Richmond

A-10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 127 · Raw net 2.9 · Tempo 68.5 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-11

Record: 14–17; 14 wins
AdjNet: 1.9β; rank 141 of 365
AdjO: 110.6β; rank 120 of 365
AdjD: 108.7β; rank 190 of 365
AdjT: 68.6β
SOS: -0.4β; rank 180 of 363
NCSOS: -8.0β
WAB: -9.5β; rank 214 of 363
RR: -2.9β
Exp. W: 16.9β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	111.2118	108.4177	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	52.7117	52.0216	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	14.333	17.7110	16.7
Offensive rebound %	25.0341	31.0202	30.6
FTA / FGA %	36.9133	35.1180	35.0
Shooting
3P%	37.128	32.7104	33.9
2P%	50.5233	54.5299	51.7
FT%	75.276	71.5125	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	42.6	45.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	54.5	48.2	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.3	7.7	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	35.6	34.7	31.4
2-pointers %	43.6	45.9	48.8
Free throws %	20.8	19.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 10.4
Top Three Share of Minutes: 38%
Bench Share of Minutes: 42%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-08	East Carolina	W 87–72	73.9	Home	1–0
11-11	William & Mary	W 90–86	77.3	Home	2–0
11-19	VMI	W 87–54	66.1	Home	3–0
11-22	Gardner-Webb	W 102–67	74.9	Home	4–0
11-27	Furman	L 72–73	69.0	Neutral	4–1
11-28	Charlotte	W 71–66	65.8	Neutral	5–1
12-03	Belmont	W 84–76	73.8	Away	6–1
12-06	Old Dominion	W 86–77	75.4	Home	7–1
12-13	Southern Ill.	W 93–84 1OT	87.3	Home	8–1
12-17	Elon	L 70–73	66.2	Away	8–2
12-20	The Citadel	W 80–56	64.7	Home	9–2
12-28	Charleston So.	L 72–77	72.3	Home	9–3
12-31	George Washington	L 85–99	65.5	Home	9–4
01-04	Fordham	W 83–75	63.0	Away	10–4
01-07	St. Bonaventure	W 89–80	69.7	Away	11–4
01-11	Saint Joseph's	L 65–67	69.7	Home	11–5
01-14	La Salle	W 74–53	66.0	Home	12–5
01-17	Saint Louis	L 63–88	69.4	Away	12–6
01-21	Rhode Island	L 68–69	68.7	Home	12–7
01-24	George Washington	L 69–85	66.9	Away	12–8
01-27	VCU	L 69–77	60.7	Away	12–9
01-31	Davidson	L 54–79	57.8	Home	12–10
02-07	Rhode Island	L 77–82	68.0	Away	12–11
02-10	George Mason	W 82–70	70.1	Home	13–11
02-14	VCU	L 67–78	69.9	Home	13–12
02-18	Davidson	L 63–65	63.8	Away	13–13
02-21	St. Bonaventure	W 99–94	73.4	Home	14–13
02-28	Loyola Chicago	L 66–69	72.0	Away	14–14
03-03	Dayton	L 60–65	61.8	Home	14–15
03-07	Duquesne	L 77–79	65.9	Away	14–16
03-11	Loyola Chicago	L 67–75	62.5	Neutral	14–17

