Jaylin Henderson
Portland St. · 2025–26 · 28 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
1068:10 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 28
- Minutes per game
- 38:09
- Points per game
- 18.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 4.1 / 5.8
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 18.1 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| Per 40 minutes | 18.9 | 4.3 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| Season totals | 506 | 114 | 163 | 40 | 8 | 87 | 55 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 171–421 | 40.6% | 15.0 | 15.8 |
| 2P | 144–312 | 46.2% | 11.1 | 11.7 |
| 3P | 27–109 | 24.8% | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| FT | 137–176 | 77.8% | 6.3 | 6.6 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.8% | 50.8% | 25.9% | 41.8% | 1.87 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Portland St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $38K
- 80% range $13K to $105K
- Median share of team pool
- 19.1%
- team pool $215K, 80% range $82K to $570K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $37K to $40K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 94.9%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Portland St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Portland St | $38Kspeculative | $13K to $105K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.9 | +1.1 to +2.6 | Sufficient evidence | +0.7 | +1.2 | +7.2range +6.5 to +7.7 | 3,569 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Portland St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.6 | -1.9 to +0.7 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | -0.4 | +3.6range +2.9 to +4.6 | 2,854 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Louisiana Tech | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.3 | -1.3 to +0.7 | Sufficient evidence | -0.5 | +0.2 | +0.8range +0.7 to +1.0 | 936 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 38:59 | 38:09 | 28:59–45:00 | |
| Points | 20.4 | 18.1 | 5.0–34.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 51.5% | 42.6% | 14.3%–75.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Montana | L 72–75 | 39:56 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7-21 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 33.3% |
| 2026-03-08 | Idaho St. | W 85–78 | 39:58 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 62.5% |
| 2026-03-02 | Weber St. | W 84–60 | 38:35 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 59.4% |
| 2026-02-28 | Montana | L 68–74 | 39:56 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 60.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | Montana St. | L 69–84 | 36:31 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 42.1% |
| 2026-02-21 | Eastern Wash. | L 55–67 | 39:46 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 23.5% |
| 2026-02-19 | Idaho | W 77–67 | 39:09 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 44.4% |
| 2026-02-14 · NCAA | Northern Colo. | L 65–77 | 38:12 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10-23 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 47.8% |
| 2026-02-12 | Northern Ariz. | W 77–68 | 36:02 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Sacramento St. | W 74–73 | 36:16 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-02 | Idaho St. | W 88–65 | 37:24 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-18 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 61.1% |
| 2026-01-31 | Montana St. | W 63–54 | 35:19 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 22.2% |
| 2026-01-29 | Montana | L 60–64 | 38:32 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 23.1% |
| 2026-01-24 | Idaho | W 69–66 | 28:59 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 38.5% |
| 2026-01-22 | Eastern Wash. | W 65–61 | 40:00 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 40.9% |
| 2026-01-17 | Northern Ariz. | W 63–52 | 39:43 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 40.9% |
| 2026-01-15 | Northern Colo. | W 76–73 | 39:59 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 46.7% |
| 2026-01-10 | Sacramento St. | W 96–69 | 39:48 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10-19 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 55.3% |
| 2026-01-03 | Idaho St. | W 93–87 | 44:54 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 35.7% |
| 2026-01-01 | Weber St. | W 95–90 | 45:00 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11-24 | 3-6 | 9-16 | 52.1% |
| 2025-12-20 | Tulane | L 61–63 | 40:00 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 31.8% |
| 2025-12-17 | Colorado | L 73–84 | 39:36 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10-18 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 58.3% |
| 2025-12-06 | Omaha | L 55–60 | 36:14 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3-16 | 1-11 | 3-6 | 21.9% |
| 2025-12-03 | South Dakota | W 77–71 | 35:09 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 30.8% |
| 2025-11-25 | Utah Tech | W 68–63 | 40:00 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 14.3% |
| 2025-11-17 | CSU Bakersfield | W 93–80 | 31:07 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 61.8% |
| 2025-11-12 | San Francisco | L 70–80 | 36:56 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 46.9% |
| 2025-11-04 | Stanford | L 79–89 | 35:09 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 8-11 | 36.7% |