Derin Saran
UC Irvine · 2025–26 · 33 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
992:39 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 33
- Minutes per game
- 30:05
- Points per game
- 11.3
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 5.0 / 3.1
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 11.3 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 15.0 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Season totals | 372 | 164 | 102 | 57 | 2 | 75 | 52 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 144–368 | 39.1% | 11.2 | 14.8 |
| 2P | 119–272 | 43.8% | 8.2 | 11.0 |
| 3P | 25–96 | 26.0% | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| FT | 59–86 | 68.6% | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.5% | 45.8% | 26.1% | 23.4% | 1.36 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
UC Irvine · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $32K
- 80% range $9K to $96K
- Median share of team pool
- 13.2%
- team pool $275K, 80% range $105K to $755K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $30K to $36K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 74.1%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
UC Irvine: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UC Irvine | $32Kspeculative | $9K to $96K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.6 | +0.7 to +2.9 | Sufficient evidence | -0.8 | +2.4 | +6.7range +5.9 to +7.5 | 3,197 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | UC Irvine | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.2 | +0.1 to +2.6 | Sufficient evidence | +0.7 | +0.6 | +1.9range +1.6 to +2.3 | 1,627 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 30:54 | 30:05 | 22:31–36:00 | |
| Points | 12.6 | 11.3 | 2.0–29.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 36.6% | 39.8% | 0.0%–87.5% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | UNLV | L 72–75 | 30:27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 44.4% |
| 2026-03-14 | Hawaii | L 64–71 | 34:50 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 30.0% |
| 2026-03-13 | CSUN | W 93–78 | 32:32 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 58.3% |
| 2026-03-07 | UC Davis | W 79–69 | 26:14 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 16.7% |
| 2026-03-05 | Cal Poly | W 107–85 | 30:25 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-28 | UC Santa Barbara | W 64–60 | 29:46 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 30.8% |
| 2026-02-26 | CSUN | W 68–67 | 28:05 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 46.4% |
| 2026-02-21 | UC San Diego | L 69–71 | 30:17 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 31.3% |
| 2026-02-19 | Long Beach St. | W 69–58 | 23:07 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 81.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | Cal St. Fullerton | W 86–65 | 23:17 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | Cal Poly | L 73–79 | 33:38 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 53.1% |
| 2026-02-07 | UC Santa Barbara | L 79–84 | 28:35 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | CSU Bakersfield | W 78–62 | 26:00 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 36.4% |
| 2026-01-29 | Hawaii | W 87–76 | 32:00 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 16.7% |
| 2026-01-24 | UC San Diego | W 61–59 | 32:29 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | UC Riverside | W 80–66 | 23:35 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-17 | UC Davis | L 72–75 | 26:57 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-11 | Hawaii | L 66–67 | 32:04 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 47.6% |
| 2026-01-08 | Long Beach St. | W 74–64 | 29:02 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Cal St. Fullerton | W 86–64 | 28:45 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 58.3% |
| 2026-01-01 | CSU Bakersfield | W 81–77 | 30:11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 28.6% |
| 2025-12-22 | Norfolk St. | W 89–70 | 31:11 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 87.5% |
| 2025-12-21 | North Dakota St. | W 74–73 | 32:59 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 37.5% |
| 2025-12-19 | Belmont | L 58–84 | 23:37 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 16.7% |
| 2025-12-06 | CSUN | W 85–71 | 31:13 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 53.3% |
| 2025-12-04 | UC Riverside | W 73–60 | 22:31 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-30 | San Jose St. | W 72–63 | 34:28 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 61.1% |
| 2025-11-26 | South Dakota St. | W 64–52 | 33:05 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 27.3% |
| 2025-11-25 | New Mexico St. | L 45–57 | 32:52 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 9-16 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-22 | UNI | L 69–70 | 35:37 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11-17 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 67.6% |
| 2025-11-19 | Utah Valley | L 72–79 | 33:19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 31.8% |
| 2025-11-15 | Weber St. | W 79–70 | 33:31 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 44.4% |
| 2025-11-07 | California Baptist | L 61–69 | 36:00 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 18.2% |