N.C. Central

MEAC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 339 · Raw net -14.4 · Tempo 66.6 · 28 Division I games · Through 2026-03-14

Record: 10–18; 10 wins
AdjNet: -16.8β; rank 348 of 365
AdjO: 101.3β; rank 318 of 365
AdjD: 118.1β; rank 351 of 365
AdjT: 67.0β
SOS: -5.8β; rank 337 of 363
NCSOS: 8.6β
WAB: -12.3β; rank 266 of 363
RR: 0.8β
Exp. W: 9.2β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	101.0313	115.5329	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	47.5328	54.5316	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	18.1278	19.926	16.7
Offensive rebound %	30.0201	39.4364	30.6
FTA / FGA %	39.371	36.9233	35.0
Shooting
3P%	32.6248	36.4321	33.9
2P%	46.7334	54.5301	51.7
FT%	73.8140	71.6132	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	33.9	40.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	52.9	58.0	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	10.0	12.4	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	26.8	32.7	31.4
2-pointers %	49.8	47.8	48.8
Free throws %	23.4	19.5	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.1
Top Three Share of Minutes: 47%
Bench Share of Minutes: 29%
Players with Logged Minutes: 15

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	NC State	L 66–114	72.8	Away	0–1
11-07	Virginia	L 62–81	62.7	Away	0–2
11-09	App State	L 54–76	64.1	Away	0–3
11-14	North Carolina	L 53–97	70.1	Away	0–4
11-22	Dayton	L 55–74	66.1	Away	0–5
11-25	USC Upstate	L 67–82	68.8	Away	0–6
12-03	James Madison	L 62–67	63.7	Away	0–7
12-06	N.C. A&T	L 54–69	71.9	Home	0–8
12-09	Kentucky	L 67–103	71.9	Away	0–9
12-20	Longwood	L 72–74	70.8	Home	0–10
12-29	Penn St.	L 67–90	68.3	Away	0–11
01-03	Norfolk St.	W 69–67	67.2	Home	1–11
01-10	Coppin St.	W 88–77	65.4	Away	2–11
01-12	Morgan St.	W 89–78	68.7	Away	3–11
01-17	Howard	L 69–83	68.6	Home	3–12
02-02	UMES	W 65–63	61.9	Home	4–12
02-07	Norfolk St.	L 68–75	71.7	Away	4–13
02-09	Delaware St.	W 72–63	58.6	Home	5–13
02-14	Coppin St.	L 56–58	62.5	Home	5–14
02-16	Morgan St.	W 80–76	72.9	Home	6–14
02-18	South Carolina St.	L 72–85	66.7	Away	6–15
02-21	Howard	L 67–100	71.3	Away	6–16
02-28	Delaware St.	W 74–60	61.5	Away	7–16
03-02	UMES	W 77–73	68.3	Away	8–16
03-05	South Carolina St.	L 64–80	69.8	Home	8–17
03-12	UMES	W 83–76 1OT	69.4	Neutral	9–17
03-13	Delaware St.	W 59–53	56.4	Neutral	10–17
03-14	Howard	L 63–70	62.3	Neutral	10–18

