Holy Cross

Pat · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 313 · Raw net -10.4 · Tempo 65.8 · 31 Division I games · Through 2026-03-05

Record: 9–22; 9 wins
AdjNet: -12.4β; rank 324 of 365
AdjO: 102.0β; rank 309 of 365
AdjD: 114.3β; rank 316 of 365
AdjT: 66.7β
SOS: -4.2β; rank 295 of 363
NCSOS: 1.4β
WAB: -16.9β; rank 342 of 363
RR: -1.1β
Exp. W: 10.1β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	103.2284	113.6303	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	49.8247	54.8324	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.386	14.1332	16.7
Offensive rebound %	21.9356	27.036	30.6
FTA / FGA %	31.5268	27.630	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.5254	34.0181	33.9
2P%	50.4246	57.2345	51.7
FT%	77.229	74.5301	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	37.3	39.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	44.7	50.3	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	5.0	8.4	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	29.4	30.5	31.4
2-pointers %	51.0	53.7	48.8
Free throws %	19.6	15.8	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.5
Top Three Share of Minutes: 44%
Bench Share of Minutes: 31%
Players with Logged Minutes: 16

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Providence	L 79–89	77.9	Away	0–1
11-08	BYU	L 53–98	71.9	Away	0–2
11-10	Utah	L 69–87	69.0	Away	0–3
11-16	Hampton	W 67–61	59.1	Neutral	1–3
11-18	Brown	L 49–68	61.2	Away	1–4
11-21	Sacred Heart	L 66–79	66.9	Away	1–5
11-24	Siena	L 69–73	65.0	Home	1–6
12-03	Northeastern	W 76–59	66.5	Home	2–6
12-06	Fordham	W 70–69	64.2	Away	3–6
12-16	Dartmouth	L 64–89	67.2	Home	3–7
12-20	Harvard	L 53–81	61.2	Away	3–8
12-31	Bucknell	W 65–58	62.4	Home	4–8
01-03	Navy	L 58–65	61.1	Home	4–9
01-07	Lehigh	L 58–66	63.5	Away	4–10
01-10	American	W 84–73	71.0	Away	5–10
01-14	Army West Point	W 82–75	67.7	Home	6–10
01-17	Lafayette	L 55–74	65.0	Away	6–11
01-21	Navy	L 68–85	65.3	Away	6–12
01-24	American	L 67–76	64.7	Home	6–13
01-28	Colgate	L 74–79	66.2	Away	6–14
01-31	Army West Point	L 68–69	67.8	Away	6–15
02-02	Boston U.	L 64–72	58.1	Home	6–16
02-07	Lehigh	W 76–67	64.8	Home	7–16
02-11	Colgate	L 70–74	68.5	Home	7–17
02-15	Loyola Maryland	L 73–83	65.1	Away	7–18
02-18	Lafayette	L 83–86	71.5	Home	7–19
02-22	Bucknell	W 72–63	65.8	Away	8–19
02-25	Boston U.	L 63–78	63.7	Away	8–20
02-28	Loyola Maryland	L 62–76	63.3	Home	8–21
03-03	Lafayette	W 82–77	67.5	Away	9–21
03-05	Lehigh	L 66–69	66.6	Away	9–22

