Rutgers

B10 · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 275 · Raw net -7.1 · Tempo 66.7 · 34 Division I games · Through 2026-04-02

Record: 14–20; 14 wins
AdjNet: -0.3β; rank 179 of 365
AdjO: 107.8β; rank 189 of 365
AdjD: 108.1β; rank 172 of 365
AdjT: 67.8β
SOS: 6.7β; rank 66 of 363
NCSOS: -5.9β
WAB: -7.0β; rank 151 of 363
RR: 1.9β
Exp. W: 12.1β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	104.5260	111.6266	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	47.2331	53.0267	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.062	17.1143	16.7
Offensive rebound %	29.7217	32.8293	30.6
FTA / FGA %	36.3144	31.799	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.4261	35.6287	33.9
2P%	46.5341	52.8224	51.7
FT%	74.1127	75.6334	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	34.2	39.2	39.5
Assists / FGM %	50.1	58.5	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	9.7	10.1	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	27.4	32.2	31.4
2-pointers %	50.5	49.4	48.8
Free throws %	22.1	18.4	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 10.0
Top Three Share of Minutes: 39%
Bench Share of Minutes: 40%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-05	Rider	W 81–53	66.6	Home	1–0
11-10	Maine	W 72–60	64.0	Home	2–0
11-14	Lehigh	W 84–72	70.2	Home	3–0
11-18	American	W 80–71	70.5	Home	4–0
11-21	Central Conn. St.	L 54–67	62.2	Home	4–1
11-24	Tennessee	L 60–85	66.7	Neutral	4–2
11-25	Notre Dame	L 63–68	62.2	Neutral	4–3
11-27	UNLV	W 80–65	69.3	Neutral	5–3
12-02	Purdue	L 65–81	64.9	Home	5–4
12-06	Michigan	L 60–101	72.7	Away	5–5
12-13	Seton Hall	L 59–81	67.6	Away	5–6
12-20	Penn	W 70–69	68.3	Home	6–6
12-29	Delaware St.	W 65–50	67.2	Home	7–6
01-02	Ohio St.	L 73–80	62.0	Home	7–7
01-05	Oregon	W 88–85 1OT	73.9	Home	8–7
01-08	Illinois	L 55–81	64.4	Away	8–8
01-11	Northwestern	W 77–75 1OT	70.8	Home	9–8
01-17	Wisconsin	L 87–96	72.9	Away	9–9
01-20	Iowa	L 62–68	64.5	Away	9–10
01-23	Indiana	L 59–82	59.0	Home	9–11
01-27	Michigan St.	L 79–88 1OT	71.6	Home	9–12
01-31	Southern California	L 75–78	70.5	Away	9–13
02-03	UCLA	L 66–98	63.0	Away	9–14
02-07	Nebraska	L 68–80	68.2	Home	9–15
02-15	Maryland	W 68–57	64.8	Home	10–15
02-18	Penn St.	W 85–72	68.2	Away	11–15
02-21	Minnesota	L 61–80	58.6	Away	11–16
02-24	Washington	L 72–79	70.6	Home	11–17
03-01	Maryland	W 69–65	70.3	Away	12–17
03-05	Michigan St.	L 87–91	72.1	Away	12–18
03-08	Penn St.	W 74–62	69.3	Home	13–18
03-11	Minnesota	W 72–67	63.9	Neutral	14–18
03-12	UCLA	L 59–72	68.8	Neutral	14–19
04-02	Creighton	L 69–82	74.4	—	14–20

