AJ Lopez
Richmond · 2025–26 · 31 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
815:40 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 31
- Minutes per game
- 26:19
- Points per game
- 13.7
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.3 / 1.3
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 13.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Per 40 minutes | 20.9 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Season totals | 426 | 71 | 40 | 31 | 16 | 29 | 52 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 131–278 | 47.1% | 9.0 | 13.6 |
| 2P | 90–176 | 51.1% | 5.7 | 8.6 |
| 3P | 41–102 | 40.2% | 3.3 | 5.0 |
| FT | 123–143 | 86.0% | 4.6 | 7.0 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.5% | 62.5% | 36.7% | 51.4% | 1.38 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Richmond · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $65K
- 80% range $7K to $190K
- Median share of team pool
- 9.4%
- team pool $890K, 80% range $390K to $2.00M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $63K to $67K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $6K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 66.5%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Richmond: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Richmond | $65Kspeculative | $7K to $190K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.1 | -1.5 to +1.1 | Sufficient evidence | +1.5 | -1.6 | +4.2range +3.4 to +4.8 | 2,736 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Maine | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.3 | -1.0 to +1.6 | Sufficient evidence | +0.3 | +0.0 | +4.3range +3.5 to +5.2 | 2,649 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Maine | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.9 | -3.3 to -0.1 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | -1.7 | +1.3range +0.9 to +1.9 | 1,632 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 31:24 | 26:19 | 14:06–36:57 | |
| Points | 15.8 | 13.7 | 2.0–23.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 53.1% | 54.2% | 14.3%–100.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Loyola Chicago | L 67–75 | 21:36 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 28.6% |
| 2026-03-07 | Duquesne | L 77–79 | 33:47 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 66.7% |
| 2026-03-03 | Dayton | L 60–65 | 31:27 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Loyola Chicago | L 66–69 | 35:31 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 7-10 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-21 | St. Bonaventure | W 99–94 | 34:40 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 53.6% |
| 2026-02-18 | Davidson | L 63–65 | 36:47 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 43.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | VCU | L 67–78 | 36:57 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 30.8% |
| 2026-02-10 | George Mason | W 82–70 | 35:32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 60.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Rhode Island | L 77–82 | 34:09 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 62.5% |
| 2026-01-31 | Davidson | L 54–79 | 16:40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-27 | VCU | L 69–77 | 35:13 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | George Washington | L 69–85 | 30:03 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-21 | Rhode Island | L 68–69 | 14:40 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 62.5% |
| 2026-01-17 | Saint Louis | L 63–88 | 31:34 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 53.6% |
| 2026-01-14 | La Salle | W 74–53 | 30:04 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-11 | Saint Joseph's | L 65–67 | 18:35 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 14.3% |
| 2026-01-07 | St. Bonaventure | W 89–80 | 28:00 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 87.5% |
| 2026-01-04 | Fordham | W 83–75 | 27:44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 65.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | George Washington | L 85–99 | 23:01 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 41.7% |
| 2025-12-28 | Charleston So. | L 72–77 | 27:16 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 14-14 | 80.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | The Citadel | W 80–56 | 20:50 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 65.0% |
| 2025-12-17 | Elon | L 70–73 | 21:19 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 68.8% |
| 2025-12-13 | Southern Ill. | W 93–84 | 27:58 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 42.9% |
| 2025-12-06 | Old Dominion | W 86–77 | 27:11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 22.2% |
| 2025-12-03 | Belmont | W 84–76 | 23:10 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 55.6% |
| 2025-11-28 | Charlotte | W 71–66 | 18:57 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-27 | Furman | L 72–73 | 14:06 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-22 | Gardner-Webb | W 102–67 | 15:52 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-19 | VMI | W 87–54 | 18:59 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 66.7% |
| 2025-11-11 | William & Mary | W 90–86 | 22:20 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 10-11 | 40.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | East Carolina | W 87–72 | 21:42 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 20.0% |