Oregon

B10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 246 · Raw net -4.6 · Tempo 66.5 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-10

Record: 12–20; 12 wins
AdjNet: 3.1β; rank 127 of 365
AdjO: 109.5β; rank 143 of 365
AdjD: 106.3β; rank 121 of 365
AdjT: 67.1β
SOS: 8.5β; rank 32 of 363
NCSOS: 0.2β
WAB: -7.2β; rank 158 of 363
RR: -0.3β
Exp. W: 12.3β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	106.1226	110.8235	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	49.5271	50.9148	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	17.6249	15.7233	16.7
Offensive rebound %	32.3115	32.3272	30.6
FTA / FGA %	35.0181	32.0105	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.1277	33.4143	33.9
2P%	50.5238	51.5165	51.7
FT%	73.0171	78.7365	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	42.8	42.1	39.5
Assists / FGM %	58.9	53.0	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	11.7	9.5	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	33.1	33.2	31.4
2-pointers %	46.4	46.9	48.8
Free throws %	20.5	19.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.7
Top Three Share of Minutes: 42%
Bench Share of Minutes: 36%
Players with Logged Minutes: 15

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-04	Hawaii	W 60–59	75.7	Home	1–0
11-07	Rice	W 67–63	66.6	Home	2–0
11-12	South Dakota St.	W 83–69	70.6	Home	3–0
11-17	Oregon St.	W 87–75	68.2	Home	4–0
11-24	Auburn	L 73–84	69.9	Neutral	4–1
11-25	San Diego St.	L 80–97	70.4	Neutral	4–2
11-27	Creighton	L 66–76	67.6	Neutral	4–3
12-02	Southern California	L 77–82	68.6	Home	4–4
12-06	UCLA	L 63–74	60.7	Away	4–5
12-13	UC Davis	W 104–62	72.4	Home	5–5
12-17	Portland	W 94–69	78.8	Home	6–5
12-21	Gonzaga	L 82–91	67.7	Neutral	6–6
12-28	Omaha	W 80–57	63.6	Home	7–6
01-02	Maryland	W 64–54	64.8	Away	8–6
01-05	Rutgers	L 85–88 1OT	73.9	Away	8–7
01-08	Ohio St.	L 62–72	62.7	Home	8–8
01-13	Nebraska	L 55–90	64.2	Away	8–9
01-17	Michigan	L 71–81	67.4	Home	8–10
01-20	Michigan St.	L 52–68	59.3	Home	8–11
01-25	Washington	L 57–72	64.2	Away	8–12
01-28	UCLA	L 57–73	61.6	Home	8–13
02-01	Iowa	L 66–84	59.2	Home	8–14
02-07	Purdue	L 64–68	66.2	Away	8–15
02-09	Indiana	L 74–92	66.3	Away	8–16
02-14	Penn St.	W 83–72	65.6	Home	9–16
02-17	Minnesota	L 44–61	59.9	Home	9–17
02-21	Southern California	W 71–70	70.1	Away	10–17
02-25	Wisconsin	W 85–71	69.2	Home	11–17
02-28	Northwestern	L 62–63	63.7	Away	11–18
03-03	Illinois	L 54–80	68.5	Away	11–19
03-07	Washington	W 85–79	65.5	Home	12–19
03-10	Maryland	L 60–70	62.8	Neutral	12–20

