Nate Bittle
Oregon · 2025–26 · 25 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
775:22 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 25
- Minutes per game
- 31:01
- Points per game
- 16.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 6.9 / 2.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 16.8 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 21.6 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Season totals | 419 | 172 | 64 | 22 | 46 | 55 | 39 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 145–312 | 46.5% | 12.5 | 16.1 |
| 2P | 109–199 | 54.8% | 8.0 | 10.3 |
| 3P | 36–113 | 31.9% | 4.5 | 5.8 |
| FT | 93–127 | 73.2% | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.2% | 56.9% | 36.2% | 40.7% | 1.16 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Oregon · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $780K
- 80% range $455K to $1.70M
- Median share of team pool
- 21.2%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.55M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $780K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $23K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 59.9%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Oregon: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oregon | $780Kspeculative | $455K to $1.70M | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +3.7 | +2.6 to +4.7 | Sufficient evidence | +1.6 | +2.2 | +4.6range +4.2 to +5.0 | 2,478 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Oregon | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +5.3 | +4.1 to +6.7 | Sufficient evidence | +2.1 | +3.3 | +6.4range +5.8 to +7.3 | 3,409 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Oregon | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.0 | +0.8 to +2.9 | Limited evidence | +1.1 | +1.0 | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5 | 326 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2023 | Oregon | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.4 | +1.2 to +3.3 | Sufficient evidence | +0.3 | +2.0 | +2.2range +1.8 to +2.5 | 1,338 | Season detail | |
| 2022 | Oregon | None: no budget that season | — | development: in model selection | +1.2 | +0.4 to +1.9 | Limited evidence | +0.1 | +1.1 | Not computed for this season | 393 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 36:29 | 31:01 | 7:20–38:30 | |
| Points | 17.0 | 16.8 | 3.0–28.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 53.7% | 53.5% | 0.0%–93.8% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Maryland | L 60–70 | 37:50 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-07 | Washington | W 85–79 | 34:29 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | Illinois | L 54–80 | 35:13 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Northwestern | L 62–63 | 38:30 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 65.4% |
| 2026-02-25 | Wisconsin | W 85–71 | 36:24 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 53.1% |
| 2026-02-21 | Southern California | W 71–70 | 37:31 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 45.5% |
| 2026-02-17 | Minnesota | L 44–61 | 35:00 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Penn St. | W 83–72 | 34:03 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 77.8% |
| 2026-02-09 | Indiana | L 74–92 | 34:38 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 8-13 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Purdue | L 64–68 | 33:37 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6-14 | 1-8 | 10-14 | 46.4% |
| 2026-01-13 | Nebraska | L 55–90 | 24:55 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 71.4% |
| 2026-01-08 | Ohio St. | L 62–72 | 33:19 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 31.6% |
| 2026-01-05 | Rutgers | L 85–88 | 29:57 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 11-21 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 59.5% |
| 2026-01-02 | Maryland | W 64–54 | 33:32 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 65.0% |
| 2025-12-28 | Omaha | W 80–57 | 26:46 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 5-9 | 70.0% |
| 2025-12-21 | Gonzaga | L 82–91 | 36:42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 60.5% |
| 2025-12-17 | Portland | W 94–69 | 25:05 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 93.8% |
| 2025-12-13 | UC Davis | W 104–62 | 7:20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 40.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | UCLA | L 63–74 | 24:19 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | San Diego St. | L 80–97 | 20:00 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 68.8% |
| 2025-11-24 | Auburn | L 73–84 | 32:18 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 22.7% |
| 2025-11-17 | Oregon St. | W 87–75 | 30:25 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 88.9% |
| 2025-11-12 | South Dakota St. | W 83–69 | 31:08 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 61.1% |
| 2025-11-07 | Rice | W 67–63 | 31:32 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 9-12 | 53.3% |
| 2025-11-04 | Hawaii | W 60–59 | 30:49 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 37.5% |