Mercer

SC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 118 · Raw net 3.4 · Tempo 69.5 · 29 Division I games · Through 2026-03-07

Record: 16–13; 16 wins
AdjNet: 0.6β; rank 164 of 365
AdjO: 111.9β; rank 96 of 365
AdjD: 111.3β; rank 253 of 365
AdjT: 69.6β
SOS: -2.7β; rank 258 of 363
NCSOS: 4.7β
WAB: -7.2β; rank 157 of 363
RR: -1.0β
Exp. W: 17.0β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	115.356	112.0271	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	53.198	52.5242	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.069	17.0154	16.7
Offensive rebound %	32.6102	33.2304	30.6
FTA / FGA %	39.273	29.754	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.686	36.2310	33.9
2P%	53.0131	51.3155	51.7
FT%	73.0169	75.3326	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	39.2	42.1	39.5
Assists / FGM %	46.0	46.9	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	9.2	8.1	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	31.0	35.8	31.4
2-pointers %	47.8	46.7	48.8
Free throws %	21.2	17.6	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 7.6
Top Three Share of Minutes: 49%
Bench Share of Minutes: 26%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Tennessee	L 61–76	70.0	Away	0–1
11-09	Lipscomb	W 92–77	68.8	Home	1–1
11-15	Winthrop	L 69–105	81.0	Away	1–2
11-22	Eastern Ky.	W 95–83	71.3	Away	2–2
11-26	App State	W 75–67	62.1	Home	3–2
11-29	Elon	W 91–84	76.8	Away	4–2
12-02	Georgia St.	W 78–67	71.2	Home	5–2
12-13	Clemson	L 63–70	63.7	Away	5–3
12-17	UCF	L 63–81	71.7	Away	5–4
12-20	Washington St.	L 78–84	75.1	Away	5–5
12-31	Furman	L 72–74	67.4	Away	5–6
01-03	ETSU	L 71–77	67.0	Away	5–7
01-07	The Citadel	W 101–63	65.6	Home	6–7
01-10	Wofford	W 109–97	76.6	Home	7–7
01-15	VMI	W 77–67	66.2	Away	8–7
01-17	UNC Greensboro	W 102–92	73.7	Away	9–7
01-21	Western Caro.	W 88–76	69.7	Home	10–7
01-24	Wofford	L 77–80	69.8	Away	10–8
01-29	UNC Greensboro	W 95–77	72.8	Home	11–8
01-31	VMI	W 95–81	72.7	Home	12–8
02-05	Chattanooga	L 75–79	72.2	Away	12–9
02-07	Samford	L 49–69	65.8	Away	12–10
02-11	Furman	W 69–64	66.6	Home	13–10
02-14	The Citadel	W 70–54	61.6	Away	14–10
02-19	Chattanooga	L 90–94	65.0	Home	14–11
02-21	Samford	W 89–86	70.4	Home	15–11
02-25	Western Caro.	L 74–78	68.6	Away	15–12
02-28	ETSU	W 82–76	63.9	Home	16–12
03-07	Western Caro.	L 73–77	67.3	Neutral	16–13

