SFA

Slnd · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 36 · Raw net 12.4 · Tempo 66.2 · 32 Division I games · Through 2026-03-17

Record: 26–6; 26 wins
AdjNet: 8.2β; rank 78 of 365
AdjO: 111.8β; rank 98 of 365
AdjD: 103.6β; rank 66 of 365
AdjT: 66.9β
SOS: -2.8β; rank 260 of 363
NCSOS: -4.7β
WAB: -0.1β; rank 51 of 363
RR: 2.0β
Exp. W: 24.0β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	112.890	100.428	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	51.7160	47.734	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	14.329	17.6116	16.7
Offensive rebound %	33.874	29.5131	30.6
FTA / FGA %	30.1306	31.186	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.869	30.311	33.9
2P%	50.4243	49.065	51.7
FT%	68.6310	73.0214	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	39.8	35.5	39.5
Assists / FGM %	48.4	47.6	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	10.0	10.1	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	34.4	27.3	31.4
2-pointers %	49.0	53.5	48.8
Free throws %	16.6	19.2	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.6
Top Three Share of Minutes: 44%
Bench Share of Minutes: 31%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-07	Arkansas St.	W 90–65	73.8	Home	1–0
11-11	Rice	W 81–69	67.5	Away	2–0
11-14	Abilene Christian	W 76–66	67.2	Home	3–0
11-18	Fresno St.	L 78–80	67.9	Away	3–1
11-21	Pepperdine	W 63–60	67.1	Away	4–1
11-29	UT Arlington	L 61–66	61.8	Away	4–2
12-03	UTRGV	W 73–60	68.5	Home	5–2
12-07	ULM	W 96–76	72.8	Home	6–2
12-17	A&M-Corpus Christi	W 69–60	64.0	Home	7–2
12-29	East Texas A&M	W 75–48	64.9	Away	8–2
12-31	Northwestern St.	W 74–64	65.7	Away	9–2
01-03	Southeastern La.	W 73–63	66.6	Away	10–2
01-05	McNeese	L 64–66	60.8	Away	10–3
01-10	Houston Christian	W 85–67	62.4	Home	11–3
01-12	UIW	W 56–46	66.8	Home	12–3
01-17	LSU New Orleans	W 84–79	68.2	Away	13–3
01-19	Nicholls	W 79–62	65.8	Away	14–3
01-24	Lamar University	W 88–81	67.0	Away	15–3
01-27	Northwestern St.	W 69–67	71.4	Home	16–3
01-31	Southeastern La.	W 85–58	60.7	Home	17–3
02-02	McNeese	W 67–60	70.0	Home	18–3
02-07	Lamar University	W 84–74	68.1	Home	19–3
02-09	East Texas A&M	W 74–70	66.8	Home	20–3
02-14	UTRGV	W 66–57	62.6	Away	21–3
02-16	A&M-Corpus Christi	W 78–68	67.0	Away	22–3
02-21	Nicholls	W 81–78	66.4	Home	23–3
02-23	LSU New Orleans	L 73–77	67.9	Home	23–4
02-28	Houston Christian	W 77–56	62.6	Away	24–4
03-02	UIW	W 76–68	60.2	Away	25–4
03-10	A&M-Corpus Christi	W 60–58	61.3	Neutral	26–4
03-11	McNeese	L 59–76	63.9	Away	26–5
03-17	Tulsa	L 84–89 1OT	78.5	—	26–6

