SC Upstate

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for SC Upstate, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Carmelo Adkins	77.1%	-1.8range -3.0 to -0.6Sufficient evidence	+3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $37KLoading
Karmani Gregory	76.7%	-2.8range -4.0 to -1.2Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.3 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $30KLoading
Mason Bendinger	75.2%	-0.3range -1.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+3.7range +3.1 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $59KLoading
Tyler Smith	53.8%	-0.5range -1.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.2 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$12KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $45KLoading
Isaiah Skinner	48.6%	+0.8range -0.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$18KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $59KLoading
Learic Davis	46.5%	+0.5range -0.6 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $53KLoading
Jafeth Martinez	44.4%	+2.0range +0.8 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.5 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $100KLoading
Coen Collier	31.5%	-1.5range -2.6 to -0.4Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $18KLoading
Breylin Garcia	25.8%	+2.5range +1.6 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.6 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $74KLoading
Kanye Jones	12.4%	-2.0range -3.2 to -0.8Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $8KLoading
Nic Book	4.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading
Chico Johnson	3.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading
CJ Rich	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $165K; 80% Range $61K to $445K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $155K to $185K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Carmelo Adkins	77.1%	$7K	$1K to $37K	6.9%	$7K to $8K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Karmani Gregory	76.7%	$5K	$1K to $30K	3.6%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mason Bendinger	75.2%	$16K	$1K to $59K	13.1%	$16K to $18K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Smith	53.8%	$12K	$1K to $45K	9.6%	$12K to $14K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Skinner	48.6%	$18K	$4K to $59K	11.1%	$17K to $20K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Learic Davis	46.5%	$16K	$4K to $53K	10.5%	$16K to $18K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jafeth Martinez	44.4%	$30K	$9K to $100K	16.4%	$29K to $34K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Coen Collier	31.5%	$4K	$1K to $18K	3.6%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Breylin Garcia	25.8%	$21K	$6K to $74K	11.5%	$20K to $24K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kanye Jones	12.4%	$2K	$1K to $8K	1.6%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nic Book	4.2%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.8%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Chico Johnson	3.2%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.8%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
CJ Rich	0.4%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.8%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$165K	$61K to $445K	100%	$155K to $185K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of South Carolina-Upstate (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,419,533	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,419,533
Athletics department expenses	$10,944,084
Athletics department revenue	$10,944,084

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$1,419,533	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,419,533	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	6
3 or more days	22

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology