Morgan St.
MEAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 326 · Raw net -11.7 · Tempo 70.7 · 27 Division I games · Through 2026-03-11
Scouting Report
| Category | Offense | Defense | D-I Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | |||
| Efficiency / 100 poss. | 101.0316 | 112.7283 | 108.5 |
| Four Factors | |||
| Effective FG% | 45.8351 | 51.7196 | 51.4 |
| TO / 100 poss. | 17.8260 | 16.5184 | 16.7 |
| Offensive rebound % | 30.7172 | 35.2341 | 30.6 |
| FTA / FGA % | 42.722 | 50.9363 | 35.0 |
| Shooting | |||
| 3P% | 31.7295 | 31.543 | 33.9 |
| 2P% | 44.9355 | 53.7264 | 51.7 |
| FT% | 74.3115 | 70.363 | 72.5 |
| Style | |||
| 3PA / FGA % | 35.2 | 31.9 | 39.5 |
| Assists / FGM % | 51.9 | 56.7 | 52.6 |
| Blocks / opp. 2PA % | 8.5 | 10.4 | 9.5 |
| Point Distribution | |||
| 3-pointers % | 27.1 | 21.6 | 31.4 |
| 2-pointers % | 47.2 | 52.6 | 48.8 |
| Free throws % | 25.7 | 25.7 | 19.8 |
Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.
Rotation Depth
- Effective Rotation Size
- 8.5
- Top Three Share of Minutes
- 46%
- Bench Share of Minutes
- 30%
- Players with Logged Minutes
- 15
Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions
Schedule and Results
| Date | Opponent | Result | Poss. | Site | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 | Georgetown | L 70–87 | 75.5 | Away | 0–1 |
| 11-11 | UMBC | L 79–81 | 71.8 | Home | 0–2 |
| 11-15 | Mercyhurst | L 72–86 | 67.7 | Away | 0–3 |
| 11-18 | N.C. A&T | L 73–79 | 69.5 | Home | 0–4 |
| 11-21 | Old Dominion | L 56–88 | 66.7 | Away | 0–5 |
| 11-25 | Drexel | L 66–71 | 64.7 | Home | 0–6 |
| 12-06 | Longwood | L 80–84 | 74.7 | Home | 0–7 |
| 12-09 | DePaul | L 49–92 | 67.7 | Away | 0–8 |
| 12-13 | Niagara | W 81–73 | 67.0 | Home | 1–8 |
| 12-19 | California | L 50–97 | 69.5 | Away | 1–9 |
| 12-21 | San Francisco | L 64–94 | 68.7 | Away | 1–10 |
| 12-23 | LMU (CA) | L 56–83 | 69.7 | Away | 1–11 |
| 01-03 | UMES | L 49–66 | 66.7 | Away | 1–12 |
| 01-10 | South Carolina St. | W 72–67 | 66.7 | Home | 2–12 |
| 01-12 | N.C. Central | L 78–89 | 68.7 | Home | 2–13 |
| 01-17 | Delaware St. | W 80–79 | 73.2 | Away | 3–13 |
| 01-24 | Howard | W 78–77 | 80.9 | Away | 4–13 |
| 01-26 | Norfolk St. | W 79–78 | 76.1 | Away | 5–13 |
| 01-31 | Coppin St. | W 89–80 | 75.8 | Away | 6–13 |
| 02-07 | UMES | W 79–71 | 66.9 | Home | 7–13 |
| 02-16 | N.C. Central | L 76–80 | 72.9 | Away | 7–14 |
| 02-21 | Delaware St. | W 82–68 | 73.4 | Home | 8–14 |
| 02-25 | South Carolina St. | W 90–83 | 73.0 | Away | 9–14 |
| 02-28 | Howard | L 59–84 | 72.0 | Home | 9–15 |
| 03-02 | Norfolk St. | W 90–84 | 75.4 | Home | 10–15 |
| 03-05 | Coppin St. | W 70–66 | 68.8 | Home | 11–15 |
| 03-11 | Delaware St. | L 70–75 1OT | 75.2 | Neutral | 11–16 |
Roster · 15 players
Player logs in 27 of 27 team games
| Column groups | Minutes | Per 40 Minutes | Shooting | Last Five Team Games | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | G | MPG | Team Min% | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | 2P | 2P% | 3P | 3P% | FT | FT% | eFG% | TS% | FTA/FGA | G | MPG | Min% | Pts/G |
| Rob Lawson | 27 | 33:24 | 83.1% | 14.7 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 75–199 | 37.7% | 32–117 | 27.4% | 86–105 | 81.9% | 38.9% | 45.8% | 33.2% | 5 | 36:24 +3:00 | 88.8% | 12.4 +0.1 |
