Texas St.
SB · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 192 · Raw net -0.8 · Tempo 67.3 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-06
Scouting Report
| Category | Offense | Defense | D-I Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | |||
| Efficiency / 100 poss. | 105.6239 | 106.4115 | 108.5 |
| Four Factors | |||
| Effective FG% | 50.0237 | 52.0211 | 51.4 |
| TO / 100 poss. | 18.6308 | 18.571 | 16.7 |
| Offensive rebound % | 33.968 | 28.481 | 30.6 |
| FTA / FGA % | 34.0210 | 39.1289 | 35.0 |
| Shooting | |||
| 3P% | 32.2271 | 35.7294 | 33.9 |
| 2P% | 50.5235 | 51.1147 | 51.7 |
| FT% | 76.250 | 71.4122 | 72.5 |
| Style | |||
| 3PA / FGA % | 24.6 | 37.5 | 39.5 |
| Assists / FGM % | 48.2 | 43.8 | 52.6 |
| Blocks / opp. 2PA % | 10.6 | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| Point Distribution | |||
| 3-pointers % | 18.9 | 30.5 | 31.4 |
| 2-pointers % | 60.5 | 48.4 | 48.8 |
| Free throws % | 20.6 | 21.1 | 19.8 |
Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.
Rotation Depth
- Effective Rotation Size
- 9.1
- Top Three Share of Minutes
- 44%
- Bench Share of Minutes
- 34%
- Players with Logged Minutes
- 15
Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions
Schedule and Results
| Date | Opponent | Result | Poss. | Site | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 | Bowling Green | L 48–83 | 70.5 | Away | 0–1 |
| 11-08 | Tulane | L 71–79 | 66.7 | Away | 0–2 |
| 11-12 | UTSA | W 80–69 | 70.4 | Home | 1–2 |
| 11-15 | Texas Southern | W 77–67 | 71.0 | Home | 2–2 |
| 11-18 | Abilene Christian | W 63–49 | 63.2 | Home | 3–2 |
| 11-21 | Little Rock | W 65–56 | 64.6 | Home | 4–2 |
| 11-28 | Seattle U | L 52–66 | 60.9 | Neutral | 4–3 |
| 11-29 | Lehigh | L 74–78 1OT | 70.3 | Neutral | 4–4 |
| 12-03 | Rice | L 72–77 | 67.9 | Away | 4–5 |
| 12-10 | Southern U. | W 86–83 | 79.4 | Home | 5–5 |
| 12-17 | Arkansas St. | L 70–89 | 72.5 | Home | 5–6 |
| 12-20 | South Alabama | W 67–65 | 65.5 | Home | 6–6 |
| 12-31 | Troy | L 80–100 | 67.9 | Away | 6–7 |
| 01-03 | ULM | W 84–79 | 73.2 | Away | 7–7 |
| 01-08 | Southern Miss. | L 70–80 1OT | 76.9 | Away | 7–8 |
| 01-10 | Arkansas St. | L 82–83 | 77.6 | Away | 7–9 |
| 01-14 | Louisiana | W 59–54 | 60.9 | Home | 8–9 |
| 01-17 | Southern Miss. | W 74–67 | 71.5 | Home | 9–9 |
| 01-22 | Coastal Carolina | L 70–72 | 68.4 | Away | 9–10 |
| 01-24 | James Madison | L 57–82 | 63.1 | Away | 9–11 |
| 01-28 | Marshall | W 72–68 | 68.9 | Home | 10–11 |
| 01-31 | Old Dominion | W 81–64 | 69.2 | Home | 11–11 |
| 02-04 | Ga. Southern | W 77–71 | 69.5 | Away | 12–11 |
| 02-07 | Western Mich. | W 77–61 | 64.3 | Home | 13–11 |
| 02-11 | Troy | W 74–62 | 63.7 | Home | 14–11 |
| 02-14 | ULM | W 95–84 | 64.1 | Home | 15–11 |
| 02-19 | South Alabama | W 90–82 1OT | 72.8 | Away | 16–11 |
| 02-21 | Louisiana | L 54–67 | 59.8 | Away | 16–12 |
| 02-27 | App State | W 60–57 | 60.8 | Home | 17–12 |
| 03-06 | Southern Miss. | L 77–81 | 69.0 | Neutral | 17–13 |
Roster · 15 players
Player logs in 30 of 30 team games
| Column groups | Minutes | Per 40 Minutes | Shooting | Last Five Team Games | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | G | MPG | Team Min% | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | 2P | 2P% | 3P | 3P% | FT | FT% | eFG% | TS% | FTA/FGA | G | MPG | Min% | Pts/G |
| DJ Hall | 30 | 30:00 | 74.1% | 21.0 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 171–314 | 54.5% | 6–16 | 37.5%† | 112–140 | 80.0% | 54.5% | 60.3% | 42.4% | 5 | 34:45 +4:45 | 84.8% | 21.6 +5.9 |
