Algosys College Basketball

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VCU

A-10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 31 · Raw net 13.0 · Tempo 69.2 · 36 Division I games · Through 2026-03-21

All seasons
Record
28–8
28 wins
AdjNet
14.7β
rank 38 of 365
AdjO
117.2β
rank 46 of 365
AdjD
102.5β
rank 50 of 365
AdjT
69.4β
SOS
3.5β
rank 91 of 363
NCSOS
-1.5β
WAB
3.7β
rank 27 of 363
RR
2.7β
Exp. W
25.3β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.116.443103.367108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%53.67949.06851.4
TO / 100 poss.15.17417.015716.7
Offensive rebound %31.613930.016230.6
FTA / FGA %42.03132.812735.0
Shooting
3P%36.34633.012533.9
2P%53.013248.75751.7
FT%73.615270.78072.5
Style
3PA / FGA %43.835.139.5
Assists / FGM %51.950.852.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %11.29.09.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %34.528.731.4
2-pointers %43.152.248.8
Free throws %22.419.219.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
9.0
Top Three Share of Minutes
39%
Bench Share of Minutes
37%
Players with Logged Minutes
13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-03WagnerW 103–7476.1Home1–0
11-07Utah St.L 77–8076.3Neutral1–1
11-12Saint Peter'sW 78–6168.3Home2–1
11-17NC StateL 79–8573.6Away2–2
11-22Coppin St.W 101–5874.5Home3–2
11-26South Fla.W 78–6672.3Neutral4–2
11-27VanderbiltL 74–8975.2Neutral4–3
11-28Virginia TechW 86–6870.7Neutral5–3
12-05SamfordW 83–5770.2Home6–3
12-10New MexicoL 78–8169.9Home6–4
12-15NiagaraW 84–5862.9Home7–4
12-18AmericanW 105–8370.5Home8–4
12-22RiderW 100–7972.2Home9–4
12-31St. BonaventureW 89–8267.7Home10–4
01-03DuquesneW 93–8071.3Away11–4
01-07Saint LouisL 62–7177.0Home11–5
01-10George MasonL 80–8666.6Away11–6
01-14Rhode IslandW 84–7567.3Away12–6
01-19Saint Joseph'sW 79–7272.8Home13–6
01-24DavidsonW 75–6961.6Away14–6
01-27RichmondW 77–6960.7Home15–6
01-30Loyola ChicagoW 89–7568.2Home16–6
02-03FordhamW 63–5964.0Away17–6
02-06DaytonW 99–7382.7Home18–6
02-11La SalleW 77–6866.0Away19–6
02-14RichmondW 78–6769.9Away20–6
02-17George WashingtonW 89–7568.3Home21–6
02-20Saint LouisL 75–8877.1Away21–7
02-28FordhamW 82–6368.2Home22–7
03-03George MasonW 70–6560.8Home23–7
03-06DaytonW 68–6260.6Away24–7
03-13DuquesneW 71–6664.8Neutral25–7
03-14Saint Joseph'sW 77–6465.0Neutral26–7
03-15DaytonW 70–6264.6Neutral27–7
03-19North CarolinaW 82–78 1OT76.5—28–7
03-21IllinoisL 55–7666.0—28–8

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 36 of 36 team games

MinutesPer 40 MinutesShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Lazar Djokovic3528:1068.2%18.87.41.50.71.72.13.0114–20755.1%23–6734.3%166–21278.3%54.2%63.0%77.4%529:57 +1:4773.0%9.8 −3.4
Barry Evans3626:2065.6%10.97.43.21.40.71.62.481–15751.6%26–8231.7%19–3652.8%50.2%50.8%15.1%528:04 +1:4368.4%5.0 −2.2
Terrence Hill Jr.3624:4861.8%24.24.34.60.90.11.82.591–15060.7%81–21937.0%114–13584.4%57.6%62.9%36.6%531:59 +7:1178.0%20.6 +5.6
Brandon Jennings3624:4761.8%13.85.83.42.71.32.24.869–15843.7%25–5843.1%94–11085.5%49.3%58.1%50.9%526:04 +1:1763.6%5.6 −2.9
Nyk Lewis3523:2656.8%14.87.62.72.00.01.72.943–9147.3%46–12736.2%80–10774.8%51.4%57.3%49.1%521:21 −2:0652.1%10.0 +1.3
Michael Belle3622:3256.2%12.98.81.91.11.31.73.985–15455.2%20–4050.0%†32–6450.0%59.3%59.0%33.0%527:13 +4:4166.4%7.6 +0.3
Jadrian Tracey3621:4954.3%17.55.13.21.40.73.24.156–11548.7%62–17236.0%46–6768.7%51.9%54.3%23.3%518:51 −2:5746.0%6.4 −3.2
Tyrell Ward3113:3029.0%17.06.41.41.60.82.72.542–7357.5%19–6230.6%37–5863.8%52.2%55.4%43.0%515:57 +2:2738.9%4.6 −1.1
Ahmad Nowell2810:1920.0%17.64.62.41.90.31.95.314–2751.9%†24–5841.4%27–3675.0%58.8%†63.0%†42.4%†27:52 −2:277.7%1.5 −3.0
Keyshawn Mitchell2010:2914.5%12.210.11.90.81.01.74.614–2360.9%†5–2420.8%†21–3265.6%45.7%†52.4%†68.1%†21:48 −8:421.7%0.0 −3.2
Jordan Tillery126:235.3%27.18.93.12.11.01.65.715–2560.0%†4–757.1%†10–1662.5%†65.6%†66.6%†50.0%†21:26 −4:571.4%2.0 −2.3
Christian Fermin311:422.4%3.46.82.31.15.70.05.70–10.0%†0–0—3–837.5%†0.0%†33.2%†800.0%†————
Jordann Dumont92:251.5%14.71.80.01.80.00.03.73–3100.0%†0–60.0%†2–2100.0%†33.3%†40.5%†22.2%†21:26 −0:591.4%0.0 −0.9
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes36 games80.636.413.84.310.5627–118453.0%335–92236.3%651–88573.6%53.6%58.3%42.0%
Sum of players80.633.113.87.34.310.017.1Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.3+0.0+0.0+0.4

