Algosys College Basketball

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Portland St.

BSky · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 112 · Raw net 3.9 · Tempo 69.0 · 28 Division I games · Through 2026-03-10

All seasons
Record
17–11
17 wins
AdjNet
1.8β
rank 143 of 365
AdjO
104.6β
rank 257 of 365
AdjD
102.8β
rank 53 of 365
AdjT
68.7β
SOS
-2.0β
rank 229 of 363
NCSOS
0.2β
WAB
-5.8β
rank 126 of 363
RR
0.2β
Exp. W
16.8β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.106.2225102.348108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%50.621148.85551.4
TO / 100 poss.16.919918.09516.7
Offensive rebound %30.019926.42430.6
FTA / FGA %37.112542.833735.0
Shooting
3P%32.625232.37833.9
2P%51.519449.06651.7
FT%71.023974.930972.5
Style
3PA / FGA %34.439.739.5
Assists / FGM %51.252.852.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %11.37.49.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %26.429.631.4
2-pointers %52.945.648.8
Free throws %20.724.719.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
8.0
Top Three Share of Minutes
49%
Bench Share of Minutes
27%
Players with Logged Minutes
15

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-04StanfordL 79–8980.3Away0–1
11-12San FranciscoL 70–8068.5Away0–2
11-17CSU BakersfieldW 93–8074.1Home1–2
11-25Utah TechW 68–6371.1Away2–2
12-03South DakotaW 77–7176.8Away3–2
12-06OmahaL 55–6057.8Home3–3
12-17ColoradoL 73–8471.4Away3–4
12-20TulaneL 61–6365.4Away3–5
01-01Weber St.W 95–90 1OT84.4Away4–5
01-03Idaho St.W 93–87 1OT73.8Away5–5
01-10Sacramento St.W 96–6972.4Home6–5
01-15Northern Colo.W 76–7372.2Home7–5
01-17Northern Ariz.W 63–5261.6Home8–5
01-22Eastern Wash.W 65–6167.5Away9–5
01-24IdahoW 69–6667.2Away10–5
01-29MontanaL 60–6468.6Home10–6
01-31Montana St.W 63–5461.4Home11–6
02-02Idaho St.W 88–6561.9Home12–6
02-07Sacramento St.W 74–7368.3Away13–6
02-12Northern Ariz.W 77–6863.2Away14–6
02-14Northern Colo.L 65–7769.1Away14–7
02-19IdahoW 77–6768.6Home15–7
02-21Eastern Wash.L 55–6766.3Home15–8
02-26Montana St.L 69–8470.4Away15–9
02-28MontanaL 68–7471.5Away15–10
03-02Weber St.W 84–6068.9Home16–10
03-08Idaho St.W 85–7873.5Neutral17–10
03-10MontanaL 72–7573.6Neutral17–11

Roster · 15 players

Player logs in 28 of 28 team games

MinutesPer GameShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Jaylin Henderson2838:0994.5%18.14.15.81.40.33.12.0144–31246.2%27–10924.8%137–17677.8%43.8%50.8%41.8%538:59 +0:5097.5%20.4 +2.3
Terri Miller Jr.2831:3978.4%18.75.23.31.40.72.93.5142–25954.8%52–13638.2%84–12169.4%55.7%58.5%30.6%528:56 −2:4372.3%18.2 −0.5
Tre-Vaughn Minott2829:3973.5%9.98.80.30.61.21.12.8114–16967.5%0–0—49–7763.6%67.5%68.3%45.6%526:38 −3:0166.6%5.8 −4.1
Keyon Kensie Jr.2631:2472.3%10.86.81.11.30.71.32.675–16046.9%23–7331.5%63–8871.6%47.0%51.9%37.8%330:10 −1:1445.2%10.3 −0.5
Kelcy Phipps2817:2943.3%4.11.60.91.10.30.92.321–4151.2%†18–4639.1%†20–4247.6%55.2%†55.0%†48.3%†518:01 +0:3245.0%4.0 −0.1
Alex Dupre2815:2638.2%3.01.60.60.10.20.51.69–3625.0%†14–4531.1%†24–2982.8%37.0%†44.8%†35.8%†510:26 −5:0026.1%2.6 −0.4
Isaiah Williams2314:4430.0%3.71.60.30.80.30.52.117–2763.0%†10–4124.4%†21–2680.8%47.1%†53.5%†38.2%†524:53 +10:0962.2%7.6 +3.9
Sebastian Tidor2412:0625.7%4.11.40.30.30.00.41.08–2433.3%†24–6735.8%10–1566.7%†48.4%†50.2%†16.5%†511:34 −0:3328.9%3.0 −1.1
Brycen Long2410:0721.5%2.80.60.50.30.00.71.12–633.3%†14–3836.8%†20–2483.3%†52.3%†60.5%†54.5%†513:48 +3:4134.5%5.0 +2.3
Mozae Downing-Rivers164:266.3%0.50.10.80.20.10.40.64–850.0%†0–10.0%†0–0—44.4%†44.4%†0.0%†43:10 −1:166.3%1.0 +0.5
Brayden Barron173:265.2%0.60.90.00.10.10.20.55–1145.5%†0–0—0–20.0%†45.5%†42.1%†18.2%†32:44 −0:424.1%1.3 +0.7
Charles Chukwu183:095.0%0.40.40.00.10.10.10.94–757.1%†0–0—0–0—57.1%†57.1%†0.0%†41:59 −1:104.0%0.5 +0.1
Colt Ness73:332.2%0.60.30.30.00.00.31.02–366.7%†0–20.0%†0–0—40.0%†40.0%†0.0%†31:11 −2:221.8%0.7 +0.1
Samuel Stewart IV81:461.3%0.30.10.00.30.00.00.31–250.0%†0–10.0%†0–0—33.3%†33.3%†0.0%†41:35 −0:113.2%0.5 +0.3
Kean Webb33:160.9%0.00.70.00.00.30.01.00–0—0–0—0–30.0%†—0.0%†—————
Team, games with logs · per game28 games73.935.313.43.811.8548–106551.5%182–55932.6%428–60371.0%50.6%54.8%37.1%
Sum of players73.931.813.47.23.811.419.7Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.60.00.0+0.4