| Mark Drone | 29 | 30:33 | 72.9% | 18.3 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 126–259 | 48.6% | 25–93 | 26.9% | 79–95 | 83.2% | 46.4% | 51.5% | 27.0% | 5 | 33:30 +2:56 | 81.7% | 15.8 +1.8 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 30 | 28:24 | 70.1% | 11.8 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 76–156 | 48.7% | 16–41 | 39.0%† | 51–63 | 81.0% | 50.8% | 55.8% | 32.0% | 5 | 25:14 −3:10 | 61.5% | 6.8 −1.6 |
| Kyndall Davis | 28 | 24:26 | 56.3% | 9.8 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 38–77 | 49.4% | 20–81 | 24.7% | 31–44 | 70.5% | 43.0% | 47.1% | 27.8% | 5 | 27:14 +2:47 | 66.4% | 4.6 −1.4 |
| Franck Emmou | 29 | 22:40 | 54.1% | 12.8 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 40–89 | 44.9% | 33–79 | 41.8% | 32–35 | 91.4% | 53.3% | 57.5% | 20.8% | 5 | 23:54 +1:14 | 58.3% | 6.8 −0.5 |
| Jalen Bolden | 30 | 15:47 | 39.0% | 11.5 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 32–74 | 43.2% | 21–60 | 35.0% | 9–17 | 52.9%† | 47.4% | 48.1% | 12.7% | 5 | 18:18 +2:31 | 44.6% | 5.4 +0.9 |
| Robert Fields | 28 | 16:12 | 37.3% | 12.1 | 9.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 43–78 | 55.1%† | 0–1 | 0.0%† | 51–77 | 66.2% | 54.4%† | 60.7%† | 97.5%† | 5 | 14:19 −1:53 | 34.9% | 6.0 +1.1 |
| Tay Knox | 30 | 14:21 | 35.4% | 7.3 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 29–54 | 53.7%† | 0–0 | — | 21–40 | 52.5% | 53.7%† | 55.2%† | 74.1%† | 5 | 17:28 +3:07 | 42.6% | 3.0 +0.4 |
| Makai Willis | 30 | 12:39 | 31.3% | 18.2 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 66–128 | 51.6% | 0–5 | 0.0%† | 41–52 | 78.8% | 49.6% | 55.5% | 39.1% | 5 | 9:47 −2:52 | 23.9% | 5.2 −0.6 |
| Dimp PernellFew games | 9 | 22:06 | 16.4% | 16.1 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 19–40 | 47.5%† | 10–27 | 37.0%† | 12–14 | 85.7%† | 50.7%† | 54.7%† | 20.9%† | — | — | — | — |
| Jaelyn Lee | 17 | 5:59 | 8.4% | 14.6 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 11–17 | 64.7%† | 4–14 | 28.6%† | 3–4 | 75.0%† | 54.8%† | 56.5%† | 12.9%† | — | — | — | — |
| Ky PernellFew gamesUnder 100 minutes | 3 | 10:24 | 2.6% | 11.5 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 2–5 | 40.0%† | 1–4 | 25.0%† | 2–2 | 100.0%† | 38.9%† | 45.5%† | 22.2%† | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron SimpsonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes | 1 | 4:44 | 0.4% | 0.0 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | — | 0–1 | 0.0%† | 0–0 | — | 0.0%† | 0.0%† | 0.0%† | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah BarganierFew gamesUnder 100 minutes | 3 | 1:01 | 0.2% | 0.0 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 13.2 | 0.0 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 0–1 | 0.0%† | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | — | 0.0%† | 0.0%† | 0.0%† | — | — | — | — |
| Deke ThompsonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes | 1 | 0:34 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–1 | 0.0%† | 0–0 | — | 0–0 | — | 0.0%† | 0.0%† | 0.0%† | — | — | — | — |
| Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes | 30 games | 71.0 | 34.4 | 12.5 | not published | 3.6 | 12.5 | not published | 653–1293 | 50.5% | 136–422 | 32.2% | 444–583 | 76.2% | 50.0% | 54.7% | 34.0% | ||||||
| Sum of players | 71.0 | 30.9 | 12.5 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 11.9 | 18.0 | Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals. | |||||||||||||||
| Residual: team minus players | 0.0 | +3.5 | 0.0 | not published | 0.0 | +0.7 | not published | ||||||||||||||||
G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.
Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β
Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.
