Elijah Davis
Morgan St. · 2025–26 · 23 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
815:12 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 23
- Minutes per game
- 35:27
- Points per game
- 13.7
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.3 / 5.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 13.7 | 3.3 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 15.5 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Season totals | 316 | 76 | 129 | 21 | 4 | 65 | 59 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 110–256 | 43.0% | 11.1 | 12.6 |
| 2P | 107–236 | 45.3% | 10.3 | 11.6 |
| 3P | 3–20 | 15.0%† | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| FT | 93–127 | 73.2% | 5.5 | 6.2 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.6% | 50.7% | 7.8% | 49.6% | 1.98 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Morgan St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $35K
- 80% range $2K to $135K
- Median share of team pool
- 17.5%
- team pool $225K, 80% range $84K to $605K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $34K to $36K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 78.8%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Morgan St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Morgan St | $35Kspeculative | $2K to $135K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.5 | -2.0 to +0.8 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | -0.4 | +3.4range +2.8 to +3.9 | 2,912 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 37:13 | 35:27 | 18:50–44:22 | |
| Points | 14.2 | 13.7 | 2.0–25.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 44.5% | 42.8% | 0.0%–62.5% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Delaware St. | L 70–75 | 44:22 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5-16 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 34.4% |
| 2026-03-05 | Coppin St. | W 70–66 | 23:00 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 62.5% |
| 2026-03-02 | Norfolk St. | W 90–84 | 39:40 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-28 | Howard | L 59–84 | 39:02 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-25 | South Carolina St. | W 90–83 | 39:59 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 30.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Delaware St. | W 82–68 | 38:30 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 37.5% |
| 2026-02-16 | N.C. Central | L 76–80 | 36:52 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 60.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | UMES | W 79–71 | 39:19 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 36.4% |
| 2026-01-31 | Coppin St. | W 89–80 | 37:43 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-26 | Norfolk St. | W 79–78 | 38:52 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-24 | Howard | W 78–77 | 39:26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 30.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Delaware St. | W 80–79 | 32:44 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-12 | N.C. Central | L 78–89 | 38:14 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-10 | South Carolina St. | W 72–67 | 38:41 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | UMES | L 49–66 | 30:59 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 28.6% |
| 2025-12-09 | DePaul | L 49–92 | 24:56 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Longwood | L 80–84 | 37:59 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 57.1% |
| 2025-11-25 | Drexel | L 66–71 | 39:58 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-21 | Old Dominion | L 56–88 | 34:47 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 60.0% |
| 2025-11-18 | N.C. A&T | L 73–79 | 37:28 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 61.5% |
| 2025-11-15 | Mercyhurst | L 72–86 | 18:50 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | UMBC | L 79–81 | 38:18 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 41.2% |
| 2025-11-03 | Georgetown | L 70–87 | 25:33 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 25.0% |