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 29 of 29 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Baraka Okojie	29	35:01	87.5%	583	86	152	39	2	81	65	127–270	47.0%	37–114	32.5%	218–268	81.3%	47.5%	58.1%	69.8%	5	36:35 +1:34	91.4%	21.4 +1.3
Armani Mighty	29	32:27	81.1%	385	315	29	18	48	48	57	151–238	63.4%	0–0	—	83–155	53.5%	63.4%	62.9%	65.1%	5	32:32 +0:06	81.3%	12.6 −0.7
Zaire Williams	29	29:36	74.0%	377	91	47	42	3	41	78	61–114	53.5%	66–178	37.1%	57–69	82.6%	54.8%	58.5%	23.6%	5	34:24 +4:48	86.0%	19.2 +6.2
Brady Shoulders	27	31:41	73.8%	257	178	49	46	8	35	62	66–130	50.8%	25–76	32.9%	50–73	68.5%	50.2%	54.0%	35.4%	3	31:32 −0:09	47.3%	9.0 −0.5
Quinton Perkins II	25	23:54	51.5%	217	36	39	15	6	29	51	32–69	46.4%	44–105	41.9%	21–24	87.5%†	56.3%	58.8%	13.8%	5	30:41 +6:47	76.7%	12.4 +3.7
Connor Serven	26	21:11	47.5%	162	99	25	13	21	24	59	57–95	60.0%	7–23	30.4%†	27–39	69.2%	57.2%	59.9%	33.1%	5	25:35 +4:23	64.0%	5.4 −0.8
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	28	16:21	39.5%	190	42	8	16	3	21	54	34–75	45.3%	32–99	32.3%	26–33	78.8%	47.1%	50.4%	19.0%	5	9:56 −6:25	24.8%	2.4 −4.4
Tristan Gross	25	13:17	28.6%	88	45	15	9	1	9	22	18–34	52.9%†	16–34	47.1%†	4–6	66.7%†	61.8%†	62.3%†	8.8%†	3	7:05 −6:12	10.6%	1.3 −2.2
Bendji Pierre	19	7:16	11.9%	48	10	2	6	1	4	8	7–18	38.9%†	10–35	28.6%†	4–4	100.0%†	41.5%†	43.8%†	7.5%†	3	10:28 +3:12	15.7%	3.3 +0.8
TJ GrantFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	3:05	1.3%	2	3	1	1	0	0	3	1–2	50.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	50.0%†	50.0%†	0.0%†	1	3:24 +0:19	1.7%	0.0 −0.4
Braeden CarlsenFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:57	0.8%	8	2	0	1	1	1	0	0–2	0.0%†	2–7	28.6%†	2–2	100.0%†	33.3%†	40.5%†	22.2%†	—	—	—	—
Jaydon ColeFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	1:57	0.7%	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	1–1	100.0%†	1–4	25.0%†	1–2	50.0%†	50.0%†	51.0%†	40.0%†	—	—	—	—
Pero ZubacFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	4	1:56	0.7%	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Alex KochFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	1:28	0.3%	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	29 games			2323	1030	366	not published	94	303	not published	555–1048	53.0%	240–675	35.6%	493–675	73.0%	53.1%	57.5%	39.2%
Sum of players				2323	911	367	206	94	296	460	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+119	−1	not published	0	+7	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $255K; 80% Range $96K to $690K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $235K to $270K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Baraka Okojie	87.4%	$35K	$8K to $105K	15.6%	$31K to $36K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Armani Mighty	81.4%	$87K	$29K to $285K	30.9%	$79K to $91K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brady Shoulders	74.7%	$29K	$7K to $88K	13.1%	$26K to $30K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zaire Williams	73.5%	$20K	$2K to $67K	10.0%	$18K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Quinton Perkins II	52.5%	$18K	$3K to $59K	8.7%	$17K to $19K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Connor Serven	47.0%	$17K	$3K to $55K	7.8%	$15K to $17K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	39.2%	$4K	$1K to $19K	1.1%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tristan Gross	28.1%	$13K	$3K to $39K	5.5%	$11K to $13K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bendji Pierre	12.1%	$3K	$1K to $11K	1.3%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
TJ Grant	1.6%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Braeden Carlsen	0.9%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaydon Cole	0.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Pero Zubac	0.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Alex Koch	0.2%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$255K	$96K to $690K	100%	$235K to $270K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Mercer University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,346,280	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,346,280
Athletics department expenses	$30,568,645
Athletics department revenue	$30,568,645

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 29 games, 2,014 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,323	2,255
Field goals made	795	795
Field goals attempted	1,723	1,769
3-pointers made	240	269
3-pointers attempted	675	744
Free throws made	493	396
Free throws attempted	675	526
Offensive rebounds	332	347
Defensive rebounds	698	686
Total rebounds	1,030	1,033
Assists	366	373
Blocks	94	85
Turnovers	303	342
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 206.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 460.
Minutes (derived)	5,800	not published

29 of 29 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,323	2,323	0	±11.6	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	795	795	0	±4.0	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,723	1,723	0	±8.6	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	240	240	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	675	675	0	±3.4	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	493	493	0	±2.5	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	675	675	0	±3.4	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,030	911	+119	±82.4	0
Assists	Reconciled	366	367	−1	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	94	94	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Reconciled	303	296	+7	±9.1	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	206	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	460	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,800	5,790	+10.1	±116.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Baraka Okojie	87.4%	+0.8range -0.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Armani Mighty	81.4%	+3.9range +2.8 to +4.9Sufficient evidence
Brady Shoulders	74.7%	+0.6range -0.2 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
Zaire Williams	73.5%	-0.1range -1.2 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Quinton Perkins II	52.5%	+0.5range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Connor Serven	47.0%	+0.4range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	39.2%	-3.2range -4.6 to -1.9Sufficient evidence
Tristan Gross	28.1%	+0.8range -0.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Bendji Pierre	12.1%	-1.7range -2.8 to -0.8Limited evidence
TJ Grant	1.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Braeden Carlsen	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jaydon Cole	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Pero Zubac	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Alex Koch	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.1range +9.2 to +10.9Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 99.2% of on-court time. 5 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.8%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.4%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value