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 32 of 32 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Keon Thompson	32	30:16	75.4%	595	154	141	36	4	88	81	192–358	53.6%	25–80	31.3%	136–196	69.4%	52.4%	56.7%	44.7%	5	31:57 +1:41	77.9%	19.6 +1.0
Chrishawn Christmas	32	29:35	73.7%	200	217	53	35	11	26	58	89–161	55.3%	0–2	0.0%†	22–52	42.3%	54.6%	53.8%	31.9%	5	31:21 +1:46	76.5%	4.8 −1.5
Lateef Patrick Jr	32	29:04	72.4%	480	102	57	44	4	46	81	97–223	43.5%	62–197	31.5%	100–123	81.3%	45.2%	50.6%	29.3%	5	32:49 +3:45	80.0%	15.0 0.0
Jerald Colonel	32	25:27	63.4%	148	232	40	30	81	23	72	59–122	48.4%	0–0	—	30–53	56.6%	48.4%	50.9%	43.4%	5	29:33 +4:05	72.1%	4.2 −0.4
Narit Chotikavanic	32	22:43	56.6%	306	91	21	30	2	13	52	18–43	41.9%	82–209	39.2%	24–34	70.6%	56.0%	57.3%	13.5%	5	22:45 +0:02	55.5%	9.4 −0.2
Kam Burton	32	18:55	47.1%	256	58	7	16	0	15	41	7–24	29.2%	73–169	43.2%	23–27	85.2%	60.4%	62.5%	14.0%	5	20:53 +1:58	50.9%	7.0 −1.0
Ahamed Mohammed	32	15:32	38.7%	144	49	40	17	3	26	43	24–64	37.5%	20–58	34.5%	36–48	75.0%	44.3%	50.3%	39.3%	5	11:35 −3:57	28.3%	3.0 −1.5
Gediminas Alisas	32	13:59	34.8%	153	75	39	5	2	25	27	65–104	62.5%	0–0	—	23–34	67.6%	62.5%	64.3%	32.7%	5	11:23 −2:35	27.8%	5.4 +0.6
Marcus Scurry	26	6:39	13.5%	62	12	8	2	1	10	18	13–24	54.2%†	11–36	30.6%†	3–6	50.0%†	49.2%†	49.5%†	10.0%†	5	5:47 −0:52	14.1%	2.0 −0.4
Christian Green	26	6:38	13.4%	21	31	6	5	5	7	17	10–21	47.6%†	0–0	—	1–3	33.3%†	47.6%†	47.0%†	14.3%†	5	6:30 −0:07	15.9%	0.8 0.0
Eltramon Smith Jr.Under 100 minutes	15	6:19	7.4%	24	17	5	0	3	6	17	9–12	75.0%†	2–18	11.1%†	0–3	0.0%†	40.0%†	38.3%†	10.0%†	—	—	—	—
Tichyque MusakaFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	2:18	1.1%	5	7	0	0	1	0	2	2–4	50.0%†	0–0	—	1–3	33.3%†	50.0%†	47.0%†	75.0%†	—	—	—	—
Harris DarFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	1:42	0.8%	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	1–1	100.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	100.0%†	100.0%†	0.0%†	1	0:40 −1:02	0.3%	0.0 −0.3
Bryceson MelvinFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	1:22	0.1%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	32 games			2398	1160	417	not published	117	303	not published	587–1164	50.4%	275–769	35.8%	399–582	68.6%	51.7%	54.8%	30.1%
Sum of players				2396	1046	418	220	117	285	511	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				+2	+114	−1	not published	0	+18	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $230K; 80% Range $85K to $625K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $225K to $240K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Keon Thompson	76.3%	$28K	$9K to $83K	13.5%	$27K to $29K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Lateef Patrick Jr	74.3%	$38K	$13K to $105K	15.9%	$36K to $39K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chrishawn Christmas	74.0%	$40K	$15K to $115K	17.1%	$39K to $42K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jerald Colonel	63.3%	$45K	$15K to $130K	17.9%	$43K to $46K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Narit Chotikavanic	55.7%	$17K	$4K to $53K	8.7%	$17K to $18K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kam Burton	48.4%	$22K	$8K to $62K	9.9%	$22K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ahamed Mohammed	37.3%	$11K	$3K to $34K	5.6%	$11K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Gediminas Alisas	34.8%	$8K	$2K to $27K	4.1%	$8K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christian Green	13.9%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.2%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Marcus Scurry	11.6%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.3%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Eltramon Smith Jr.	8.4%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Tichyque Musaka	1.1%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Harris Dar	0.8%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryceson Melvin	0.2%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$230K	$85K to $625K	100%	$225K to $240K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Stephen F Austin State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,403,896	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,403,896
Athletics department expenses	$22,450,088
Athletics department revenue	$22,450,088

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 32 games, 2,126 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,398	2,134
Field goals made	862	765
Field goals attempted	1,933	1,806
3-pointers made	275	194
3-pointers attempted	769	641
Free throws made	399	410
Free throws attempted	582	562
Offensive rebounds	384	324
Defensive rebounds	776	753
Total rebounds	1,160	1,077
Assists	417	364
Blocks	117	118
Turnovers	303	375
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 220.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 511.
Minutes (derived)	6,425	not published

32 of 32 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,398	2,396	+2	±12.0	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	862	861	+1	±4.3	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,933	1,930	+3	±9.7	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	275	275	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	769	769	0	±3.8	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	399	399	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	582	582	0	±2.9	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,160	1,046	+114	±92.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	417	418	−1	±2.1	0
Blocks	Reconciled	117	117	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	303	285	+18	±9.1	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	220	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	511	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,425	6,401	+23.8	±128.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Keon Thompson	76.3%	+1.7range +1.0 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Lateef Patrick Jr	74.3%	+2.8range +1.6 to +4.0Sufficient evidence
Chrishawn Christmas	74.0%	+3.0range +2.0 to +4.4Sufficient evidence
Jerald Colonel	63.3%	+3.9range +2.9 to +5.1Sufficient evidence
Narit Chotikavanic	55.7%	+1.2range +0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence
Kam Burton	48.4%	+2.3range +1.5 to +3.3Sufficient evidence
Ahamed Mohammed	37.3%	+0.9range +0.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence
Gediminas Alisas	34.8%	+0.1range -0.9 to +1.0Sufficient evidence
Christian Green	13.9%	-1.6range -2.4 to -0.8Limited evidence
Marcus Scurry	11.6%	-1.0range -1.8 to -0.2Limited evidence
Eltramon Smith Jr.	8.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Tichyque Musaka	1.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Harris Dar	0.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Bryceson Melvin	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +11.3range +10.3 to +12.2Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 97.9% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 2.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.1%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value

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