| Elijah Davis | 23 | 35:27 | 75.1% | 15.5 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 107–236 | 45.3% | 3–20 | 15.0%† | 93–127 | 73.2% | 43.6% | 50.7% | 49.6% | 5 | 37:13 +1:46 | 90.8% | 14.2 +0.5 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 27 | 29:29 | 73.4% | 22.6 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 58–144 | 40.3% | 65–193 | 33.7% | 139–157 | 88.5% | 46.1% | 55.4% | 46.6% | 5 | 33:45 +4:16 | 82.3% | 16.6 −0.1 |
| Christian Meeks | 27 | 28:40 | 71.3% | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 53–92 | 57.6% | 2–9 | 22.2%† | 43–71 | 60.6% | 55.4% | 58.6% | 70.3% | 5 | 27:25 −1:15 | 66.9% | 4.4 −1.3 |
| Eugene Alvin | 26 | 19:42 | 47.2% | 15.2 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 44–88 | 50.0% | 24–67 | 35.8% | 35–58 | 60.3% | 51.6% | 54.0% | 37.4% | 5 | 30:51 +11:10 | 75.3% | 15.6 +8.1 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 25 | 19:37 | 45.2% | 18.1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 29–71 | 40.8% | 43–113 | 38.1% | 35–44 | 79.5% | 50.8% | 54.6% | 23.9% | 5 | 20:45 +1:08 | 50.6% | 10.4 +1.5 |
| Christian Oliver | 23 | 15:09 | 32.1% | 11.6 | 7.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 39–67 | 58.2%† | 2–9 | 22.2%† | 17–26 | 65.4% | 55.3%† | 57.8%† | 34.2%† | 5 | 9:00 −6:09 | 21.9% | 0.4 −4.0 |
| Marland Harris | 18 | 12:18 | 20.4% | 8.9 | 10.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 16–38 | 42.1%† | 0–0 | — | 17–25 | 68.0% | 42.1%† | 50.0%† | 65.8%† | 1 | 7:13 −5:05 | 3.5% | 1.0 −1.7 |
| David Bumpass | 19 | 8:48 | 15.4% | 12.4 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 11–30 | 36.7%† | 4–17 | 23.5%† | 18–28 | 64.3% | 36.2%† | 43.8%† | 59.6%† | 3 | 4:08 −4:40 | 6.0% | 0.0 −2.7 |
| Manok Lual | 17 | 7:09 | 11.2% | 6.6 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 7–15 | 46.7%† | 0–4 | 0.0%† | 6–14 | 42.9%† | 36.8%† | 39.7%† | 73.7%† | 3 | 6:40 −0:30 | 9.7% | 1.3 +0.2 |
| Dallas James | 18 | 6:12 | 10.3% | 9.3 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 11.8 | 10–21 | 47.6%† | 0–0 | — | 6–8 | 75.0%† | 47.6%† | 53.0%† | 38.1%† | 1 | 5:11 −1:01 | 2.5% | 4.0 +2.6 |
| Matar WadeUnder 100 minutes | 13 | 7:05 | 8.5% | 5.2 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 9.1 | 5–10 | 50.0%† | 0–1 | 0.0%† | 2–2 | 100.0%† | 45.5%† | 50.5%† | 18.2%† | — | — | — | — |
| Trent EdwardsFew gamesUnder 100 minutes | 2 | 16:59 | 3.1% | 8.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 3–6 | 50.0%† | 0–1 | 0.0%† | 1–3 | 33.3%† | 42.9%† | 42.1%† | 42.9%† | — | — | — | — |
| Breon BarnettUnder 100 minutes | 11 | 1:42 | 1.7% | 0.0 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.6 | 0–1 | 0.0%† | 0–1 | 0.0%† | 0–0 | — | 0.0%† | 0.0%† | 0.0%† | 1 | 1:10 −0:32 | 0.6% | 0.0 0.0 |
| Jayden SockaFew gamesUnder 100 minutes | 4 | 1:53 | 0.7% | 0.0 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | — | 0–2 | 0.0%† | — | 0.0%† | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes | 27 games | 71.4 | 33.8 | 12.1 | not published | 3.3 | 12.6 | not published | 457–1018 | 44.9% | 175–552 | 31.7% | 498–670 | 74.3% | 45.8% | 51.9% | 42.7% | ||||||
| Sum of players | 71.4 | 29.1 | 12.2 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 12.1 | 21.3 | Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals. | |||||||||||||||
| Residual: team minus players | 0.0 | +4.8 | −0.1 | not published | 0.0 | +0.5 | not published | ||||||||||||||||
G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.
Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β
Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.