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Will Johnston	31	27:41	68.9%	306	90	69	16	2	27	57	42–103	40.8%	57–153	37.3%	51–59	86.4%	49.8%	54.3%	23.0%	5	28:48 +1:07	72.0%	10.6 +0.7
AJ Lopez	31	26:19	65.5%	426	71	40	31	16	29	52	90–176	51.1%	41–102	40.2%	123–143	86.0%	54.5%	62.5%	51.4%	5	31:24 +5:05	78.5%	15.8 +2.1
Aiden Argabright	30	23:24	56.4%	324	59	60	33	0	23	65	52–113	46.0%	27–77	35.1%	139–168	82.7%	48.7%	61.4%	88.4%	5	26:16 +2:52	65.7%	10.8 0.0
Mike Walz	31	21:32	53.6%	243	199	71	14	23	47	62	62–115	53.9%	29–76	38.2%	32–43	74.4%	55.2%	57.9%	22.5%	5	24:07 +2:35	60.3%	9.0 +1.2
Mikkel Tyne	30	19:12	46.3%	182	36	43	23	0	30	56	24–63	38.1%	41–104	39.4%	11–17	64.7%†	51.2%	52.2%	10.2%	5	19:31 +0:19	48.8%	7.6 +1.5
Collin Tanner	28	18:24	41.4%	161	88	20	13	1	17	37	43–76	56.6%	18–61	29.5%	21–28	75.0%	51.1%	53.9%	20.4%	5	25:16 +6:52	63.1%	8.2 +2.4
Jaden Daughtry	30	15:48	38.1%	270	86	17	23	3	42	45	79–146	54.1%	24–51	47.1%	40–67	59.7%	58.4%	59.6%	34.0%	4	12:53 −2:54	25.8%	7.3 −1.8
David Thomas	30	13:55	33.5%	129	31	14	18	2	15	33	25–53	47.2%	24–55	43.6%	7–8	87.5%†	56.5%	57.8%	7.4%	4	9:57 −3:58	19.9%	3.0 −1.3
Apostolos Roumoglou	26	15:19	32.0%	75	86	31	13	13	10	21	15–23	65.2%†	14–57	24.6%	3–4	75.0%†	45.0%†	45.9%†	5.0%†	3	13:02 −2:17	19.6%	2.7 −0.2
Jonathan Beagle	23	14:42	27.1%	132	104	36	11	3	24	48	46–85	54.1%†	0–2	0.0%†	40–67	59.7%	52.9%†	56.7%†	77.0%†	1	11:01 −3:41	5.5%	2.0 −3.7
Jaylen Robinson	30	9:56	23.9%	74	42	27	11	8	14	53	30–45	66.7%†	1–5	20.0%†	11–34	32.4%	63.0%†	57.0%†	68.0%†	5	12:52 +2:57	32.2%	1.0 −1.5
Will Harper III	13	10:22	10.8%	47	22	6	4	0	7	18	8–22	36.4%†	5–13	38.5%†	16–19	84.2%†	44.3%†	54.2%†	54.3%†	2	8:39 −1:43	8.7%	1.5 −2.1
Bryson McGlothinFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	4:20	0.7%	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	0–1	0.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Kirby MooneyFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	4:14	0.7%	2	1	1	1	0	3	2	1–2	50.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	33.3%†	33.3%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2371	1012	435	not published	71	305	not published	517–1023	50.5%	281–758	37.1%	494–657	75.2%	52.7%	57.3%	36.9%
Sum of players				2371	916	435	212	71	288	551	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+96	0	not published	0	+17	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $890K; 80% Range $390K to $2.00M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $875K to $930K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Will Johnston	69.3%	$67K	$8K to $195K	9.6%	$66K to $70K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
AJ Lopez	66.5%	$65K	$7K to $190K	9.4%	$63K to $67K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aiden Argabright	56.2%	$125K	$49K to $320K	13.6%	$125K to $135K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mike Walz	54.7%	$105K	$35K to $265K	11.8%	$100K to $110K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mikkel Tyne	46.6%	$33K	$5K to $110K	5.0%	$33K to $35K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Collin Tanner	41.9%	$48K	$9K to $135K	6.6%	$47K to $50K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Daughtry	37.7%	$115K	$45K to $340K	12.1%	$115K to $125K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
David Thomas	33.4%	$39K	$8K to $110K	5.5%	$38K to $41K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Apostolos Roumoglou	32.3%	$64K	$22K to $170K	7.2%	$63K to $67K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jonathan Beagle	26.5%	$84K	$33K to $240K	8.6%	$82K to $87K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaylen Robinson	22.7%	$21K	$5K to $65K	3.0%	$21K to $22K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Will Harper III	10.7%	$14K	$5K to $37K	1.9%	$14K in all four	$6K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kirby Mooney	0.7%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.7%	$6K in all four	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryson McGlothin	0.7%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.7%	$6K in all four	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$890K	$390K to $2.00M	100%	$875K to $930K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Richmond (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$7,487,840	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$7,487,840
Athletics department expenses	$50,598,031
Athletics department revenue	$50,598,031

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,132 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,371	2,310
Field goals made	798	797
Field goals attempted	1,781	1,788
3-pointers made	281	267
3-pointers attempted	758	816
Free throws made	494	449
Free throws attempted	657	628
Offensive rebounds	263	336
Defensive rebounds	749	790
Total rebounds	1,012	1,126
Assists	435	384
Blocks	71	79
Turnovers	305	378
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 212.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 551.
Minutes (derived)	6,225	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,371	2,371	0	±11.9	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	798	798	0	±4.0	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,781	1,781	0	±8.9	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	281	281	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	758	758	0	±3.8	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	494	494	0	±2.5	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	657	657	0	±3.3	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,012	916	+96	±81.0	0
Assists	Reconciled	435	435	0	±2.2	0
Blocks	Reconciled	71	71	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	305	288	+17	±9.2	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	212	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	551	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,225	6,211	+13.5	±124.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Will Johnston	69.3%	-0.1range -1.2 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
AJ Lopez	66.5%	-0.1range -1.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Aiden Argabright	56.2%	+1.8range +0.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence
Mike Walz	54.7%	+1.3range +0.3 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Mikkel Tyne	46.6%	-0.9range -2.2 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Collin Tanner	41.9%	+0.2range -1.1 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Jaden Daughtry	37.7%	+2.9range +1.2 to +4.5Sufficient evidence
David Thomas	33.4%	+0.1range -1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Apostolos Roumoglou	32.3%	+1.4range +0.4 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Jonathan Beagle	26.5%	+2.9range +1.7 to +4.2Sufficient evidence
Jaylen Robinson	22.7%	-0.6range -1.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Will Harper III	10.7%	-0.4range -1.2 to +0.3Limited evidence
Kirby Mooney	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Bryson McGlothin	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.1range +9.2 to +11.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

12 valued players hold 99.7% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.3%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.1%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value