Minnesota

B10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 154 · Raw net 1.4 · Tempo 62.9 · 33 Division I games · Through 2026-04-01

Record: 15–18; 15 wins
AdjNet: 6.4β; rank 89 of 365
AdjO: 110.3β; rank 122 of 365
AdjD: 104.0β; rank 74 of 365
AdjT: 64.1β
SOS: 6.2β; rank 68 of 363
NCSOS: -7.7β
WAB: -5.4β; rank 116 of 363
RR: -1.0β
Exp. W: 16.0β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	109.1158	107.7154	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	53.969	51.9208	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.5169	16.9161	16.7
Offensive rebound %	26.8305	29.5137	30.6
FTA / FGA %	35.8160	26.921	35.0
Shooting
3P%	34.2165	34.7228	33.9
2P%	56.239	51.8184	51.7
FT%	69.4287	73.0217	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	47.1	41.4	39.5
Assists / FGM %	71.0	60.4	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	8.3	12.0	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	36.4	34.9	31.4
2-pointers %	44.8	49.2	48.8
Free throws %	18.7	15.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 7.1
Top Three Share of Minutes: 51%
Bench Share of Minutes: 21%
Players with Logged Minutes: 12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Gardner-Webb	W 87–60	72.0	Home	1–0
11-08	Alcorn	W 95–50	69.8	Home	2–0
11-12	Missouri	L 60–83	61.8	Away	2–1
11-15	Green Bay	W 72–65 1OT	71.5	Home	3–1
11-18	Chicago St.	W 66–54	62.8	Home	4–1
11-22	San Francisco	L 65–77	63.1	Neutral	4–2
11-27	Stanford	L 68–72	64.0	Neutral	4–3
11-28	Santa Clara	L 75–86	66.5	Neutral	4–4
12-03	Indiana	W 73–64	66.2	Home	5–4
12-10	Purdue	L 57–85	65.3	Away	5–5
12-14	Texas Southern	W 89–53	69.5	Home	6–5
12-21	Campbell	W 78–50	60.6	Home	7–5
12-29	FDU	W 60–43	60.7	Home	8–5
01-03	Northwestern	W 84–78	65.9	Away	9–5
01-06	Iowa	W 70–67	68.2	Home	10–5
01-09	Southern California	L 69–70 1OT	65.6	Home	10–6
01-13	Wisconsin	L 75–78	64.5	Home	10–7
01-17	Illinois	L 67–77	61.7	Away	10–8
01-20	Ohio St.	L 74–82 1OT	70.2	Away	10–9
01-24	Nebraska	L 57–76	65.0	Home	10–10
01-28	Wisconsin	L 63–67	63.8	Away	10–11
02-01	Penn St.	L 75–77	63.7	Away	10–12
02-04	Michigan St.	W 76–73	62.9	Home	11–12
02-08	Maryland	L 62–67	54.9	Home	11–13
02-14	Washington	L 57–69	59.9	Away	11–14
02-17	Oregon	W 61–44	59.9	Away	12–14
02-21	Rutgers	W 80–61	58.6	Home	13–14
02-24	Michigan	L 67–77	64.6	Away	13–15
02-28	UCLA	W 78–73	55.6	Home	14–15
03-04	Indiana	L 47–77	61.3	Away	14–16
03-07	Northwestern	W 67–66	55.1	Home	15–16
03-11	Rutgers	L 67–72	63.9	Neutral	15–17
04-01	Baylor	L 48–67	59.5	—	15–18

