UC Riverside

BW · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 316 · Raw net -10.5 · Tempo 71.1 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-06

Record: 8–22; 8 wins
AdjNet: -8.5β; rank 286 of 365
AdjO: 102.8β; rank 294 of 365
AdjD: 111.2β; rank 251 of 365
AdjT: 69.4β
SOS: 0.7β; rank 135 of 363
NCSOS: 5.3β
WAB: -14.6β; rank 311 of 363
RR: -1.1β
Exp. W: 9.1β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	100.8317	111.3257	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	48.9291	52.7252	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	19.0322	15.5251	16.7
Offensive rebound %	27.8275	30.0159	30.6
FTA / FGA %	35.0177	40.9312	35.0
Shooting
3P%	31.6302	33.5161	33.9
2P%	49.9257	53.8268	51.7
FT%	74.2122	70.778	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	38.3	31.7	39.5
Assists / FGM %	49.6	50.8	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	10.1	8.6	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	29.3	23.8	31.4
2-pointers %	49.7	54.7	48.8
Free throws %	21.0	21.5	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 7.8
Top Three Share of Minutes: 50%
Bench Share of Minutes: 27%
Players with Logged Minutes: 12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-06	North Dakota	W 74–70	70.6	Away	1–0
11-11	New Mexico	L 68–82	66.6	Away	1–1
11-15	North Dakota	L 74–76	74.3	Home	1–2
11-18	California Baptist	L 57–80	76.0	Away	1–3
11-21	San Diego	W 85–71	68.0	Away	2–3
11-24	Grambling	W 83–74	69.2	Home	3–3
11-29	Utah Tech	L 69–77	63.3	Away	3–4
12-04	UC Irvine	L 60–73	68.3	Away	3–5
12-06	Cal Poly	W 88–84	71.4	Away	4–5
12-13	BYU	L 53–100	75.4	Away	4–6
12-20	St. Thomas (MN)	L 78–92	69.3	Away	4–7
12-23	UCLA	L 65–97	78.1	Away	4–8
01-01	Hawaii	L 45–88	63.4	Home	4–9
01-08	CSU Bakersfield	L 66–67	70.0	Away	4–10
01-10	UC San Diego	L 66–69	64.7	Home	4–11
01-15	Long Beach St.	L 73–88	68.0	Away	4–12
01-17	Cal St. Fullerton	W 81–72	77.6	Home	5–12
01-22	UC Irvine	L 66–80	70.7	Home	5–13
01-24	UC Davis	L 66–74	68.5	Away	5–14
01-29	Long Beach St.	W 71–61	69.2	Home	6–14
01-31	Cal Poly	L 87–94	74.7	Home	6–15
02-05	Cal St. Fullerton	L 72–78	75.4	Away	6–16
02-07	CSUN	L 74–88	72.8	Away	6–17
02-12	UC Santa Barbara	L 68–76	64.3	Home	6–18
02-14	UC San Diego	L 66–72	71.0	Away	6–19
02-19	CSU Bakersfield	W 93–65	77.1	Home	7–19
02-21	UC Davis	L 73–78	74.4	Home	7–20
02-26	UC Santa Barbara	L 59–70	68.1	Away	7–21
02-28	CSUN	W 95–84	79.4	Home	8–21
03-06	Hawaii	L 74–93	71.8	Away	8–22