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$865K
80% Range $370K to $1.90M
Tier
Mid and high major
low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$815K to $980K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
13
3 floor only

The widest scenario range, $420K to $2.15M, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Lazar Djokovic68.7%$115K$46K to $275K13.8%$110K to $130K$6KSufficient evidence
Barry Evans67.7%$75K$23K to $195K10.2%$71K to $86K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brandon Jennings64.3%$120K$48K to $280K13.8%$110K to $135K$6KSufficient evidence
Terrence Hill Jr.62.6%$175K$68K to $435K19.0%$160K to $195K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nyk Lewis57.2%$105K$42K to $265K12.3%$100K to $120K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jadrian Tracey55.1%$58K$17K to $155K7.9%$55K to $67K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Michael Belle54.4%$75K$25K to $185K9.6%$71K to $86K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyrell Ward28.8%$34K$11K to $85K4.5%$32K to $38K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ahmad Nowell17.8%$18K$6K to $48K2.4%$17K to $21K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Keyshawn Mitchell14.9%$20K$7K to $51K2.6%$19K to $23K$6KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Tillery5.7%$6K$2K to $16K0.8%$6K to $7K$6KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordann Dumont1.6%$6K$2K to $16K0.8%$6K to $7K$6KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Christian Fermin1.3%$6K$2K to $16K0.8%$6K to $7K$6KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$865K$370K to $1.90M100%$815K to $980K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Virginia Commonwealth University (NCAA Division I without football)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$7,828,904Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$7,828,904
Athletics department expenses$40,688,266
Athletics department revenue$40,871,381

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 36 games, 2,500 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1445 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points80.671.5
Field goals made26.625.5
Field goals attempted58.359.0
3-pointers made9.36.8
3-pointers attempted25.520.7
Free throws made18.013.7
Free throws attempted24.519.4
Offensive rebounds11.010.9
Defensive rebounds25.423.9
Total rebounds36.434.7
Assists13.813.0
Blocks4.33.0
Turnovers10.511.7
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 264.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 617.
Minutes (derived)200.0

36 of 36 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,9102,9100±14.60
Field goals madeReconciled9629620±4.80
Field goals attemptedReconciled2,1062,1060±10.50
3-pointers madeReconciled3353350±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled9229220±4.60
Free throws madeReconciled6516510±3.30
Free throws attemptedReconciled885883+2±4.40
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown1,3151,197+118±105.20
AssistsReconciled499498+1±2.50
BlocksReconciled155154+1±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown378363+15±11.30
StealsNo team figure264
Personal foulsNo team figure617
Minutes (derived)Reconciled7,2257,187+38.2±144.50

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Lazar Djokovic68.7%+3.1range +1.9 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
Barry Evans67.7%+1.7range +0.5 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Brandon Jennings64.3%+3.3range +2.3 to +4.4Sufficient evidence
Terrence Hill Jr.62.6%+5.3range +3.7 to +6.5Sufficient evidence
Nyk Lewis57.2%+3.3range +2.1 to +4.8Sufficient evidence
Jadrian Tracey55.1%+1.4range +0.3 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Michael Belle54.4%+2.2range +0.9 to +3.7Sufficient evidence
Tyrell Ward28.8%+1.4range +0.4 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Ahmad Nowell17.8%+0.6range -0.4 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Keyshawn Mitchell14.9%+1.3range +0.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence
Jordan Tillery5.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jordann Dumont1.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Christian Fermin1.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+12.0range +11.2 to +12.7Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.3% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value