Roster · 15 players

Player logs in 28 of 28 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Gage Lattimore	27	37:11	89.2%	419	120	62	34	7	54	69	55–156	35.3%	66–177	37.3%	111–127	87.4%	46.2%	53.9%	38.1%	5	37:16 +0:05	90.9%	14.0 −1.5
Dionte Johnson	28	31:57	79.5%	261	111	131	59	0	69	73	59–125	47.2%	28–81	34.6%	59–73	80.8%	49.0%	54.8%	35.4%	5	34:13 +2:16	83.5%	12.8 +3.5
Kelechi Okworogwo	28	26:59	67.2%	233	143	13	18	41	23	60	91–165	55.2%	4–18	22.2%†	39–59	66.1%	53.0%	55.8%	32.2%	5	37:17 +10:18	90.9%	10.4 +2.1
Tekao Carpenter	26	25:59	60.1%	177	47	32	15	1	34	61	27–57	47.4%	30–94	31.9%	33–43	76.7%	47.7%	52.1%	28.5%	5	29:59 +4:00	73.1%	7.8 +1.0
Kyric Davis	27	23:28	56.3%	208	99	25	32	23	47	48	79–150	52.7%	2–15	13.3%†	44–63	69.8%	49.7%	54.0%	38.2%	5	32:21 +8:54	78.9%	10.4 +2.7
Jae Slack	28	21:05	52.5%	229	73	19	16	2	30	50	43–104	41.3%	21–63	33.3%	80–107	74.8%	44.6%	53.5%	64.1%	5	19:08 −1:57	46.7%	8.4 +0.2
Khouri Carvey	18	26:17	42.0%	224	113	24	17	19	30	58	83–151	55.0%	2–9	22.2%†	52–91	57.1%	53.8%	56.0%	56.9%	—	—	—	—
Ryan Archey	21	7:46	14.5%	65	20	14	8	0	18	25	19–49	38.8%†	5–15	33.3%†	12–15	80.0%†	41.4%†	46.0%†	23.4%†	5	9:25 +1:40	23.0%	4.8 +1.7
Ramondo Battle II	17	8:03	12.2%	34	20	5	8	1	5	21	7–21	33.3%†	5–27	18.5%†	5–8	62.5%†	30.2%†	33.0%†	16.7%†	4	4:38 −3:25	9.0%	0.8 −1.3
Jonathan DunnFew games	7	14:57	9.3%	13	10	1	0	1	4	12	4–15	26.7%†	0–2	0.0%†	5–10	50.0%†	23.5%†	30.4%†	58.8%†	—	—	—	—
Justin EdwardsUnder 100 minutes	15	5:26	7.2%	8	5	9	6	0	6	6	1–5	20.0%†	1–4	25.0%†	3–4	75.0%†	27.8%†	37.2%†	44.4%†	2	1:22 −4:04	1.3%	0.0 −0.5
Khalil ArnoldFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	8	6:11	4.4%	17	6	1	0	0	1	3	1–5	20.0%†	5–11	45.5%†	0–0	—	53.1%†	53.1%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Gbenga OlubiUnder 100 minutes	14	2:55	3.6%	4	5	2	3	0	1	5	2–4	50.0%†	0–2	0.0%†	0–0	—	33.3%†	33.3%†	0.0%†	2	2:14 −0:41	2.2%	0.0 −0.3
Camren DanielsFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:38	0.7%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1–3	33.3%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	33.3%†	33.3%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Caleb EllisonFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	0:45	0.1%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	28 games			1894	851	339	not published	95	340	not published	472–1010	46.7%	169–518	32.6%	443–600	73.8%	47.5%	52.8%	39.3%
Sum of players				1894	774	338	216	95	323	492	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+77	+1	not published	0	+17	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $0 (assumed opted out); 80% Range $0 to $0 (assumed)
Tier: Low and other; low evidence

Assumed from one unverified press article that names schools that did not opt in. Methodology

No player figures. The Team Pool is $0.

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

No modelled Team Pool (opted out). Enter a pool of your own.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, North Carolina Central University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,504,543	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,504,543
Athletics department expenses	$15,631,805
Athletics department revenue	$15,631,805

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 28 games, 1,874 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	1,894	2,164
Field goals made	641	753
Field goals attempted	1,528	1,597
3-pointers made	169	236
3-pointers attempted	518	649
Free throws made	443	422
Free throws attempted	600	589
Offensive rebounds	289	365
Defensive rebounds	562	675
Total rebounds	851	1,040
Assists	339	437
Blocks	95	125
Turnovers	340	373
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 216.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 492.
Minutes (derived)	5,625	not published

28 of 28 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	1,894	1,894	0	±9.5	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	641	641	0	±3.2	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,528	1,528	0	±7.6	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	169	169	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	518	518	0	±2.6	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	443	443	0	±2.2	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	600	600	0	±3.0	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	851	774	+77	±68.1	0
Assists	Reconciled	339	338	+1	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	95	95	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	340	323	+17	±10.2	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	216	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	492	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,625	5,611	+13.6	±112.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Gage Lattimore	89.4%	-2.0range -3.2 to -0.7Sufficient evidence
Dionte Johnson	79.8%	-1.2range -2.4 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Kelechi Okworogwo	67.4%	-2.2range -3.1 to -1.1Sufficient evidence
Tekao Carpenter	60.0%	-1.0range -2.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Kyric Davis	57.3%	-2.0range -3.2 to -0.6Sufficient evidence
Jae Slack	55.8%	-0.4range -1.3 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Khouri Carvey	40.1%	-0.4range -1.4 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Ryan Archey	14.8%	-0.9range -1.9 to -0.1Limited evidence
Ramondo Battle II	12.6%	-2.4range -3.3 to -1.3Limited evidence
Justin Edwards	6.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jonathan Dunn	6.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Khalil Arnold	4.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Gbenga Olubi	3.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Camren Daniels	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Caleb Ellison	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +7.7range +6.8 to +8.7Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

9 valued players hold 95.5% of on-court time. 6 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 4.5%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.5%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value