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Marqui Worthy	30	35:12	88.0%	18.9	5.3	3.4	1.5	0.3	3.9	2.9	110–222	49.5%	46–138	33.3%	140–186	75.3%	49.7%	56.4%	51.7%	5	36:10 +0:59	90.4%	19.8 +3.2
Andrew Henderson	30	32:57	82.4%	21.6	5.9	2.4	1.1	1.0	2.6	3.3	109–229	47.6%	77–234	32.9%	85–108	78.7%	48.5%	52.3%	23.3%	5	32:13 −0:44	80.5%	21.6 +3.8
Osiris Grady	30	30:53	77.2%	12.6	6.7	2.2	0.4	0.8	2.3	2.9	105–213	49.3%	8–42	19.0%†	57–89	64.0%	45.9%	49.5%	34.9%	5	29:28 −1:25	73.7%	6.8 −2.9
BJ Kolly	29	24:30	59.2%	14.2	8.9	2.2	1.0	2.3	4.1	6.0	97–173	56.1%	0–12	0.0%†	59–77	76.6%	52.4%	57.8%	41.6%	4	29:30 +5:00	59.0%	11.5 +2.8
De'Undrae Perteete	25	27:59	58.3%	8.9	4.6	3.4	1.2	0.3	1.4	3.1	21–43	48.8%	28–70	40.0%	30–41	73.2%	55.8%	59.5%	36.3%	5	34:04 +6:05	85.2%	7.0 +0.8
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	24	23:25	46.8%	10.2	7.3	1.4	1.1	0.9	1.6	4.8	44–74	59.5%	7–34	20.6%†	34–48	70.8%	50.5%	55.4%	44.4%	1	0:17 −23:08	0.1%	0.0 −6.0
Tyler Jones	28	13:23	31.2%	8.2	3.7	2.7	1.2	0.0	1.1	5.8	6–16	37.5%†	17–55	30.9%	14–18	77.8%†	44.4%†	48.8%†	25.4%†	5	11:24 −1:58	28.5%	2.0 −0.8
Ben Waller	26	14:05	30.5%	13.0	7.1	1.7	0.8	1.0	1.9	5.5	24–53	45.3%†	15–40	37.5%†	26–33	78.8%	50.0%†	55.3%†	35.5%†	5	23:56 +9:52	59.9%	8.6 +4.0
Dylan Godfrey	23	8:27	16.2%	13.6	4.9	1.2	0.6	0.4	2.5	3.9	13–29	44.8%†	12–35	34.3%†	4–6	66.7%†	48.4%†	49.5%†	9.4%†	4	8:14 −0:14	16.4%	4.3 +1.4
Denzel HinesFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	9:58	4.2%	6.4	12.8	1.6	2.4	0.0	4.8	0.8	3–6	50.0%†	0–2	0.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	37.5%†	45.0%†	25.0%†	—	—	—	—
EJ SpillmanUnder 100 minutes	11	3:15	3.0%	4.5	2.2	1.1	1.1	0.0	1.1	7.9	2–9	22.2%†	0–3	0.0%†	0–0	—	16.7%†	16.7%†	0.0%†	3	2:53 −0:22	4.3%	0.7 +0.3
Daniel TobilobaFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	3:02	1.5%	0.0	11.0	0.0	0.0	2.2	0.0	6.6	0–3	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	30 games			71.6	34.1	12.3	not published	4.1	13.5	not published	534–1070	49.9%	210–665	31.6%	451–608	74.2%	48.9%	53.7%	35.0%
Sum of players				71.6	31.0	12.3	5.1	4.1	12.9	19.6	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+3.1	−0.0	not published	0.0	+0.6	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $220K; 80% Range $78K to $590K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $205K to $260K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 3 floor only

The widest scenario range, $93K to $690K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Marqui Worthy	87.7%	$29K	$3K to $105K	16.9%	$27K to $34K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Andrew Henderson	83.3%	$21K	$2K to $78K	13.8%	$20K to $25K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Osiris Grady	75.8%	$8K	$1K to $46K	5.9%	$7K to $9K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
BJ Kolly	58.8%	$35K	$8K to $120K	14.6%	$33K to $41K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
De'Undrae Perteete	57.5%	$46K	$12K to $180K	17.8%	$43K to $54K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	45.9%	$11K	$1K to $45K	7.3%	$10K to $13K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Jones	33.4%	$9K	$1K to $34K	5.8%	$8K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ben Waller	32.0%	$11K	$2K to $38K	6.1%	$10K to $12K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Godfrey	16.4%	$3K	$1K to $11K	1.2%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Denzel Hines	4.5%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
EJ Spillman	3.0%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Daniel Tobiloba	1.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$220K	$78K to $590K	100%	$205K to $260K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of California-Riverside (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,917,272	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,917,272
Athletics department expenses	$19,725,015
Athletics department revenue	$19,725,015

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 30 games, 2,132 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1200 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	71.6	79.1
Field goals made	24.8	27.9
Field goals attempted	57.8	58.9
3-pointers made	7.0	6.3
3-pointers attempted	22.2	18.7
Free throws made	15.0	17.0
Free throws attempted	20.3	24.1
Offensive rebounds	9.9	10.4
Defensive rebounds	24.3	25.7
Total rebounds	34.1	36.1
Assists	12.3	14.2
Blocks	4.1	3.1
Turnovers	13.5	11.0
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 154.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 587.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,149	2,149	0	±10.7	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	744	744	0	±3.7	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,735	1,735	0	±8.7	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	210	210	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	665	665	0	±3.3	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	451	451	0	±2.3	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	608	608	0	±3.0	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,024	930	+94	±81.9	0
Assists	Reconciled	369	370	−1	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	122	122	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	406	388	+18	±12.2	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	154	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	587	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,000	5,982	+17.8	±120.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Marqui Worthy	87.7%	-0.3range -1.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Andrew Henderson	83.3%	-0.8range -1.8 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Osiris Grady	75.8%	-2.0range -3.2 to -0.8Sufficient evidence
BJ Kolly	58.8%	+0.7range -0.8 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
De'Undrae Perteete	57.5%	+1.1range -0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	45.9%	-1.0range -2.1 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Tyler Jones	33.4%	-0.8range -1.8 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Ben Waller	32.0%	-0.6range -1.9 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Dylan Godfrey	16.4%	-3.1range -3.8 to -2.3Sufficient evidence
Denzel Hines	4.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
EJ Spillman	3.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Daniel Tobiloba	1.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.8range +7.7 to +9.7Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 98.2% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.8%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value