Missouri St.

CUSA · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 209 · Raw net -1.9 · Tempo 66.3 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-13

Record: 13–18; 13 wins
AdjNet: -2.3β; rank 212 of 365
AdjO: 108.3β; rank 172 of 365
AdjD: 110.7β; rank 236 of 365
AdjT: 66.5β
SOS: -0.9β; rank 193 of 363
NCSOS: -0.6β
WAB: -11.7β; rank 256 of 363
RR: -1.4β
Exp. W: 14.4β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	108.4175	110.3227	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	51.1190	52.0217	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.7178	16.9158	16.7
Offensive rebound %	32.0124	32.1261	30.6
FTA / FGA %	43.812	40.2304	35.0
Shooting
3P%	33.0236	34.4209	33.9
2P%	52.2160	52.3214	51.7
FT%	67.3338	71.9149	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	41.3	35.8	39.5
Assists / FGM %	56.6	49.8	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	8.7	13.7	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	31.0	27.7	31.4
2-pointers %	46.6	50.5	48.8
Free throws %	22.4	21.7	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.0
Top Three Share of Minutes: 49%
Bench Share of Minutes: 25%
Players with Logged Minutes: 12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-11	Arkansas St.	L 85–86	79.7	Home	0–1
11-15	UT Arlington	L 49–67	68.2	Away	0–2
11-22	UTRGV	W 74–67	63.2	Home	1–2
11-24	LIU	L 61–75	62.7	Home	1–3
12-06	Tulsa	L 74–98	67.1	Away	1–4
12-12	Xavier	L 57–75	63.4	Away	1–5
12-16	Oral Roberts	W 63–62	63.5	Home	2–5
12-23	Lindenwood	W 70–65	68.8	Home	3–5
12-29	Delaware	W 61–43	60.3	Away	4–5
01-02	UTEP	W 79–55	57.9	Home	5–5
01-04	New Mexico St.	W 89–82	71.2	Home	6–5
01-07	Kennesaw St.	L 80–90	74.5	Away	6–6
01-10	FIU	W 79–71	71.4	Home	7–6
01-14	Western Ky.	L 72–87	66.1	Away	7–7
01-17	Middle Tenn.	L 87–90 2OT	76.1	Away	7–8
01-22	New Mexico St.	W 84–75	64.7	Away	8–8
01-24	UTEP	W 62–57	64.5	Away	9–8
01-28	Sam Houston	L 71–80	68.8	Home	9–9
01-31	Jacksonville St.	W 74–67	68.4	Home	10–9
02-07	Liberty	L 76–79	67.3	Away	10–10
02-12	Louisiana Tech	L 78–79 2OT	85.9	Home	10–11
02-14	Delaware	L 67–76	62.8	Home	10–12
02-18	Kennesaw St.	L 87–91	72.3	Home	10–13
02-21	FIU	L 67–70	67.2	Away	10–14
02-26	Louisiana Tech	L 70–72	66.4	Away	10–15
02-28	Sam Houston	L 81–86	67.6	Away	10–16
03-05	Western Ky.	W 87–74	66.5	Home	11–16
03-07	Middle Tenn.	L 63–75	66.3	Home	11–17
03-10	FIU	W 75–72	65.1	Neutral	12–17
03-11	Liberty	W 77–69	63.9	Neutral	13–17
03-13	Louisiana Tech	L 66–69	56.8	Neutral	13–18

