UC Irvine

BW · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 80 · Raw net 6.7 · Tempo 70.7 · 33 Division I games · Through 2026-03-17

Record: 21–12; 21 wins
AdjNet: 4.5β; rank 105 of 365
AdjO: 104.0β; rank 269 of 365
AdjD: 99.6β; rank 26 of 365
AdjT: 69.2β
SOS: -1.5β; rank 211 of 363
NCSOS: 0.7β
WAB: -5.6β; rank 120 of 363
RR: -0.3β
Exp. W: 21.3β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	103.7275	97.08	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	49.5268	45.99	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	17.8258	18.859	16.7
Offensive rebound %	31.0165	31.2215	30.6
FTA / FGA %	35.9153	26.719	35.0
Shooting
3P%	33.6191	33.7167	33.9
2P%	49.1280	43.11	51.7
FT%	69.7277	70.366	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	28.0	38.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	55.1	54.8	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	14.9	9.1	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	22.8	34.7	31.4
2-pointers %	57.0	48.3	48.8
Free throws %	20.2	17.0	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.7
Top Three Share of Minutes: 45%
Bench Share of Minutes: 32%
Players with Logged Minutes: 12

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-07	California Baptist	L 61–69	71.5	Home	0–1
11-15	Weber St.	W 79–70	77.7	Home	1–1
11-19	Utah Valley	L 72–79	70.4	Away	1–2
11-22	UNI	L 69–70 1OT	71.5	Home	1–3
11-25	New Mexico St.	L 45–57	69.8	Neutral	1–4
11-26	South Dakota St.	W 64–52	74.2	Neutral	2–4
11-30	San Jose St.	W 72–63	66.4	Away	3–4
12-04	UC Riverside	W 73–60	68.3	Home	4–4
12-06	CSUN	W 85–71	69.8	Home	5–4
12-19	Belmont	L 58–84	69.6	Home	5–5
12-21	North Dakota St.	W 74–73	65.8	Neutral	6–5
12-22	Norfolk St.	W 89–70	68.0	Neutral	7–5
01-01	CSU Bakersfield	W 81–77	69.7	Away	8–5
01-03	Cal St. Fullerton	W 86–64	69.4	Away	9–5
01-08	Long Beach St.	W 74–64	71.2	Home	10–5
01-11	Hawaii	L 66–67	71.2	—	10–6
01-17	UC Davis	L 72–75	68.7	Away	10–7
01-22	UC Riverside	W 80–66	70.7	Away	11–7
01-24	UC San Diego	W 61–59	70.2	Away	12–7
01-29	Hawaii	W 87–76 1OT	84.9	Home	13–7
02-05	CSU Bakersfield	W 78–62	73.2	Home	14–7
02-07	UC Santa Barbara	L 79–84	71.0	Away	14–8
02-12	Cal Poly	L 73–79	79.6	Away	14–9
02-14	Cal St. Fullerton	W 86–65	73.5	Home	15–9
02-19	Long Beach St.	W 69–58	73.7	Away	16–9
02-21	UC San Diego	L 69–71	63.3	Home	16–10
02-26	CSUN	W 68–67	73.1	Away	17–10
02-28	UC Santa Barbara	W 64–60	66.1	Home	18–10
03-05	Cal Poly	W 107–85	78.6	Home	19–10
03-07	UC Davis	W 79–69 1OT	74.6	Home	20–10
03-13	CSUN	W 93–78	70.6	Neutral	21–10
03-14	Hawaii	L 64–71	70.6	Neutral	21–11
03-17	UNLV	L 72–75	74.0	—	21–12