Roster · 15 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Takai Simpkins	31	32:06	77.4%	15.6	3.7	2.9	1.1	0.2	2.6	1.8	77–158	48.7%	50–140	35.7%	84–99	84.8%	51.0%	56.8%	33.2%	5	33:37 +1:31	84.0%	13.0 +0.5
Kwame Evans Jr.	30	30:50	72.0%	17.3	9.6	2.6	1.3	1.7	2.5	2.8	92–169	54.4%	31–102	30.4%	123–154	79.9%	51.1%	59.0%	56.8%	5	33:07 +2:17	82.8%	15.6 +2.3
Nate Bittle	25	31:01	60.3%	21.6	8.9	3.3	1.1	2.4	2.8	2.0	109–199	54.8%	36–113	31.9%	93–127	73.2%	52.2%	56.9%	40.7%	5	36:29 +5:28	91.2%	17.0 +0.2
Sean Stewart	32	23:01	57.3%	11.3	9.0	2.1	1.6	0.8	2.0	5.2	83–164	50.6%	1–1	100.0%†	40–75	53.3%	51.2%	52.8%	45.5%	5	24:38 +1:37	61.6%	4.6 −1.9
Dezdrick Lindsay	32	20:22	50.7%	10.5	5.5	3.0	1.7	0.4	1.7	3.4	43–96	44.8%	19–58	32.8%	28–48	58.3%	46.4%	48.8%	31.2%	5	19:33 −0:49	48.9%	4.8 −0.5
Wei Lin	30	17:30	40.9%	15.0	2.1	3.8	0.8	0.0	2.7	3.1	31–75	41.3%	31–105	29.5%	42–51	82.4%	43.1%	48.7%	28.3%	4	15:27 −2:03	30.9%	7.8 +1.2
Jackson Shelstad	12	34:47	32.5%	17.9	3.4	5.7	1.6	0.1	2.0	1.9	33–64	51.6%	33–105	31.4%	22–26	84.6%	48.8%	51.8%	15.4%	—	—	—	—
Drew Carter	26	14:20	29.0%	7.3	3.1	2.3	1.1	0.0	2.3	2.8	7–12	58.3%†	16–46	34.8%†	6–7	85.7%†	53.4%†	55.7%†	12.1%†	5	22:01 +7:42	55.0%	3.6 +1.0
Jamari Phillips	26	11:18	22.9%	9.4	3.1	1.9	0.4	0.1	1.9	4.1	5–12	41.7%†	18–61	29.5%	5–6	83.3%†	43.8%†	45.6%†	8.2%†	5	11:32 +0:14	28.8%	1.2 −1.5
Devon Pryor	16	18:03	22.5%	6.5	5.5	2.6	1.1	0.4	1.2	3.7	13–22	59.1%†	4–18	22.2%†	9–19	47.4%†	47.5%†	48.6%†	47.5%†	—	—	—	—
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	19	9:16	13.7%	11.6	5.5	1.4	0.5	0.2	0.5	4.5	9–19	47.4%†	9–23	39.1%†	6–9	66.7%†	53.6%†	55.5%†	21.4%†	2	8:43 −0:33	8.7%	4.5 +1.8
Ege Demir	19	8:38	12.8%	10.2	16.3	1.2	1.7	2.2	3.4	5.1	20–45	44.4%†	0–0	—	2–7	28.6%†	44.4%†	43.7%†	15.6%†	—	—	—	—
Luke JohnsonUnder 100 minutes	12	5:26	5.1%	8.0	4.9	0.6	0.0	0.0	1.2	6.1	2–4	50.0%†	2–8	25.0%†	3–6	50.0%†	41.7%†	44.4%†	50.0%†	3	3:47 −1:39	5.7%	1.7 +0.6
Efe VatanFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	2:38	1.0%	18.3	6.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.0	6.1	2–3	66.7%†	0–0	—	2–3	66.7%†	66.7%†	69.4%†	100.0%†	1	1:55 −0:43	1.0%	2.0 +0.8
Miles StewartFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	0:44	0.1%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	32 games			70.6	34.2	14.2	not published	3.9	11.7	not published	526–1042	50.5%	250–780	32.1%	465–637	73.0%	49.5%	53.9%	35.0%
Sum of players				70.6	31.0	14.3	6.0	3.9	11.2	15.5	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.2	−0.0	not published	0.0	+0.6	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Takai Simpkins	78.1%	$425K	$77K to $705K	12.9%	$425K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kwame Evans Jr.	72.4%	$650K	$395K to $1.10M	17.7%	$650K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Nate Bittle	59.9%	$780K	$455K to $1.70M	21.2%	$780K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Sean Stewart	58.6%	$245K	$24K to $455K	7.4%	$245K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dezdrick Lindsay	50.4%	$375K	$145K to $665K	10.7%	$375K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Wei Lin	40.7%	$85K	$17K to $250K	2.6%	$85K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jackson Shelstad	31.7%	$325K	$200K to $550K	8.8%	$325K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Drew Carter	29.6%	$92K	$18K to $210K	2.8%	$92K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devon Pryor	23.5%	$77K	$18K to $165K	2.4%	$77K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jamari Phillips	22.3%	$64K	$18K to $155K	1.9%	$64K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	13.9%	$71K	$22K to $130K	2.2%	$71K in all four	$23K	Limited evidence
Ege Demir	12.8%	$64K	$21K to $115K	2.0%	$64K in all four	$23K	Limited evidence
Luke Johnson	5.0%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Efe Vatan	0.9%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Miles Stewart	0.1%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Oregon (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$11,644,706
Men's basketball expenses	$14,072,866
Athletics department expenses	$164,742,082
Athletics department revenue	$167,129,024

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 32 games, 2,136 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1285 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	70.6	73.6
Field goals made	24.2	25.4
Field goals attempted	56.7	58.0
3-pointers made	7.8	8.2
3-pointers attempted	24.3	24.4
Free throws made	14.5	14.6
Free throws attempted	19.8	18.6
Offensive rebounds	11.1	11.0
Defensive rebounds	23.1	23.3
Total rebounds	34.2	34.3
Assists	14.2	13.5
Blocks	3.9	3.1
Turnovers	11.7	10.5
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 194.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 498.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,267	2,267	0	±11.3	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	776	776	0	±3.9	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,822	1,822	0	±9.1	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	250	250	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	780	780	0	±3.9	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	465	465	0	±2.3	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	637	637	0	±3.2	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,100	996	+104	±88.0	0
Assists	Reconciled	457	458	−1	±2.3	0
Blocks	Reconciled	126	126	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	377	359	+18	±11.3	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	194	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	498	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,425	6,402	+23.1	±128.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Takai Simpkins	78.1%	+0.8range -0.7 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Kwame Evans Jr.	72.4%	+2.3range +0.9 to +3.8Sufficient evidence
Nate Bittle	59.9%	+3.7range +2.6 to +4.7Sufficient evidence
Sean Stewart	58.6%	-0.4range -1.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Dezdrick Lindsay	50.4%	+1.6range -0.1 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Wei Lin	40.7%	-1.7range -3.1 to -0.4Sufficient evidence
Jackson Shelstad	31.7%	+2.5range +1.4 to +3.6Sufficient evidence
Drew Carter	29.6%	-1.1range -2.2 to +0.0Sufficient evidence
Devon Pryor	23.5%	-1.1range -1.9 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Jamari Phillips	22.3%	-1.6range -2.7 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	13.9%	-0.5range -1.5 to +0.6Limited evidence
Ege Demir	12.8%	-0.5range -1.2 to +0.3Limited evidence
Luke Johnson	5.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Efe Vatan	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Miles Stewart	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.2range +9.2 to +11.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

12 valued players hold 98.8% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.3%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value