- Team Pool
- $225K
- 80% Range $84K to $605K
- Tier
- Low and other
- low evidence
- Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $215K to $230K
- Scenario medians
- Players with Figures
- 15
- 3 floor only
| Player | Poss. Share | Speculative Best Guess | 80% Range | Range Graphic | Median % of Team Pool | Scenarios Z1 to Z4 | Floor Part | Evidence and Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Lawson | 82.9% | $5K | $1K to $44K | 1.1% | $5K in all four | $1K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Elijah Davis | 78.8% | $35K | $2K to $135K | 17.5% | $34K to $36K | $1K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 74.4% | $18K | $1K to $77K | 12.6% | $17K to $18K | $1K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Christian Meeks | 72.3% | $18K | $1K to $77K | 12.4% | $17K to $18K | $1K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Eugene Alvin | 46.0% | $8K | $1K to $41K | 6.4% | $8K to $9K | $1K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 44.6% | $9K | $1K to $55K | 6.6% | $9K to $10K | $1K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Christian Oliver | 32.5% | $25K | $4K to $140K | 9.5% | $24K to $25K | $1K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Marland Harris | 20.1% | $15K | $2K to $83K | 6.0% | $15K to $16K | $1K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| David Bumpass | 13.8% | $3K | $1K to $13K | 2.1% | $3K to $4K | $1K | Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Manok Lual | 11.5% | $3K | $1K to $9K | 1.0% | $3K in all four | $1K | Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Dallas James | 10.2% | $2K | $1K to $8K | 1.0% | $2K in all four | $1K | Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Matar Wade | 8.2% | $3K | $1K to $10K | 1.6% | $3K in all four | $1K | Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Trent Edwards | 3.0% | $1K | $0 to $4K | 0.7% | $1K in all four | $1K | Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Breon Barnett | 1.5% | $1K | $0 to $4K | 0.7% | $1K in all four | $1K | Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Jayden Socka | 0.3% | $1K | $0 to $4K | 0.7% | $1K in all four | $1K | Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Team Pool | — | $225K | $84K to $605K | 100% | $215K to $230K | — |
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)
Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.
| Measure | School-Reported Amount | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Men's basketball revenue | $2,630,186 | |
| Men's basketball expenses | $2,215,530 | |
| Athletics department expenses | $23,559,865 | |
| Athletics department revenue | $23,559,865 |
Team Totalsβ
Season per 40 minutes, 27 games, 1,918 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1085 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions
| Statistic | Team | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 71.4 | 79.7 |
| Field goals made | 23.3 | 26.7 |
| Field goals attempted | 57.9 | 57.3 |
| 3-pointers made | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| 3-pointers attempted | 20.4 | 18.2 |
| Free throws made | 18.4 | 20.5 |
| Free throws attempted | 24.7 | 29.2 |
| Offensive rebounds | 11.4 | 12.2 |
| Defensive rebounds | 22.5 | 25.7 |
| Total rebounds | 33.8 | 37.9 |
| Assists | 12.1 | 15.2 |
| Blocks | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Turnovers | 12.6 | 11.6 |
| Steals | No team figure. Players sum to 116. | |
| Personal fouls | No team figure. Players sum to 578. | |
| Minutes (derived) | 200.0 | not published |
27 of 27 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions
| Statistic | Status | Team Total, Logged Games | Sum of Players | Residual | Tolerance | Team Total, Games Without Logs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | Reconciled | 1,937 | 1,937 | 0 | ±9.7 | 0 |
| Field goals made | Reconciled | 632 | 632 | 0 | ±3.2 | 0 |
| Field goals attempted | Reconciled | 1,570 | 1,570 | 0 | ±7.9 | 0 |
| 3-pointers made | Reconciled | 175 | 175 | 0 | ±2.0 | 0 |
| 3-pointers attempted | Reconciled | 552 | 552 | 0 | ±2.8 | 0 |
| Free throws made | Reconciled | 498 | 498 | 0 | ±2.5 | 0 |
| Free throws attempted | Reconciled | 670 | 670 | 0 | ±3.4 | 0 |
| Offensive rebounds | No player split | not published | not published | not published | not published | not published |
| Defensive rebounds | No player split | not published | not published | not published | not published | not published |
| Total rebounds | Residual shown | 918 | 789 | +129 | ±73.4 | 0 |
| Assists | Reconciled | 328 | 330 | −2 | ±2.0 | 0 |
| Blocks | Reconciled | 90 | 90 | 0 | ±2.0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | Residual shown | 342 | 328 | +14 | ±10.3 | 0 |
| Steals | No team figure | not published | 116 | not published | not published | not published |
| Personal fouls | No team figure | not published | 578 | not published | not published | not published |
| Minutes (derived) | Reconciled | 5,425 | 5,412 | +13.1 | ±108.5 | 0 |
Model-Implied Player Valueβ
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.
| Player | Poss. Share | Net and Rangeβ | Range Graphic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Lawson | 82.9% | -3.6range -4.8 to -2.1Sufficient evidence | |
| Elijah Davis | 78.8% | -0.5range -2.0 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 74.4% | -1.4range -2.5 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | |
| Christian Meeks | 72.3% | -1.6range -2.7 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | |
| Eugene Alvin | 46.0% | -1.8range -2.9 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 44.6% | -1.9range -3.4 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | |
| Christian Oliver | 32.5% | +0.1range -1.2 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | |
| Marland Harris | 20.1% | +0.1range -1.5 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | |
| David Bumpass | 13.8% | -2.0range -2.9 to -1.1Limited evidence | |
| Manok Lual | 11.5% | -3.2range -4.6 to -1.9Limited evidence | |
| Dallas James | 10.2% | -3.9range -4.6 to -3.1Limited evidence | |
| Matar Wade | 8.2% | -2.0range -2.8 to -1.1Limited evidence | |
| Trent Edwards | 3.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | |
| Breon Barnett | 1.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | |
| Jayden Socka | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence |
Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β
Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology
- Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
- +7.7range +6.8 to +8.7Sufficient evidence
200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.
12 valued players hold 99.0% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.0%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 8.7%.