz	40.0%	$23K	$5K to $78K	8.7%	$19K to $25K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Carson Vis	37.0%	$11K	$1K to $48K	5.6%	$9K to $13K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sharod Barnes	28.3%	$4K	$1K to $21K	1.1%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Michael Sulaka	20.9%	$8K	$2K to $28K	3.7%	$6K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Declan Peterson	19.5%	$9K	$2K to $31K	4.0%	$7K to $10K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Hudson Ward	17.7%	$13K	$3K to $44K	4.5%	$11K to $15K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Junior Sileu	4.5%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Nicholas Errica	1.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$295K	$105K to $770K	100%	$235K to $320K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Western Michigan University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,375,653	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,375,653
Athletics department expenses	$43,722,663
Athletics department revenue	$43,722,663

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 29 games, 2,010 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,143	2,322
Field goals made	751	800
Field goals attempted	1,726	1,722
3-pointers made	220	272
3-pointers attempted	623	753
Free throws made	421	450
Free throws attempted	566	646
Offensive rebounds	314	298
Defensive rebounds	727	715
Total rebounds	1,041	1,013
Assists	362	430
Blocks	74	132
Turnovers	340	269
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 120.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 538.
Minutes (derived)	5,825	not published

29 of 29 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,143	2,143	0	±10.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	751	751	0	±3.8	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,726	1,726	0	±8.6	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	220	220	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	623	623	0	±3.1	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	421	421	0	±2.1	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	566	566	0	±2.8	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,041	928	+113	±83.3	0
Assists	Reconciled	362	361	+1	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	74	74	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	340	311	+29	±10.2	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	120	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	538	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,825	5,804	+21.4	±116.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
EJ Ryans	68.1%	-0.8range -2.6 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Jayden Brewer	65.4%	+1.0range -0.5 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Max Burton	59.8%	-0.9range -2.0 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Jalen Griffith	48.0%	-0.7range -1.7 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Justice Williams	46.3%	+0.3range -0.4 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Trey Lewis	43.4%	-1.5range -2.9 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Brady Swartz	40.0%	-0.1range -1.1 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Carson Vis	37.0%	-1.0range -2.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Sharod Barnes	28.3%	-3.0range -4.0 to -2.1Sufficient evidence
Michael Sulaka	20.9%	-0.8range -1.7 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Declan Peterson	19.5%	-0.4range -1.2 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Hudson Ward	17.7%	+0.2range -0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Junior Sileu	4.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Nicholas Errica	1.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.8range +7.9 to +9.8Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

12 valued players hold 98.9% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value