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$215K
80% Range $82K to $570K
Tier
Low and other
low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$210K to $225K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
15
6 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Jaylin Henderson94.9%$38K$13K to $105K19.1%$37K to $40K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Terri Miller Jr.79.1%$71K$23K to $215K30.5%$69K to $74K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tre-Vaughn Minott73.8%$23K$5K to $73K12.8%$23K to $24K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Keyon Kensie Jr.72.1%$26K$7K to $77K13.5%$25K to $27K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kelcy Phipps42.1%$7K$1K to $28K4.6%$7K to $8K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alex Dupre38.9%$5K$1K to $21K2.8%$4K to $5K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Williams30.3%$6K$1K to $21K3.4%$5K to $6K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sebastian Tidor27.0%$8K$2K to $24K4.5%$8K in all four$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brycen Long20.8%$6K$1K to $19K3.3%$5K to $6K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mozae Downing-Rivers6.3%$1K$0 to $4K0.7%$1K in all four$1KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Charles Chukwu5.1%$1K$0 to $4K0.7%$1K in all four$1KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brayden Barron4.9%$1K$0 to $4K0.7%$1K in all four$1KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Colt Ness2.5%$1K$0 to $4K0.7%$1K in all four$1KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Samuel Stewart IV1.0%$1K$0 to $4K0.7%$1K in all four$1KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Kean Webb0.9%$1K$0 to $4K0.7%$1K in all four$1KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$215K$82K to $570K100%$210K to $225K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Portland State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$2,172,702Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses$2,172,702
Athletics department expenses$19,186,971
Athletics department revenue$19,186,971

Team Totalsβ

Season per game, 28 games, 1,950 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points73.971.2
Field goals made26.123.3
Field goals attempted58.054.9
3-pointers made6.57.0
3-pointers attempted20.021.8
Free throws made15.317.6
Free throws attempted21.523.5
Offensive rebounds10.48.9
Defensive rebounds24.924.3
Total rebounds35.333.3
Assists13.412.3
Blocks3.82.8
Turnovers11.812.5
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 202.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 552.
Minutes (derived)201.8

28 of 28 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled2,0702,0700±10.30
Field goals madeReconciled7307300±3.60
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,6241,6240±8.10
3-pointers madeReconciled1821820±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled5595590±2.80
Free throws madeReconciled4284280±2.10
Free throws attemptedReconciled6036030±3.00
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown989889+100±79.10
AssistsReconciled3743740±2.00
BlocksReconciled1051050±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown330320+10±9.90
StealsNo team figure202
Personal foulsNo team figure552
Minutes (derived)Reconciled5,6505,630+20.5±113.00

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Jaylin Henderson94.9%+1.9range +1.1 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Terri Miller Jr.79.1%+4.7range +3.5 to +5.9Sufficient evidence
Tre-Vaughn Minott73.8%+1.0range -0.2 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Keyon Kensie Jr.72.1%+1.4range +0.4 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Kelcy Phipps42.1%-0.5range -1.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Alex Dupre38.9%-1.3range -2.3 to -0.4Sufficient evidence
Isaiah Williams30.3%-0.5range -1.5 to +0.5Sufficient evidence
Sebastian Tidor27.0%+0.7range -0.4 to +1.7Sufficient evidence
Brycen Long20.8%+0.3range -1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence
Mozae Downing-Rivers6.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Charles Chukwu5.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brayden Barron4.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Colt Ness2.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Samuel Stewart IV1.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Kean Webb0.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+10.4range +9.6 to +11.3Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 95.8% of on-court time. 6 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 4.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value