Roster · 16 players

Player logs in 31 of 31 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Gabe Warren	31	31:54	79.7%	386	142	48	34	9	41	48	102–198	51.5%	27–77	35.1%	101–137	73.7%	51.8%	57.6%	49.8%	5	35:47 +3:54	89.5%	19.8 +7.3
Tyler Boston	30	32:31	78.7%	434	107	112	26	0	55	79	93–196	47.4%	45–121	37.2%	113–136	83.1%	50.6%	57.6%	42.9%	5	34:54 +2:23	87.3%	16.6 +2.1
DeAndre Williams	31	25:13	63.0%	247	97	54	19	2	45	59	67–140	47.9%	27–85	31.8%	32–40	80.0%	47.8%	50.9%	17.8%	5	25:09 −0:05	62.9%	7.6 −0.4
Aiden Disu	28	27:33	62.2%	308	143	24	19	23	46	63	93–176	52.8%	20–67	29.9%	62–77	80.5%	50.6%	55.6%	31.7%	5	29:12 +1:39	73.0%	10.8 −0.2
Aidan Richard	28	27:14	61.5%	137	111	24	24	5	22	64	25–56	44.6%	23–105	21.9%	18–29	62.1%	37.0%	39.4%	18.0%	5	31:41 +4:28	79.2%	4.4 −0.5
Joe Nugent	21	29:38	50.2%	248	75	14	18	4	18	46	35–63	55.6%	48–118	40.7%	34–39	87.2%	59.1%	62.6%	21.5%	—	—	—	—
John St. Germain III	30	15:23	37.2%	134	35	28	13	1	21	48	36–77	46.8%†	9–22	40.9%†	35–44	79.5%	50.0%†	56.6%†	44.4%†	5	19:30 +4:07	48.8%	4.8 +0.3
Declan Ryan	25	13:38	27.5%	117	53	18	8	2	31	37	50–87	57.5%†	3–12	25.0%†	8–12	66.7%†	55.1%†	56.1%†	12.1%†	5	17:19 +3:41	43.3%	3.6 −1.1
Will Aljancic	15	11:17	13.6%	34	28	4	2	1	12	12	15–28	53.6%†	1–8	12.5%†	1–5	20.0%†	45.8%†	44.5%†	13.9%†	—	—	—	—
Chuck Hare	22	7:19	13.0%	44	34	1	3	3	7	19	18–37	48.6%†	0–0	—	8–14	57.1%†	48.6%†	51.0%†	37.8%†	4	5:59 −1:19	12.0%	1.8 −0.3
Jaden KirkwoodUnder 100 minutes	15	4:34	5.5%	4	8	3	3	2	2	7	2–3	66.7%†	0–4	0.0%†	0–0	—	28.6%†	28.6%†	0.0%†	2	2:26 −2:08	2.4%	0.0 −0.3
Jude HaighUnder 100 minutes	11	5:07	4.5%	9	4	1	0	1	0	7	0–2	0.0%†	3–13	23.1%†	0–0	—	30.0%†	30.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Tim FinauFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	2:15	1.1%	3	3	0	0	0	0	3	1–3	33.3%†	0–1	0.0%†	1–2	50.0%†	25.0%†	30.7%†	50.0%†	1	0:43 −1:32	0.4%	0.0 −0.5
Austin MejiaFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:11	0.5%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ethan ClarkFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	0:58	0.4%	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	1	0:43 −0:15	0.4%	0.0 0.0
Ben CapronFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	0:35	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	31 games			2105	943	332	not published	54	312	not published	537–1066	50.4%	206–633	32.5%	413–535	77.2%	49.8%	54.4%	31.5%
Sum of players				2105	841	332	169	53	301	493	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+102	0	not published	+1	+11	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $0 (assumed opted out); 80% Range $0 to $0 (assumed)
Tier: Low and other; low evidence

Assumed from one unverified press article that names schools that did not opt in. Methodology

No player figures. The Team Pool is $0.

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

No modelled Team Pool (opted out). Enter a pool of your own.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, College of the Holy Cross (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,799,702	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,799,702
Athletics department expenses	$34,213,254
Athletics department revenue	$34,213,254

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 31 games, 2,040 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,105	2,318
Field goals made	743	858
Field goals attempted	1,699	1,782
3-pointers made	206	236
3-pointers attempted	633	695
Free throws made	413	366
Free throws attempted	535	491
Offensive rebounds	221	267
Defensive rebounds	722	790
Total rebounds	943	1,057
Assists	332	432
Blocks	54	90
Turnovers	312	287
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 169.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 493.
Minutes (derived)	6,200	not published

31 of 31 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,105	2,105	0	±10.5	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	743	743	0	±3.7	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,699	1,699	0	±8.5	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	206	206	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	633	633	0	±3.2	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	413	413	0	±2.1	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	535	535	0	±2.7	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	943	841	+102	±75.4	0
Assists	Reconciled	332	332	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	54	53	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	312	301	+11	±9.4	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	169	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	493	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,200	6,184	+16.3	±124.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Gabe Warren	80.1%	-0.3range -1.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Tyler Boston	79.1%	-0.1range -1.5 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
DeAndre Williams	63.2%	-1.6range -3.0 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Aiden Disu	62.8%	-2.1range -3.4 to -0.7Sufficient evidence
Aidan Richard	62.0%	-1.1range -2.4 to +0.1Sufficient evidence
Joe Nugent	50.6%	-0.2range -1.4 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
John St. Germain III	36.9%	-1.5range -3.2 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Declan Ryan	27.4%	-0.4range -1.3 to +0.4Sufficient evidence
Will Aljancic	13.6%	-4.2range -5.0 to -3.1Limited evidence
Chuck Hare	12.9%	-0.8range -1.6 to -0.0Limited evidence
Jaden Kirkwood	5.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jude Haigh	4.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Tim Finau	1.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Austin Mejia	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Ethan Clark	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Ben Capron	0.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.3range +7.4 to +9.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 97.7% of on-court time. 6 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 2.3%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.3%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value