Montana St.

BSky · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 123 · Raw net 3.1 · Tempo 67.4 · 29 Division I games · Through 2026-03-08

Record: 15–14; 15 wins
AdjNet: 2.9β; rank 131 of 365
AdjO: 110.1β; rank 132 of 365
AdjD: 107.2β; rank 151 of 365
AdjT: 67.1β
SOS: 0.0β; rank 162 of 363
NCSOS: 5.3β
WAB: -7.6β; rank 171 of 363
RR: -1.7β
Exp. W: 16.7β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	111.4113	108.2173	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	53.682	51.7195	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	14.753	15.7240	16.7
Offensive rebound %	27.0292	28.275	30.6
FTA / FGA %	30.2303	29.652	35.0
Shooting
3P%	36.153	34.3197	33.9
2P%	53.1124	51.8182	51.7
FT%	74.0133	76.4352	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	44.7	34.3	39.5
Assists / FGM %	39.9	43.2	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.3	7.5	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	37.3	28.0	31.4
2-pointers %	45.4	54.0	48.8
Free throws %	17.3	18.0	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.6
Top Three Share of Minutes: 44%
Bench Share of Minutes: 32%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Colorado	L 78–84	68.8	Away	0–1
11-09	Denver	L 73–75	64.0	Home	0–2
11-12	Stanford	L 68–77	74.6	Away	0–3
11-15	Boise St.	L 58–62	63.3	Away	0–4
11-21	Long Beach St.	W 78–72	69.1	Away	1–4
11-29	Utah St.	L 81–84 1OT	77.4	Away	1–5
12-03	St. Thomas (MN)	W 82–74	67.7	Home	2–5
12-06	Oral Roberts	L 68–72	64.3	Away	2–6
12-13	Oregon St.	L 57–67	64.2	Away	2–7
12-16	Cal Poly	W 83–80	71.8	Away	3–7
01-01	Northern Colo.	W 89–75	71.9	Home	4–7
01-03	Northern Ariz.	W 77–68	62.9	Home	5–7
01-08	Eastern Wash.	W 68–64	64.5	Away	6–7
01-10	Idaho	L 89–92	68.3	Away	6–8
01-17	Montana	W 76–67	71.1	Home	7–8
01-19	Northern Colo.	W 73–68	65.7	Away	8–8
01-22	Idaho St.	W 74–62	62.6	Home	9–8
01-24	Weber St.	W 91–88	70.5	Home	10–8
01-29	Sacramento St.	L 80–83	71.8	Away	10–9
01-31	Portland St.	L 54–63	61.4	Away	10–10
02-05	Idaho	W 73–66	72.8	Home	11–10
02-07	Eastern Wash.	L 71–72	64.9	Home	11–11
02-14	Montana	W 82–71	66.0	Away	12–11
02-19	Weber St.	L 79–82 1OT	72.8	Away	12–12
02-21	Idaho St.	L 76–91	72.5	Away	12–13
02-26	Portland St.	W 84–69	70.4	Home	13–13
02-28	Sacramento St.	W 82–61	66.4	Home	14–13
03-02	Northern Ariz.	W 76–65	61.0	Away	15–13
03-08	Idaho	L 74–78	67.4	Neutral	15–14

