California Baptist

WAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 75 · Raw net 7.4 · Tempo 67.5 · 34 Division I games · Through 2026-03-20

Record: 25–9; 25 wins
AdjNet: 4.7β; rank 102 of 365
AdjO: 106.8β; rank 206 of 365
AdjD: 102.1β; rank 48 of 365
AdjT: 67.2β
SOS: -2.2β; rank 232 of 363
NCSOS: -3.9β
WAB: -2.1β; rank 72 of 363
RR: 2.6β
Exp. W: 22.4β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	106.5217	99.019	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	48.3308	46.316	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	17.9267	17.0153	16.7
Offensive rebound %	37.513	27.240	30.6
FTA / FGA %	35.9155	36.6229	35.0
Shooting
3P%	33.4200	29.55	33.9
2P%	47.4326	47.334	51.7
FT%	71.3230	72.1161	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	32.0	31.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	40.0	45.4	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.3	9.6	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	26.2	23.5	31.4
2-pointers %	52.8	54.3	48.8
Free throws %	21.0	22.2	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.8
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 34%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	USC Upstate	W 87–75	70.9	Home	1–0
11-07	UC Irvine	W 69–61	71.5	Away	2–0
11-14	Western Ill.	W 69–59	62.7	Home	3–0
11-18	UC Riverside	W 80–57	76.0	Home	4–0
11-21	Grambling	W 72–59	64.5	Home	5–0
11-25	San Diego	W 76–61	70.7	Neutral	6–0
11-29	Oregon St.	W 75–69	67.3	Away	7–0
12-01	Colorado	L 70–78	68.1	Away	7–1
12-03	BYU	L 60–91	69.3	Neutral	7–2
12-06	Utah	L 85–91	70.8	Away	7–3
12-12	Eastern Wash.	W 88–83	70.6	Away	8–3
12-16	Southern U.	W 75–67	69.4	Home	9–3
12-20	Sacramento St.	W 74–67	67.5	Home	10–3
12-29	Utah Valley	L 66–73	70.5	Away	10–4
01-01	UT Arlington	L 51–63	63.8	Away	10–5
01-03	Tarleton St.	L 76–81 1OT	74.5	Away	10–6
01-08	Utah Tech	W 84–72	62.5	Home	11–6
01-10	Southern Utah	W 58–55	60.9	Home	12–6
01-15	Abilene Christian	W 74–58	63.9	Away	13–6
01-21	Utah Tech	W 73–64	61.9	Home	14–6
01-24	Utah Valley	W 78–71 1OT	76.0	Home	15–6
01-31	UT Arlington	W 87–77 1OT	78.0	Away	16–6
02-05	Tarleton St.	W 56–55	65.7	Home	17–6
02-07	Abilene Christian	W 65–63	67.8	Home	18–6
02-12	Southern Utah	W 83–66	67.7	Away	19–6
02-14	Utah Tech	L 65–70	64.3	Away	19–7
02-19	Utah Valley	L 46–65	65.4	Away	19–8
02-26	UT Arlington	W 68–56	62.9	Home	20–8
02-28	Tarleton St.	W 82–67	66.8	Home	21–8
03-05	Abilene Christian	W 87–48	72.5	Home	22–8
03-07	Southern Utah	W 82–75	69.9	Away	23–8
03-13	Utah Tech	W 86–72	70.4	Neutral	24–8
03-14	Utah Valley	W 63–61	66.3	—	25–8
03-20	Kansas	L 60–68	69.3	—	25–9