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Kobi Williams	30	35:55	85.5%	426	77	43	28	6	47	80	44–92	47.8%	77–209	36.8%	107–129	82.9%	53.0%	59.5%	42.9%	5	34:24 −1:31	86.0%	10.6 −3.6
Keith Palek III	31	33:10	81.6%	526	192	105	31	10	85	76	136–276	49.3%	34–142	23.9%	152–213	71.4%	44.7%	51.4%	51.0%	5	30:30 −2:40	76.2%	12.4 −4.6
Trey Williams Jr	31	30:34	75.2%	285	58	98	29	6	41	54	34–86	39.5%	57–156	36.5%	46–64	71.9%	49.4%	52.7%	26.4%	5	36:21 +5:47	90.9%	13.4 +4.2
Zaxton King	31	26:49	66.0%	220	55	52	22	3	24	56	39–68	57.4%	34–103	33.0%	40–55	72.7%	52.6%	56.4%	32.2%	5	26:04 −0:46	65.2%	8.0 +0.9
Michael Osei-Bonsu	28	28:37	63.6%	440	205	64	35	23	73	101	171–297	57.6%	0–0	—	98–183	53.6%	57.6%	58.3%	61.6%	5	34:19 +5:42	85.8%	18.8 +3.1
Antwan Burnett	19	23:51	36.0%	90	67	19	24	2	17	45	17–36	47.2%†	15–40	37.5%†	11–21	52.4%†	52.0%†	52.8%†	27.6%†	1	3:50 −20:01	1.9%	0.0 −4.7
Darrion Sutton	31	13:04	32.1%	118	122	22	15	20	19	46	45–85	52.9%†	4–12	33.3%†	16–27	59.3%	52.6%†	54.2%†	27.8%†	5	10:17 −2:47	25.7%	3.2 −0.6
Melakih Cunningham	21	11:43	19.5%	65	43	12	10	3	8	19	15–27	55.6%†	8–27	29.6%†	11–15	73.3%†	50.0%†	53.6%†	27.8%†	5	17:29 +5:46	43.7%	5.2 +2.1
Cameron Boone	28	7:36	16.9%	37	38	3	1	18	6	42	14–19	73.7%†	0–0	—	9–16	56.3%†	73.7%†	71.0%†	84.2%†	5	3:50 −3:46	9.6%	0.4 −0.9
Logan Epes	20	7:04	11.2%	21	13	4	8	1	2	11	5–8	62.5%†	2–9	22.2%†	5–10	50.0%†	47.1%†	49.1%†	58.8%†	2	0:44 −6:20	0.7%	0.5 −0.6
Tyrique Brooks	20	6:51	10.9%	37	12	9	5	2	12	25	8–16	50.0%†	3–12	25.0%†	12–20	60.0%†	44.6%†	50.3%†	71.4%†	5	5:04 −1:46	12.7%	1.4 −0.5
Ryder CheesmanFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	1:33	0.1%	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2265	1031	431	not published	97	349	not published	528–1011	52.2%	234–710	33.0%	507–753	67.3%	51.1%	55.2%	43.8%
Sum of players				2265	882	431	208	94	334	556	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+149	0	not published	+3	+15	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $260K; 80% Range $94K to $755K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $245K to $290K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Kobi Williams	85.5%	$20K	$2K to $78K	10.8%	$19K to $22K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Keith Palek III	81.9%	$25K	$3K to $89K	12.8%	$24K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trey Williams Jr	75.3%	$14K	$2K to $62K	8.4%	$14K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zaxton King	65.1%	$18K	$2K to $67K	9.6%	$17K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Michael Osei-Bonsu	64.8%	$93K	$26K to $340K	33.6%	$90K to $105K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Antwan Burnett	37.3%	$19K	$5K to $61K	8.0%	$19K to $22K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Darrion Sutton	31.5%	$8K	$1K to $31K	4.2%	$8K to $9K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Melakih Cunningham	19.8%	$9K	$2K to $30K	4.1%	$9K to $10K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cameron Boone	16.5%	$5K	$1K to $18K	2.3%	$5K to $6K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Logan Epes	11.6%	$5K	$1K to $16K	2.3%	$5K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyrique Brooks	10.6%	$4K	$1K to $13K	1.8%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ryder Cheesman	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$260K	$94K to $755K	100%	$245K to $290K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Missouri State University-Springfield (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$3,751,968	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$3,751,968
Athletics department expenses	$28,059,311
Athletics department revenue	$28,059,311

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,089 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,265	2,304
Field goals made	762	795
Field goals attempted	1,721	1,732
3-pointers made	234	213
3-pointers attempted	710	620
Free throws made	507	501
Free throws attempted	753	697
Offensive rebounds	342	325
Defensive rebounds	689	728
Total rebounds	1,031	1,053
Assists	431	396
Blocks	97	139
Turnovers	349	354
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 208.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 556.
Minutes (derived)	6,300	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,265	2,265	0	±11.3	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	762	762	0	±3.8	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,721	1,721	0	±8.6	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	234	234	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	710	710	0	±3.6	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	507	507	0	±2.5	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	753	753	0	±3.8	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,031	882	+149	±82.5	0
Assists	Reconciled	431	431	0	±2.2	0
Blocks	Residual shown	97	94	+3	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	349	334	+15	±10.5	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	208	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	556	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,300	6,282	+17.6	±126.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Kobi Williams	85.5%	-0.5range -1.6 to +0.5Sufficient evidence
Keith Palek III	81.9%	-0.1range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Trey Williams Jr	75.3%	-1.0range -2.0 to +0.0Sufficient evidence
Zaxton King	65.1%	-0.2range -1.5 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Michael Osei-Bonsu	64.8%	+4.3range +2.8 to +5.8Sufficient evidence
Antwan Burnett	37.3%	+1.0range +0.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Darrion Sutton	31.5%	-0.8range -2.1 to +0.5Sufficient evidence
Melakih Cunningham	19.8%	+0.5range -0.7 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Cameron Boone	16.5%	-1.1range -2.5 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Logan Epes	11.6%	-0.4range -1.0 to +0.3Limited evidence
Tyrique Brooks	10.6%	-1.0range -1.9 to -0.2Limited evidence
Ryder Cheesman	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.7range +8.8 to +10.6Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 100.0% of on-court time. 1 without a value (under 300 possessions) holds 0.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 4.4%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value