Roster · 12 players

Player logs in 33 of 33 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Jurian Dixon	33	30:40	75.8%	518	121	80	40	2	51	52	121–270	44.8%	63–167	37.7%	87–109	79.8%	49.3%	53.4%	24.9%	5	33:44 +3:04	82.3%	18.6 +2.9
Derin Saran	33	30:05	74.4%	372	164	102	57	2	75	52	119–272	43.8%	25–96	26.0%	59–86	68.6%	42.5%	45.8%	23.4%	5	30:54 +0:49	75.3%	12.6 +1.3
Kyle Evans	33	29:27	72.8%	388	292	31	14	111	28	60	156–248	62.9%	2–9	22.2%†	70–89	78.7%	61.9%	65.5%	34.6%	5	33:35 +4:08	81.9%	14.0 +2.2
Tama Isaac	33	26:59	66.7%	197	101	116	32	4	70	54	38–101	37.6%	20–67	29.9%	61–89	68.5%	40.5%	47.5%	53.0%	5	23:24 −3:35	57.1%	5.4 −0.6
Andre Henry	31	22:21	51.9%	308	77	33	27	2	28	46	68–134	50.7%	39–107	36.4%	55–67	82.1%	52.5%	56.9%	27.8%	5	25:55 +3:34	63.2%	11.8 +1.9
Harrison Carrington	33	16:47	41.5%	262	123	30	18	5	23	62	94–166	56.6%	3–10	30.0%†	65–98	66.3%	56.0%	59.8%	55.7%	5	16:09 −0:38	39.4%	8.0 +0.1
Jovan Jester Jr.	33	15:32	38.4%	203	91	68	48	7	68	67	43–97	44.3%	23–61	37.7%	48–72	66.7%	49.1%	53.5%	45.6%	5	16:12 +0:40	39.5%	6.8 +0.6
Elijah Chol	24	16:37	29.9%	107	73	11	5	23	11	44	31–60	51.7%†	9–26	34.6%†	18–38	47.4%	51.7%†	52.1%†	44.2%†	4	9:38 −6:58	18.8%	1.5 −3.0
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	32	9:44	23.3%	65	62	11	10	11	24	46	20–47	42.6%†	0–8	0.0%†	25–39	64.1%	36.4%†	45.0%†	70.9%†	5	10:18 +0:34	25.1%	3.4 +1.4
Nes Emeneke	33	7:40	18.9%	20	68	4	7	24	11	33	7–23	30.4%†	0–0	—	6–21	28.6%†	30.4%†	31.0%†	91.3%†	5	5:51 −1:49	14.3%	0.6 0.0
Ben EgboUnder 100 minutes	16	3:53	4.6%	3	10	1	0	0	3	7	1–3	33.3%†	0–0	—	1–2	50.0%†	33.3%†	38.7%†	66.7%†	2	0:44 −3:08	0.7%	0.0 −0.2
Tishan AhirFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	9	0:35	0.4%	6	0	0	0	0	1	1	0–1	0.0%†	2–2	100.0%†	0–0	—	100.0%†	100.0%†	0.0%†	2	0:06 −0:29	0.1%	1.5 +0.8
Team, games with logs · season totals	33 games			2449	1288	487	not published	191	420	not published	698–1422	49.1%	186–553	33.6%	495–710	69.7%	49.5%	53.5%	35.9%
Sum of players				2449	1182	487	258	191	393	524	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+106	0	not published	0	+27	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $275K; 80% Range $105K to $755K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $260K to $310K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jurian Dixon	76.6%	$58K	$21K to $175K	20.2%	$55K to $65K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Derin Saran	74.1%	$32K	$9K to $96K	13.2%	$30K to $36K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kyle Evans	73.4%	$65K	$23K to $200K	22.4%	$62K to $74K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tama Isaac	67.4%	$27K	$8K to $79K	11.4%	$25K to $30K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Andre Henry	51.5%	$17K	$3K to $56K	7.4%	$15K to $18K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Harrison Carrington	42.0%	$16K	$4K to $50K	6.7%	$15K to $18K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jovan Jester Jr.	38.4%	$14K	$4K to $42K	5.9%	$13K to $15K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Elijah Chol	26.6%	$14K	$5K to $40K	5.5%	$13K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	25.1%	$5K	$1K to $18K	1.8%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nes Emeneke	19.3%	$5K	$1K to $18K	2.2%	$5K to $6K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ben Egbo	5.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Tishan Ahir	0.4%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$275K	$105K to $755K	100%	$260K to $310K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of California-Irvine (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$4,248,011	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$4,248,011
Athletics department expenses	$30,301,851
Athletics department revenue	$30,301,851

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 33 games, 2,361 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	2,449	2,290
Field goals made	884	818
Field goals attempted	1,975	2,070
3-pointers made	186	265
3-pointers attempted	553	786
Free throws made	495	389
Free throws attempted	710	553
Offensive rebounds	368	418
Defensive rebounds	920	821
Total rebounds	1,288	1,239
Assists	487	448
Blocks	191	129
Turnovers	420	443
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 258.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 524.
Minutes (derived)	6,675	not published

33 of 33 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,449	2,449	0	±12.2	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	884	884	0	±4.4	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,975	1,975	0	±9.9	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	186	186	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	553	553	0	±2.8	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	495	495	0	±2.5	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	710	710	0	±3.6	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,288	1,182	+106	±103.0	0
Assists	Reconciled	487	487	0	±2.4	0
Blocks	Reconciled	191	191	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	420	393	+27	±12.6	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	258	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	524	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,675	6,656	+18.7	±133.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Jurian Dixon	76.6%	+3.5range +2.4 to +4.5Sufficient evidence
Derin Saran	74.1%	+1.6range +0.7 to +2.9Sufficient evidence
Kyle Evans	73.4%	+4.3range +3.0 to +5.2Sufficient evidence
Tama Isaac	67.4%	+1.5range +0.3 to +2.4Sufficient evidence
Andre Henry	51.5%	+0.6range -1.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Harrison Carrington	42.0%	+0.9range -0.3 to +2.5Sufficient evidence
Jovan Jester Jr.	38.4%	+0.8range -0.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence
Elijah Chol	26.6%	+1.9range +0.7 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	25.1%	-1.5range -2.5 to -0.6Sufficient evidence
Nes Emeneke	19.3%	-0.7range -1.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence
Ben Egbo	5.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Tishan Ahir	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +11.2range +10.4 to +12.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

10 valued players hold 98.9% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 1.1%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value