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 34 of 34 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Dominique Daniels Jr.	33	36:15	87.0%	25.6	4.2	3.5	1.1	0.1	2.7	2.0	194–405	47.9%	65–195	33.3%	183–226	81.0%	48.6%	54.8%	37.7%	5	35:17 −0:58	88.2%	28.6 +5.4
Martel Williams	33	33:10	79.6%	15.4	5.8	1.8	0.9	0.1	2.1	2.7	115–269	42.8%	36–110	32.7%	83–107	77.6%	44.6%	49.4%	28.2%	5	33:24 +0:14	83.5%	10.6 −2.2
Jayden Jackson	28	29:05	59.2%	12.4	4.4	2.4	0.8	0.4	1.9	2.4	23–85	27.1%	54–156	34.6%	45–60	75.0%	43.2%	47.3%	24.9%	5	30:28 +1:23	76.2%	9.2 +0.2
Jonathan Griman	31	23:16	52.4%	10.4	10.2	0.8	0.8	1.6	1.8	5.4	81–134	60.4%	0–6	0.0%†	26–50	52.0%	57.9%	58.0%	35.7%	5	23:25 +0:09	58.5%	6.0 −0.1
Jordan Muller	34	20:17	50.2%	8.6	2.0	3.6	1.0	0.2	2.8	3.8	11–50	22.0%	32–91	35.2%	31–41	75.6%	41.8%	46.8%	29.1%	5	10:28 −9:49	26.2%	1.8 −2.6
Bradey Henige	33	20:12	48.5%	9.7	11.0	1.0	0.7	0.7	1.9	5.0	69–129	53.5%	0–0	—	24–43	55.8%	53.5%	54.8%	33.3%	5	20:37 +0:25	51.5%	5.6 +0.7
Thomas Ndong	32	17:29	40.7%	11.3	14.9	0.9	1.1	1.1	2.2	4.4	62–106	58.5%	1–5	20.0%†	31–50	62.0%	57.2%	59.4%	45.0%	5	16:21 −1:08	40.9%	4.8 −0.1
Devon Malcolm	33	13:39	32.7%	17.0	10.0	1.6	3.3	0.9	2.7	5.6	57–117	48.7%	10–33	30.3%†	47–76	61.8%	48.0%	52.1%	50.7%	5	13:19 −0:20	33.3%	4.4 −1.4
Miles Daniels	22	10:45	17.2%	9.1	5.4	1.9	0.8	0.5	2.7	4.2	13–29	44.8%†	7–20	35.0%†	7–15	46.7%†	48.0%†	48.6%†	30.6%†	5	7:37 −3:09	19.0%	1.8 −0.7
Rene D'Amelio	18	10:41	14.0%	9.8	11.2	0.6	1.0	2.1	1.9	6.2	15–26	57.7%†	2–8	25.0%†	11–21	52.4%†	52.9%†	54.3%†	61.8%†	2	8:35 −2:06	8.6%	1.5 −1.1
Monty Bowser	13	8:19	7.9%	10.0	6.7	0.7	1.5	0.0	1.1	2.2	3–7	42.9%†	5–17	29.4%†	6–8	75.0%†	43.8%†	49.1%†	33.3%†	1	12:12 +3:53	6.1%	7.0 +4.9
Nate GarciaUnder 100 minutes	16	6:01	7.0%	16.2	7.5	0.8	0.8	0.0	2.5	3.7	9–17	52.9%†	0–0	—	21–25	84.0%	52.9%†	69.6%†	147.1%†	1	9:18 +3:17	4.7%	3.0 +0.6
Jalen DollarUnder 100 minutes	10	3:24	2.5%	17.6	2.3	1.2	1.2	0.0	0.0	7.0	0–1	0.0%†	4–5	80.0%†	3–4	75.0%†	100.0%†	96.6%†	66.7%†	1	5:06 +1:42	2.5%	1.0 −0.5
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	34 games			71.9	39.6	10.1	not published	2.8	12.1	not published	652–1375	47.4%	216–646	33.4%	518–726	71.3%	48.3%	52.8%	35.9%
Sum of players				71.9	35.5	10.1	5.4	2.8	11.2	18.3	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+4.1	+0.0	not published	0.0	+0.9	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $300K; 80% Range $110K to $820K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $295K to $305K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Dominique Daniels Jr.	88.1%	$51K	$16K to $155K	17.8%	$50K to $52K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Martel Williams	80.3%	$58K	$20K to $170K	18.6%	$58K to $59K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jayden Jackson	58.0%	$24K	$4K to $77K	9.7%	$23K to $24K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jonathan Griman	53.0%	$42K	$13K to $130K	13.2%	$41K to $42K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Muller	50.1%	$9K	$1K to $41K	4.1%	$9K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bradey Henige	48.4%	$34K	$11K to $105K	11.2%	$34K to $35K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Thomas Ndong	41.4%	$22K	$6K to $68K	7.9%	$22K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devon Malcolm	33.0%	$12K	$3K to $40K	5.0%	$12K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Miles Daniels	16.8%	$8K	$2K to $24K	3.0%	$7K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rene D'Amelio	13.6%	$8K	$3K to $24K	3.0%	$8K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Monty Bowser	7.7%	$4K	$1K to $13K	1.6%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nate Garcia	7.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalen Dollar	2.5%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$300K	$110K to $820K	100%	$295K to $305K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, California Baptist University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$4,593,847
Men's basketball expenses	$3,836,972
Athletics department expenses	$37,832,623
Athletics department revenue	$41,582,676

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 34 games, 2,320 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1375 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	71.9	66.9
Field goals made	25.3	23.4
Field goals attempted	58.8	56.2
3-pointers made	6.3	5.2
3-pointers attempted	18.8	17.8
Free throws made	15.1	14.8
Free throws attempted	21.1	20.6
Offensive rebounds	13.7	9.7
Defensive rebounds	25.9	22.8
Total rebounds	39.6	32.5
Assists	10.1	10.6
Blocks	2.8	3.8
Turnovers	12.1	11.5
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 187.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 630.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

34 of 34 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,470	2,470	0	±12.3	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	868	868	0	±4.3	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	2,021	2,021	0	±10.1	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	216	216	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	646	646	0	±3.2	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	518	518	0	±2.6	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	726	726	0	±3.6	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,360	1,219	+141	±108.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	347	346	+1	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	97	97	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	416	385	+31	±12.5	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	187	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	630	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,875	6,860	+15.3	±137.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Dominique Daniels Jr.	88.1%	+1.4range +0.4 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Martel Williams	80.3%	+2.0range +0.9 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Jayden Jackson	58.0%	+0.4range -0.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Jonathan Griman	53.0%	+2.2range +0.7 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Jordan Muller	50.1%	-1.2range -2.2 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Bradey Henige	48.4%	+1.8range +0.5 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Thomas Ndong	41.4%	+0.9range -0.1 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Devon Malcolm	33.0%	+0.0range -0.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Miles Daniels	16.8%	+0.2range -0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Rene D'Amelio	13.6%	+0.7range -0.2 to +1.6Limited evidence
Monty Bowser	7.7%	-0.3range -0.9 to +0.4Limited evidence
Nate Garcia	7.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jalen Dollar	2.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.3range +9.5 to +11.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 98.1% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.9%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 4.3%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value