Villanova

BE · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 63 · Raw net 8.7 · Tempo 66.5 · 33 Division I games · Through 2026-03-20

Record: 24–9; 24 wins
AdjNet: 13.7β; rank 45 of 365
AdjO: 116.3β; rank 53 of 365
AdjD: 102.6β; rank 51 of 365
AdjT: 66.4β
SOS: —β
NCSOS: —β
WAB: —β
RR: —β
Exp. W: —β

SOS, NCSOS, WAB, RR and Exp. W need a venue for every game. One game has none. Methodology

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	114.765	105.9104	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	53.874	51.4181	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.067	18.669	16.7
Offensive rebound %	32.2119	31.8246	30.6
FTA / FGA %	30.9284	30.061	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.776	33.4150	33.9
2P%	54.085	52.2207	51.7
FT%	68.9302	72.1160	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	45.7	36.8	39.5
Assists / FGM %	56.8	54.2	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	5.9	7.3	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	38.0	29.6	31.4
2-pointers %	45.5	53.0	48.8
Free throws %	16.5	17.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.0
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 29%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	BYU	L 66–71	68.0	Neutral	0–1
11-08	Queens (NC)	W 94–74	68.2	Home	1–1
11-11	Sacred Heart	W 94–60	65.6	Home	2–1
11-15	Duquesne	W 87–77	69.6	Home	3–1
11-19	La Salle	W 70–55	59.5	Away	4–1
11-25	Old Dominion	W 89–75	66.4	Home	5–1
12-01	Temple	W 74–56	57.8	Home	6–1
12-06	Penn	W 90–63	65.9	Neutral	7–1
12-09	Michigan	L 61–89	77.8	Away	7–2
12-13	Pittsburgh	W 79–61	58.0	Home	8–2
12-19	Wisconsin	W 76–66 1OT	68.9	Neutral	9–2
12-23	Seton Hall	W 64–56	63.1	Away	10–2
12-31	DePaul	W 71–66	66.7	Home	11–2
01-03	Butler	W 85–67	71.1	Away	12–2
01-07	Creighton	L 72–76	62.9	Home	12–3
01-10	Marquette	W 76–73	63.2	Away	13–3
01-13	Providence	W 88–82	69.3	Away	14–3
01-17	St. John's (NY)	L 79–86	71.1	Home	14–4
01-21	Georgetown	W 66–51	62.9	Home	15–4
01-24	UConn	L 67–75 1OT	64.5	Away	15–5
01-30	Providence	W 87–73	68.6	Home	16–5
02-04	Seton Hall	W 72–60	63.3	Home	17–5
02-07	Georgetown	W 80–73	69.1	Away	18–5
02-10	Marquette	W 77–74	70.1	Home	19–5
02-14	Creighton	W 80–69	69.4	Away	20–5
02-17	Xavier	W 92–89 1OT	78.8	Away	21–5
02-21	UConn	L 63–73	62.9	Home	21–6
02-25	Butler	W 82–73	70.2	Home	22–6
02-28	St. John's (NY)	L 57–89	72.5	Away	22–7
03-04	DePaul	W 76–57	70.3	Away	23–7
03-07	Xavier	W 91–78	71.0	Home	24–7
03-12	Georgetown	L 64–78	64.4	Neutral	24–8
03-20	Utah St.	L 76–86	68.1	—	24–9

