USC Upstate

BSth · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 269 · Raw net -6.7 · Tempo 69.3 · 29 Division I games · Through 2026-03-04

Record: 10–19; 10 wins
AdjNet: -8.2β; rank 284 of 365
AdjO: 101.0β; rank 321 of 365
AdjD: 109.2β; rank 207 of 365
AdjT: 68.5β
SOS: -2.9β; rank 261 of 363
NCSOS: 0.4β
WAB: -12.8β; rank 278 of 363
RR: -1.6β
Exp. W: 11.6β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	100.8318	107.4145	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	48.3307	51.0156	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	18.2283	16.4194	16.7
Offensive rebound %	29.2231	31.4224	30.6
FTA / FGA %	32.8239	36.0210	35.0
Shooting
3P%	31.4307	35.6289	33.9
2P%	48.9286	49.579	51.7
FT%	68.1323	70.469	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	35.6	36.1	39.5
Assists / FGM %	46.0	44.7	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	12.5	11.0	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	28.3	30.3	31.4
2-pointers %	52.9	49.7	48.8
Free throws %	18.8	19.9	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.7
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 34%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	California Baptist	L 75–87	70.9	Away	0–1
11-05	Fresno St.	W 67–66	70.8	Away	1–1
11-15	UNCW	L 60–73	61.4	Away	1–2
11-19	Tennessee Tech	L 84–88	77.0	Home	1–3
11-21	West Ga.	L 64–72	71.2	Away	1–4
11-25	N.C. Central	W 82–67	68.8	Home	2–4
11-29	Nebraska	L 63–72	71.7	Away	2–5
12-03	Coastal Carolina	W 85–78 1OT	80.1	Home	3–5
12-06	Western Caro.	W 78–67	71.8	Home	4–5
12-13	North Carolina	L 62–80	63.9	Away	4–6
12-16	South Carolina St.	W 78–72	67.5	Away	5–6
12-20	Youngstown St.	L 65–74	70.8	Away	5–7
12-31	Radford	L 69–76	73.0	Home	5–8
01-03	Presbyterian	L 77–86	69.9	Away	5–9
01-10	Winthrop	L 50–71	66.8	Home	5–10
01-14	Charleston So.	W 86–81 1OT	79.4	Away	6–10
01-17	High Point	L 69–89	67.8	Away	6–11
01-21	UNC Asheville	L 69–83	66.8	Home	6–12
01-23	Gardner-Webb	L 65–67	66.3	Away	6–13
01-29	Longwood	W 65–60	70.4	Home	7–13
02-04	UNC Asheville	L 67–76	67.6	Away	7–14
02-07	Charleston So.	W 100–94 1OT	77.0	Home	8–14
02-12	High Point	L 70–95	75.1	Home	8–15
02-14	Longwood	L 75–82 1OT	83.7	Away	8–16
02-19	Winthrop	L 64–68	67.2	Away	8–17
02-21	Presbyterian	W 76–74	64.4	Home	9–17
02-26	Radford	L 59–71	67.4	Away	9–18
02-28	Gardner-Webb	W 71–61	70.3	Home	10–18
03-04	Gardner-Webb	L 64–65	64.6	Neutral	10–19