- Team Pool
- $335K
- 80% Range $125K to $895K
- Tier
- Low and other
- low evidence
- Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $290K to $355K
- Scenario medians
- Players with Figures
- 15
- 4 floor only
| Player | Poss. Share | Speculative Best Guess | 80% Range | Range Graphic | Median % of Team Pool | Scenarios Z1 to Z4 | Floor Part | Evidence and Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Hall | 72.1% | $61K | $16K to $195K | 16.9% | $52K to $64K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Mark Drone | 71.6% | $32K | $4K to $105K | 12.3% | $27K to $34K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Kaden Gumbs | 71.6% | $21K | $2K to $82K | 9.3% | $18K to $22K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Kyndall Davis | 57.4% | $57K | $18K to $190K | 15.1% | $48K to $59K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Franck Emmou | 53.6% | $26K | $4K to $86K | 9.5% | $22K to $27K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Jalen Bolden | 39.8% | $7K | $1K to $36K | 3.1% | $6K to $8K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Robert Fields | 38.4% | $28K | $7K to $92K | 8.4% | $24K to $30K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Tay Knox | 36.1% | $26K | $6K to $81K | 7.7% | $22K to $27K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Makai Willis | 31.0% | $10K | $1K to $38K | 4.2% | $9K to $10K | $2K | Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Dimp Pernell | 15.6% | $9K | $2K to $26K | 3.1% | $7K to $9K | $2K | Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Jaelyn Lee | 9.9% | $5K | $1K to $15K | 1.9% | $4K to $5K | $2K | Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Ky Pernell | 2.1% | $2K | $1K to $6K | 0.7% | $2K in all four | $2K | Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Cameron Simpson | 0.5% | $2K | $1K to $6K | 0.7% | $2K in all four | $2K | Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Isaiah Barganier | 0.1% | $2K | $1K to $6K | 0.7% | $2K in all four | $2K | Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Deke Thompson | 0.0% | $2K | $1K to $6K | 0.7% | $2K in all four | $2K | Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data | |
| Team Pool | — | $335K | $125K to $895K | 100% | $290K to $355K | — |
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)
Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.
| Measure | School-Reported Amount | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Men's basketball revenue | $3,415,913 | Equals expenses (budget identity) |
| Men's basketball expenses | $3,415,913 | |
| Athletics department expenses | $52,238,898 | |
| Athletics department revenue | $52,238,898 |
Team Totalsβ
Season per 40 minutes, 30 games, 2,044 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1215 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions
| Statistic | Team | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 71.0 | 71.6 |
| Field goals made | 26.0 | 24.6 |
| Field goals attempted | 56.5 | 54.3 |
| 3-pointers made | 4.5 | 7.3 |
| 3-pointers attempted | 13.9 | 20.4 |
| Free throws made | 14.6 | 15.1 |
| Free throws attempted | 19.2 | 21.2 |
| Offensive rebounds | 11.1 | 9.3 |
| Defensive rebounds | 23.4 | 21.5 |
| Total rebounds | 34.4 | 30.8 |
| Assists | 12.5 | 10.8 |
| Blocks | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Turnovers | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Steals | No team figure. Players sum to 238. | |
| Personal fouls | No team figure. Players sum to 546. | |
| Minutes (derived) | 200.0 | not published |
30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions
| Statistic | Status | Team Total, Logged Games | Sum of Players | Residual | Tolerance | Team Total, Games Without Logs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | Reconciled | 2,158 | 2,158 | 0 | ±10.8 | 0 |
| Field goals made | Reconciled | 789 | 789 | 0 | ±3.9 | 0 |
| Field goals attempted | Reconciled | 1,715 | 1,715 | 0 | ±8.6 | 0 |
| 3-pointers made | Reconciled | 136 | 136 | 0 | ±2.0 | 0 |
| 3-pointers attempted | Reconciled | 422 | 422 | 0 | ±2.1 | 0 |
| Free throws made | Reconciled | 444 | 444 | 0 | ±2.2 | 0 |
| Free throws attempted | Reconciled | 583 | 583 | 0 | ±2.9 | 0 |
| Offensive rebounds | No player split | not published | not published | not published | not published | not published |
| Defensive rebounds | No player split | not published | not published | not published | not published | not published |
| Total rebounds | Residual shown | 1,046 | 940 | +106 | ±83.7 | 0 |
| Assists | Reconciled | 380 | 380 | 0 | ±2.0 | 0 |
| Blocks | Reconciled | 109 | 109 | 0 | ±2.0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | Residual shown | 381 | 361 | +20 | ±11.4 | 0 |
| Steals | No team figure | not published | 238 | not published | not published | not published |
| Personal fouls | No team figure | not published | 546 | not published | not published | not published |
| Minutes (derived) | Reconciled | 6,075 | 6,057 | +18.3 | ±121.5 | 0 |
Model-Implied Player Valueβ
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.
| Player | Poss. Share | Net and Rangeβ | Range Graphic |
|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Hall | 72.1% | +0.9range -0.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | |
| Mark Drone | 71.6% | -0.3range -1.1 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | |
| Kaden Gumbs | 71.6% | -0.9range -2.0 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | |
| Kyndall Davis | 57.4% | +1.3range +0.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | |
| Franck Emmou | 53.6% | -0.1range -1.0 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | |
| Jalen Bolden | 39.8% | -1.7range -2.8 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | |
| Robert Fields | 38.4% | +0.6range -0.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | |
| Tay Knox | 36.1% | +0.5range -0.6 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | |
| Makai Willis | 31.0% | -1.0range -2.2 to +0.0Sufficient evidence | |
| Dimp Pernell | 15.6% | -0.2range -0.9 to +0.4Limited evidence | |
| Jaelyn Lee | 9.9% | -0.7range -1.8 to +0.1Limited evidence | |
| Ky Pernell | 2.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | |
| Cameron Simpson | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | |
| Isaiah Barganier | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | |
| Deke Thompson | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence |
Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β
Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology
- Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
- +9.4range +8.4 to +10.2Sufficient evidence
200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.
11 valued players hold 99.4% of on-court time. 4 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.6%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.1%.