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 33 of 33 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Cade Tyson	32	36:38	87.8%	628	173	68	24	7	51	79	120–210	57.1%	71–172	41.3%	175–213	82.2%	59.3%	66.0%	55.8%	5	38:45 +2:08	96.9%	20.0 +0.4
Isaac Asuma	33	34:16	84.7%	359	131	123	41	17	71	88	68–126	54.0%	58–191	30.4%	49–66	74.2%	48.9%	51.9%	20.8%	5	35:26 +1:09	88.6%	10.6 −0.3
Langston Reynolds	33	33:06	81.8%	382	143	150	25	4	86	69	136–230	59.1%	11–43	25.6%†	77–130	59.2%	55.9%	57.8%	47.6%	5	37:14 +4:08	93.1%	13.2 +1.6
Bobby Durkin	33	32:36	80.6%	337	105	61	27	5	26	46	31–53	58.5%	80–204	39.2%	35–40	87.5%	58.8%	61.4%	15.6%	5	38:59 +6:23	97.5%	12.4 +2.2
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	24	31:40	56.9%	322	164	43	15	24	40	68	70–140	50.0%	42–130	32.3%	56–78	71.8%	49.3%	52.9%	28.9%	—	—	—	—
Grayson Grove	32	20:35	49.3%	128	101	53	33	20	15	74	52–77	67.5%†	5–19	26.3%†	9–36	25.0%	62.0%†	57.2%†	37.5%†	5	35:32 +14:57	88.8%	3.4 −0.6
Kai Shinholster	31	12:55	30.0%	57	38	32	16	3	12	24	12–28	42.9%†	9–40	22.5%†	6–8	75.0%†	37.5%†	39.8%†	11.8%†	5	12:55 +0:01	32.3%	1.4 −0.4
Chansey Willis Jr.Few games	7	26:33	13.9%	44	21	23	17	2	15	12	14–28	50.0%†	2–11	18.2%†	10–22	45.5%†	43.6%†	45.2%†	56.4%†	—	—	—	—
Robert VaiholaFew games	5	21:56	8.2%	25	38	7	6	3	5	10	7–10	70.0%†	0–0	—	11–22	50.0%†	70.0%†	63.5%†	220.0%†	—	—	—	—
Nehemiah TurnerFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	7	5:27	2.9%	5	11	2	3	3	2	7	2–9	22.2%†	0–1	0.0%†	1–2	50.0%†	20.0%†	23.0%†	20.0%†	—	—	—	—
Maximus GizziUnder 100 minutes	10	2:40	2.0%	2	1	0	2	0	1	2	1–1	100.0%†	0–2	0.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	33.3%†	29.1%†	33.3%†	2	1:21 −1:20	1.3%	1.0 +0.8
RJ SpencerFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	0:40	0.2%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–1	0.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	33 games			2289	1022	562	not published	89	347	not published	513–913	56.2%	278–814	34.2%	429–618	69.4%	53.9%	57.3%	35.8%
Sum of players				2289	926	562	209	88	324	479	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+96	0	not published	+1	+23	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Cade Tyson	88.0%	$770K	$480K to $1.30M	20.6%	$770K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Isaac Asuma	85.1%	$560K	$285K to $860K	16.1%	$560K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Langston Reynolds	81.9%	$415K	$110K to $685K	12.6%	$415K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bobby Durkin	80.1%	$475K	$180K to $805K	13.9%	$475K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	58.2%	$375K	$165K to $630K	10.7%	$375K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Grayson Grove	48.5%	$395K	$225K to $705K	10.7%	$395K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Kai Shinholster	29.5%	$160K	$47K to $265K	4.8%	$160K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Chansey Willis Jr.	14.5%	$97K	$43K to $155K	2.9%	$97K in all four	$29K	Sufficient evidence
Robert Vaihola	8.7%	$120K	$77K to $255K	3.2%	$120K in all four	$29K	Limited evidence
Nehemiah Turner	3.1%	$29K	$16K to $47K	0.8%	$29K in all four	$29K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Maximus Gizzi	2.0%	$29K	$16K to $47K	0.8%	$29K in all four	$29K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
RJ Spencer	0.3%	$29K	$16K to $47K	0.8%	$29K in all four	$29K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Minnesota-Twin Cities (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$15,997,942
Men's basketball expenses	$15,623,863
Athletics department expenses	$146,804,169
Athletics department revenue	$156,773,938

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 33 games, 2,099 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,289	2,260
Field goals made	791	819
Field goals attempted	1,727	1,832
3-pointers made	278	263
3-pointers attempted	814	759
Free throws made	429	359
Free throws attempted	618	492
Offensive rebounds	278	312
Defensive rebounds	744	761
Total rebounds	1,022	1,073
Assists	562	495
Blocks	89	110
Turnovers	347	354
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 209.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 479.
Minutes (derived)	6,675	not published

33 of 33 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,289	2,289	0	±11.4	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	791	791	0	±4.0	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,727	1,727	0	±8.6	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	278	278	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	814	814	0	±4.1	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	429	429	0	±2.1	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	618	618	0	±3.1	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,022	926	+96	±81.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	562	562	0	±2.8	0
Blocks	Reconciled	89	88	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	347	324	+23	±10.4	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	209	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	479	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,675	6,654	+21.1	±133.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Cade Tyson	88.0%	+2.3range +1.1 to +3.7Sufficient evidence
Isaac Asuma	85.1%	+1.5range +0.1 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Langston Reynolds	81.9%	+0.7range -0.4 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Bobby Durkin	80.1%	+1.2range -0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	58.2%	+1.4range +0.1 to +2.7Sufficient evidence
Grayson Grove	48.5%	+2.0range +0.7 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Kai Shinholster	29.5%	+0.3range -0.5 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Chansey Willis Jr.	14.5%	+0.7range -0.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Robert Vaihola	8.7%	+3.2range +2.1 to +4.9Limited evidence
Nehemiah Turner	3.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Maximus Gizzi	2.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
RJ Spencer	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.8range +9.8 to +11.8Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 98.9% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 1.7%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value