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 29 of 29 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Carmelo Adkins	29	31:12	76.7%	16.8	6.4	2.0	1.3	0.1	2.7	1.9	71–161	44.1%	50–165	30.3%	89–110	80.9%	44.8%	50.9%	33.7%	5	35:03 +3:51	87.6%	14.8 +1.7
Karmani Gregory	28	31:48	75.4%	20.3	2.7	3.7	1.4	0.3	3.0	2.0	99–202	49.0%	55–170	32.4%	88–119	73.9%	48.8%	53.1%	32.0%	4	33:40 +1:52	67.3%	17.5 +1.4
Mason Bendinger	29	30:24	74.7%	18.9	4.8	1.5	0.6	0.5	2.5	2.6	142–317	44.8%	22–70	31.4%	67–122	54.9%	45.2%	47.3%	31.5%	5	32:49 +2:25	82.0%	8.8 −5.6
Tyler Smith	28	23:07	54.8%	7.9	4.5	5.0	2.0	0.1	3.1	3.8	33–84	39.3%	13–43	30.2%†	22–33	66.7%	41.3%	44.9%	26.0%	4	14:51 −8:16	29.7%	0.8 −3.8
Isaiah Skinner	29	19:42	48.4%	9.7	5.4	2.8	1.9	0.8	2.1	4.5	16–32	50.0%	30–90	33.3%	16–18	88.9%†	50.0%	53.1%	14.8%	5	29:39 +9:56	74.1%	9.4 +4.6
Learic Davis	25	22:20	47.3%	14.5	8.4	1.0	1.1	1.0	2.4	5.0	49–87	56.3%	21–61	34.4%	41–54	75.9%	54.4%	58.8%	36.5%	3	18:35 −3:45	27.9%	5.3 −2.7
Jafeth Martinez	28	19:03	45.2%	9.7	10.8	0.4	0.3	3.7	1.6	6.4	47–69	68.1%†	0–0	—	36–58	62.1%	68.1%†	68.8%†	84.1%†	5	19:05 +0:01	47.7%	5.8 +1.2
Coen Collier	27	13:37	31.1%	4.1	10.1	1.6	0.2	3.9	1.2	4.8	16–38	42.1%†	0–7	0.0%†	6–20	30.0%†	35.6%†	35.3%†	44.4%†	4	12:37 −1:00	25.2%	2.5 +1.1
Breylin Garcia	20	14:41	24.9%	18.4	11.7	1.9	2.5	0.4	2.9	6.5	60–98	61.2%†	0–0	—	15–26	57.7%	61.2%†	61.7%†	26.5%†	5	16:18 +1:37	40.7%	7.2 +0.5
Kanye Jones	20	7:24	12.5%	5.7	1.1	1.4	0.5	0.3	0.8	2.7	6–15	40.0%†	2–10	20.0%†	3–3	100.0%†	36.0%†	39.9%†	12.0%†	4	8:47 +1:23	17.6%	1.3 +0.2
Nic BookFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	9:39	4.1%	11.6	9.1	1.7	1.7	0.8	1.7	7.5	5–6	83.3%†	0–0	—	4–4	100.0%†	83.3%†	90.2%†	66.7%†	—	—	—	—
Chico JohnsonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	7	5:13	3.1%	5.5	5.5	1.1	1.1	0.0	2.2	5.5	1–5	20.0%†	1–1	100.0%†	0–1	0.0%†	41.7%†	38.8%†	16.7%†	—	—	—	—
CJ RichFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	4:58	0.4%	0.0	0.0	16.1	0.0	0.0	8.1	0.0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	29 games			69.8	34.8	11.5	not published	4.7	12.6	not published	545–1114	48.9%	194–617	31.4%	387–568	68.1%	48.3%	52.0%	32.8%
Sum of players				69.8	31.2	11.5	6.0	4.6	12.1	18.3	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.7	0.0	not published	+0.0	+0.5	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $165K; 80% Range $61K to $445K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $155K to $185K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Carmelo Adkins	77.1%	$7K	$1K to $37K	6.9%	$7K to $8K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Karmani Gregory	76.7%	$5K	$1K to $30K	3.6%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mason Bendinger	75.2%	$16K	$1K to $59K	13.1%	$16K to $18K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Smith	53.8%	$12K	$1K to $45K	9.6%	$12K to $14K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Skinner	48.6%	$18K	$4K to $59K	11.1%	$17K to $20K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Learic Davis	46.5%	$16K	$4K to $53K	10.5%	$16K to $18K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jafeth Martinez	44.4%	$30K	$9K to $100K	16.4%	$29K to $34K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Coen Collier	31.5%	$4K	$1K to $18K	3.6%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Breylin Garcia	25.8%	$21K	$6K to $74K	11.5%	$20K to $24K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kanye Jones	12.4%	$2K	$1K to $8K	1.6%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nic Book	4.2%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.8%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Chico Johnson	3.2%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.8%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
CJ Rich	0.4%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.8%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$165K	$61K to $445K	100%	$155K to $185K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of South Carolina-Upstate (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,419,533	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,419,533
Athletics department expenses	$10,944,084
Athletics department revenue	$10,944,084

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 29 games, 2,043 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1180 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	69.8	74.4
Field goals made	25.1	26.0
Field goals attempted	58.7	58.5
3-pointers made	6.6	7.5
3-pointers attempted	20.9	21.1
Free throws made	13.1	14.8
Free throws attempted	19.3	21.1
Offensive rebounds	10.7	11.1
Defensive rebounds	24.1	25.9
Total rebounds	34.8	37.0
Assists	11.5	11.6
Blocks	4.7	4.1
Turnovers	12.6	11.4
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 178.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 540.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

29 of 29 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,059	2,059	0	±10.3	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	739	739	0	±3.7	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,731	1,731	0	±8.7	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	194	194	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	617	617	0	±3.1	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	387	387	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	568	568	0	±2.8	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,027	919	+108	±82.2	0
Assists	Reconciled	340	340	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	138	137	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	372	358	+14	±11.2	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	178	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	540	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,900	5,886	+13.8	±118.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Carmelo Adkins	77.1%	-1.8range -3.0 to -0.6Sufficient evidence
Karmani Gregory	76.7%	-2.8range -4.0 to -1.2Sufficient evidence
Mason Bendinger	75.2%	-0.3range -1.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Tyler Smith	53.8%	-0.5range -1.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Isaiah Skinner	48.6%	+0.8range -0.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Learic Davis	46.5%	+0.5range -0.6 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Jafeth Martinez	44.4%	+2.0range +0.8 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Coen Collier	31.5%	-1.5range -2.6 to -0.4Sufficient evidence
Breylin Garcia	25.8%	+2.5range +1.6 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Kanye Jones	12.4%	-2.0range -3.2 to -0.8Limited evidence
Nic Book	4.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Chico Johnson	3.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
CJ Rich	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.8range +8.0 to +9.6Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.4% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.6%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 2.5%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value