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 29 of 29 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Jed Miller	29	35:46	88.7%	441	163	82	44	4	39	71	61–111	55.0%	80–202	39.6%	79–99	79.8%	57.8%	61.8%	31.6%	5	37:30 +1:44	93.8%	16.4 +1.2
Patrick McMahon	27	30:01	69.3%	372	126	54	18	4	44	56	122–245	49.8%	12–52	23.1%	92–128	71.9%	47.1%	52.6%	43.1%	3	20:40 −9:21	31.0%	14.3 +0.6
Christian King	25	28:24	60.7%	314	111	23	22	5	43	39	58–132	43.9%	49–142	34.5%	51–64	79.7%	48.0%	52.0%	23.4%	5	31:07 +2:43	77.8%	14.4 +1.8
Chris Hodges	29	24:24	60.5%	156	126	28	9	31	37	60	66–117	56.4%	0–0	—	24–50	48.0%	56.4%	56.1%	42.7%	5	20:44 −3:40	51.8%	6.2 +0.8
Jeremiah Davis	28	24:42	59.1%	257	67	31	36	10	31	56	63–104	60.6%	31–75	41.3%	38–51	74.5%	61.2%	63.8%	28.5%	5	28:57 +4:15	72.4%	11.0 +1.8
Seth Amunrud	23	21:16	41.8%	168	63	16	16	7	13	31	25–48	52.1%	32–75	42.7%	22–22	100.0%†	59.3%	63.3%	17.9%	5	25:27 +4:12	63.6%	11.2 +3.9
Davian Brown	18	25:11	38.8%	224	58	29	13	1	20	29	29–61	47.5%	43–106	40.6%	37–45	82.2%	56.0%	60.0%	26.9%	—	—	—	—
Jaden Steppe	29	14:34	36.1%	150	70	20	14	10	29	72	49–77	63.6%	12–39	30.8%†	16–29	55.2%	57.8%	58.2%	25.0%	5	17:43 +3:09	44.3%	6.8 +1.6
Howie Keene	22	10:36	19.9%	27	36	10	10	3	6	25	3–5	60.0%†	6–30	20.0%†	3–3	100.0%†	34.3%†	37.2%†	8.6%†	5	24:17 +13:41	60.7%	3.8 +2.6
Cavin HoldenFew games	6	28:16	14.5%	50	19	10	5	1	7	12	10–18	55.6%†	8–34	23.5%†	6–6	100.0%†	42.3%†	45.8%†	11.5%†	—	—	—	—
Waka MbatchFew games	9	11:40	9.0%	35	21	5	3	5	6	19	12–19	63.2%†	0–1	0.0%†	11–15	73.3%†	60.0%†	65.8%†	75.0%†	—	—	—	—
Grayson GaddisFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	0:05	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	2	0:05 0:00	0.1%	0.0 0.0
Calum RutherfurdFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	2	0:02	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	2	0:02 0:00	0.0%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · season totals	29 games			2194	933	308	not published	81	290	not published	498–937	53.1%	273–756	36.1%	379–512	74.0%	53.6%	57.2%	30.2%
Sum of players				2194	860	308	190	81	275	470	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+73	0	not published	0	+15	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $275K; 80% Range $100K to $735K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $255K to $285K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jed Miller	88.8%	$69K	$23K to $200K	23.4%	$64K to $71K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Patrick McMahon	69.3%	$17K	$2K to $63K	8.6%	$16K to $18K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christian King	63.3%	$13K	$2K to $54K	6.7%	$13K to $14K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chris Hodges	61.8%	$37K	$11K to $110K	13.3%	$34K to $38K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jeremiah Davis	59.2%	$38K	$11K to $115K	13.5%	$35K to $39K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Seth Amunrud	40.8%	$18K	$5K to $55K	7.5%	$17K to $19K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Davian Brown	37.5%	$27K	$9K to $77K	9.1%	$25K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Steppe	35.9%	$15K	$3K to $50K	6.3%	$14K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Howie Keene	20.2%	$6K	$2K to $21K	2.9%	$6K to $7K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cavin Holden	15.5%	$6K	$2K to $18K	2.6%	$6K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Waka Mbatch	7.8%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Grayson Gaddis	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Calum Rutherfurd	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$275K	$100K to $735K	100%	$255K to $285K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Montana State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,385,737
Men's basketball expenses	$2,778,265
Athletics department expenses	$32,910,346
Athletics department revenue	$33,697,790

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 29 games, 1,970 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,194	2,132
Field goals made	771	775
Field goals attempted	1,693	1,693
3-pointers made	273	199
3-pointers attempted	756	581
Free throws made	379	383
Free throws attempted	512	501
Offensive rebounds	262	264
Defensive rebounds	671	707
Total rebounds	933	971
Assists	308	335
Blocks	81	70
Turnovers	290	309
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 190.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 470.
Minutes (derived)	5,850	not published

29 of 29 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,194	2,194	0	±11.0	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	771	771	0	±3.9	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,693	1,693	0	±8.5	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	273	273	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	756	756	0	±3.8	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	379	379	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	512	512	0	±2.6	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Reconciled	933	860	+73	±74.6	0
Assists	Reconciled	308	308	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	81	81	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	290	275	+15	±8.7	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	190	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	470	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,850	5,830	+20.3	±117.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Jed Miller	88.8%	+2.5range +1.4 to +3.5Sufficient evidence
Patrick McMahon	69.3%	-0.3range -1.7 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Christian King	63.3%	-0.7range -2.3 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Chris Hodges	61.8%	+1.7range +0.4 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Jeremiah Davis	59.2%	+1.9range +0.5 to +3.1Sufficient evidence
Seth Amunrud	40.8%	+0.8range -0.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Davian Brown	37.5%	+2.1range +1.4 to +2.8Sufficient evidence
Jaden Steppe	35.9%	+0.5range -0.9 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Howie Keene	20.2%	-0.3range -1.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Cavin Holden	15.5%	-0.1range -0.8 to +0.6Limited evidence
Waka Mbatch	7.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Grayson Gaddis	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Calum Rutherfurd	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +10.3range +9.5 to +11.1Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.4% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.6%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 3.1%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value