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 34 of 34 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Tariq Francis	34	27:38	68.3%	578	78	99	35	1	40	80	129–284	45.4%	52–148	35.1%	164–180	91.1%	47.9%	56.5%	41.7%	5	30:21 +2:43	75.9%	19.4 +2.4
Jamichael Davis	34	26:09	64.7%	256	99	86	30	8	27	53	57–133	42.9%	29–81	35.8%	55–71	77.5%	47.0%	52.2%	33.2%	5	22:41 −3:28	56.7%	9.6 +2.1
Darren Buchanan Jr.	34	23:58	59.3%	277	131	57	21	6	46	55	91–190	47.9%	12–34	35.3%†	59–100	59.0%	48.7%	51.7%	44.6%	5	28:37 +4:39	71.5%	6.4 −1.7
Dylan Grant	34	23:56	59.2%	324	144	18	19	15	39	64	89–180	49.4%	22–72	30.6%	80–110	72.7%	48.4%	53.9%	43.7%	5	23:48 −0:07	59.5%	4.4 −5.1
Harun Zrno	34	19:03	47.1%	220	55	20	17	1	34	25	17–40	42.5%	52–154	33.8%	30–38	78.9%	49.0%	52.2%	19.6%	5	16:49 −2:14	42.0%	4.8 −1.7
Emmanuel Ogbole	34	19:00	47.0%	159	204	12	10	41	37	77	67–112	59.8%	0–0	—	25–46	54.3%	59.8%	60.1%	41.1%	5	23:39 +4:38	59.1%	8.4 +3.7
Lino Mark	33	15:50	38.0%	194	61	40	30	2	29	43	57–126	45.2%	10–43	23.3%†	50–65	76.9%	42.6%	49.1%	38.5%	5	25:55 +10:05	64.8%	12.2 +6.3
Kaden Powers	29	15:42	33.1%	178	52	44	14	4	30	33	40–109	36.7%	28–86	32.6%	14–19	73.7%†	42.1%	43.8%	9.7%	5	11:37 −4:05	29.0%	4.0 −2.1
Bryce Dortch	31	14:21	32.4%	65	99	4	17	21	12	58	25–41	61.0%†	0–0	—	15–28	53.6%	61.0%†	61.0%†	68.3%†	2	8:40 −5:41	8.7%	0.0 −2.1
Christopher Nwuli	30	9:58	21.7%	66	44	11	6	9	19	42	15–40	37.5%†	4–11	36.4%†	24–35	68.6%	41.2%†	49.7%†	68.6%†	3	17:34 +7:36	26.3%	5.0 +2.8
Denis Badalau	24	12:27	21.7%	74	41	21	6	4	13	17	15–36	41.7%†	10–47	21.3%†	14–21	66.7%†	36.1%†	40.1%†	25.3%†	1	10:56 −1:31	5.5%	0.0 −3.1
Baye FallFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	9	4:46	3.1%	5	15	1	1	3	2	11	2–6	33.3%†	0–0	—	1–2	50.0%†	33.3%†	36.3%†	33.3%†	—	—	—	—
Gevonte WareFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	5:58	2.6%	2	3	0	1	0	2	8	1–4	25.0%†	0–0	—	0–2	0.0%†	25.0%†	20.5%†	50.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	34 games			2398	1118	413	not published	116	343	not published	605–1301	46.5%	219–676	32.4%	531–717	74.1%	47.2%	52.3%	36.3%
Sum of players				2398	1026	413	207	115	330	566	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+92	0	not published	+1	+13	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $5.00M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Tariq Francis	68.3%	$520K	$165K to $1.05M	14.5%	$520K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jamichael Davis	64.8%	$400K	$41K to $740K	12.0%	$400K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Grant	59.8%	$295K	$31K to $540K	9.4%	$295K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Darren Buchanan Jr.	59.2%	$250K	$24K to $485K	7.7%	$250K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Emmanuel Ogbole	47.8%	$380K	$155K to $820K	10.5%	$380K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Harun Zrno	47.1%	$250K	$28K to $470K	7.6%	$250K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Lino Mark	38.1%	$315K	$130K to $710K	8.6%	$315K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Kaden Powers	33.6%	$205K	$33K to $365K	6.2%	$205K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryce Dortch	32.0%	$370K	$215K to $965K	9.7%	$370K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Christopher Nwuli	21.8%	$130K	$31K to $235K	4.1%	$130K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Denis Badalau	21.7%	$105K	$23K to $215K	3.3%	$105K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Baye Fall	3.2%	$26K	$15K to $44K	0.8%	$26K in all four	$26K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Gevonte Ware	2.6%	$26K	$15K to $44K	0.8%	$26K in all four	$26K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $5.00M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Rutgers University-New Brunswick (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$16,076,899	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$16,076,899
Athletics department expenses	$171,679,918
Athletics department revenue	$171,679,918

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 34 games, 2,294 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,398	2,561
Field goals made	824	907
Field goals attempted	1,977	1,971
3-pointers made	219	275
3-pointers attempted	676	773
Free throws made	531	472
Free throws attempted	717	624
Offensive rebounds	364	368
Defensive rebounds	754	862
Total rebounds	1,118	1,230
Assists	413	531
Blocks	116	131
Turnovers	343	392
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 207.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 566.
Minutes (derived)	6,875	not published

34 of 34 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,398	2,398	0	±12.0	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	824	824	0	±4.1	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,977	1,977	0	±9.9	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	219	219	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	676	676	0	±3.4	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	531	531	0	±2.7	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	717	717	0	±3.6	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,118	1,026	+92	±89.4	0
Assists	Reconciled	413	413	0	±2.1	0
Blocks	Reconciled	116	115	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	343	330	+13	±10.3	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	207	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	566	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,875	6,850	+25.0	±137.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Tariq Francis	68.3%	+0.7range -0.9 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Jamichael Davis	64.8%	-0.1range -1.5 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Dylan Grant	59.8%	-0.5range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Darren Buchanan Jr.	59.2%	-1.0range -2.4 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Emmanuel Ogbole	47.8%	+0.6range -0.5 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Harun Zrno	47.1%	-0.5range -1.7 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Lino Mark	38.1%	+0.6range -0.4 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Kaden Powers	33.6%	-0.3range -1.2 to +0.9Sufficient evidence
Bryce Dortch	32.0%	+1.6range +0.6 to +2.6Sufficient evidence
Christopher Nwuli	21.8%	-0.4range -1.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Denis Badalau	21.7%	-0.9range -2.2 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Baye Fall	3.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Gevonte Ware	2.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.4range +8.4 to +10.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 98.8% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value