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 33 of 33 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Acaden Lewis	33	30:37	75.7%	401	100	176	63	3	71	64	130–244	53.3%	27–100	27.0%	60–103	58.3%	49.6%	51.5%	29.9%	5	30:38 +0:01	76.6%	8.0 −4.2
Tyler Perkins	33	29:46	73.6%	452	179	53	39	9	26	65	92–180	51.1%	66–179	36.9%	70–94	74.5%	53.2%	56.4%	26.2%	5	33:49 +4:03	84.5%	13.8 +0.1
Duke Brennan	32	30:31	73.1%	398	328	63	26	17	64	77	146–222	65.8%	0–0	—	106–173	61.3%	65.8%	66.8%	77.9%	5	32:41 +2:11	81.7%	15.2 +2.8
Bryce Lindsay	33	28:40	70.9%	406	69	68	23	0	38	58	54–126	42.9%	78–219	35.6%	64–83	77.1%	49.6%	53.2%	24.1%	5	29:20 +0:40	73.3%	11.4 −0.9
Matt Hodge	29	27:31	59.8%	268	104	20	12	17	21	63	44–72	61.1%	50–136	36.8%	30–46	65.2%	57.2%	58.7%	22.1%	1	14:06 −13:25	7.0%	6.0 −3.2
Devin Askew	33	22:56	56.7%	324	85	68	36	4	38	73	44–112	39.3%	65–160	40.6%	41–47	87.2%	52.0%	55.4%	17.3%	5	27:42 +4:45	69.2%	10.4 +0.6
Malachi Palmer	33	18:10	44.9%	152	56	20	20	2	17	55	26–38	68.4%	28–78	35.9%	16–21	76.2%†	58.6%	60.7%	18.1%	5	27:20 +9:11	68.3%	6.8 +2.2
Braden Pierce	30	6:27	14.5%	35	27	14	5	11	10	32	16–24	66.7%†	0–0	—	3–5	60.0%†	66.7%†	66.8%†	20.8%†	5	7:02 +0:35	17.6%	2.4 +1.2
Christian Jeffrey	22	8:06	13.3%	67	23	22	13	0	5	23	18–33	54.5%†	5–14	35.7%†	16–20	80.0%†	54.3%†	60.0%†	42.6%†	5	7:30 −0:36	18.8%	3.2 +0.2
Tafara GapareFew games	9	17:09	11.6%	26	26	4	5	7	6	17	4–13	30.8%†	3–14	21.4%†	9–11	81.8%†	31.5%†	40.8%†	40.7%†	—	—	—	—
Zion StanfordUnder 100 minutes	10	4:57	3.7%	13	5	4	2	0	7	7	5–7	71.4%†	0–3	0.0%†	3–4	75.0%†	50.0%†	55.3%†	40.0%†	—	—	—	—
Wade ChiddickFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	1:38	0.2%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	3–4	75.0%†	—	85.2%†	—	1	0:00 −1:38	0.0%	2.0 +0.5
Malcolm FlaggsFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	0:57	0.1%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	33 games			2545	1130	512	not published	70	333	not published	579–1072	54.0%	322–903	35.7%	421–611	68.9%	53.8%	56.7%	30.9%
Sum of players				2545	1003	512	244	70	303	534	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+127	0	not published	0	+30	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.90M; 80% Range $2.20M to $6.65M
Tier: Big East and Gonzaga; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M to $4.10M; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Tyler Perkins	76.6%	$580K	$275K to $1.10M	15.4%	$530K to $605K	$31K	Sufficient evidence
Acaden Lewis	76.2%	$435K	$160K to $835K	12.4%	$400K to $455K	$31K	Sufficient evidence
Duke Brennan	76.1%	$1.10M	$535K to $2.40M	26.4%	$995K to $1.15M	$31K	Sufficient evidence
Bryce Lindsay	71.3%	$425K	$145K to $845K	11.9%	$390K to $440K	$31K	Sufficient evidence
Matt Hodge	58.0%	$335K	$125K to $655K	9.5%	$305K to $345K	$31K	Sufficient evidence
Devin Askew	56.4%	$315K	$100K to $630K	8.9%	$285K to $325K	$31K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Malachi Palmer	45.7%	$265K	$93K to $525K	7.5%	$240K to $275K	$31K	Sufficient evidence
Braden Pierce	15.4%	$58K	$21K to $140K	1.6%	$53K to $60K	$31K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christian Jeffrey	13.0%	$100K	$48K to $185K	2.8%	$92K to $105K	$31K	Limited evidence
Tafara Gapare	7.8%	$56K	$25K to $110K	1.5%	$51K to $58K	$31K	Limited evidence
Zion Stanford	3.2%	$31K	$15K to $60K	0.8%	$28K to $32K	$31K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Wade Chiddick	0.3%	$31K	$15K to $60K	0.8%	$28K to $32K	$31K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.90M	$2.20M to $6.65M	100%	$3.60M to $4.10M	—

1 rostered player has no figure: no recorded possessions or no matched player record.

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Villanova University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$16,554,290
Men's basketball expenses	$15,910,105
Athletics department expenses	$68,488,700
Athletics department revenue	$68,488,700

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 33 games, 2,219 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,545	2,351
Field goals made	901	855
Field goals attempted	1,975	1,888
3-pointers made	322	232
3-pointers attempted	903	694
Free throws made	421	409
Free throws attempted	611	567
Offensive rebounds	379	350
Defensive rebounds	751	797
Total rebounds	1,130	1,147
Assists	512	463
Blocks	70	78
Turnovers	333	412
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 244.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 534.
Minutes (derived)	6,675	not published

33 of 33 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,545	2,545	0	±12.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	901	901	0	±4.5	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,975	1,975	0	±9.9	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	322	322	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	903	903	0	±4.5	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	421	421	0	±2.1	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	611	611	0	±3.1	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,130	1,003	+127	±90.4	0
Assists	Reconciled	512	512	0	±2.6	0
Blocks	Reconciled	70	70	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	333	303	+30	±10.0	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	244	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	534	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,675	6,649	+26.0	±133.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Tyler Perkins	76.6%	+2.8range +1.5 to +4.1Sufficient evidence
Acaden Lewis	76.2%	+1.8range +0.6 to +2.9Sufficient evidence
Duke Brennan	76.1%	+5.7range +4.4 to +6.9Sufficient evidence
Bryce Lindsay	71.3%	+2.0range +0.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Matt Hodge	58.0%	+1.8range +0.7 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Devin Askew	56.4%	+1.6range +0.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Malachi Palmer	45.7%	+1.6range +0.3 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Braden Pierce	15.4%	-1.0range -2.1 to +0.0Limited evidence
Christian Jeffrey	13.0%	+1.8range +1.0 to +2.5Limited evidence
Tafara Gapare	7.8%	+0.3range -0.2 to +0.8Limited evidence
Zion Stanford	3.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Wade Chiddick	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +11.8range +10.9 to +12.6Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 99.3% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 7.2%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value