Algosys College Basketball

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Northwestern St.

Slnd · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 314 · Raw net -10.4 · Tempo 65.2 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-08

All seasons
Record
8–22
8 wins
AdjNet
-9.2β
rank 294 of 365
AdjO
102.7β
rank 296 of 365
AdjD
111.9β
rank 267 of 365
AdjT
66.1β
SOS
-0.6β
rank 184 of 363
NCSOS
5.6β
WAB
-15.3β
rank 319 of 363
RR
-1.6β
Exp. W
9.6β

Scouting Report

CategoryOffenseDefenseD-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.101.0315111.4260108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%48.630253.026951.4
TO / 100 poss.18.328716.916216.7
Offensive rebound %26.132132.628830.6
FTA / FGA %40.15936.321835.0
Shooting
3P%33.221835.527833.9
2P%48.031052.923451.7
FT%74.013670.05572.5
Style
3PA / FGA %33.937.939.5
Assists / FGM %50.751.952.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %6.79.69.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %26.630.731.4
2-pointers %49.949.948.8
Free throws %23.419.319.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size
9.8
Top Three Share of Minutes
41%
Bench Share of Minutes
37%
Players with Logged Minutes
13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

DateOpponentResultPoss.SiteRecord
11-03Texas A&ML 68–9875.4Away0–1
11-06North TexasL 53–8059.1Away0–2
11-11North Ala.L 83–87 1OT74.7Away0–3
11-18San FranciscoL 64–8462.0Away0–4
11-21Grand CanyonL 72–8569.0Away0–5
11-29Southern U.L 73–7569.2Home0–6
12-05McNeeseL 54–9266.9Away0–7
12-07Southeastern La.W 76–6866.0Away1–7
12-13CaliforniaL 70–7967.0Away1–8
12-29Lamar UniversityL 61–7666.0Home1–9
12-31SFAL 64–7465.7Home1–10
01-03LSU New OrleansW 74–6865.8Home2–10
01-05NichollsL 72–7469.3Away2–11
01-10A&M-Corpus ChristiW 79–7867.8Home3–11
01-12UTRGVW 64–6366.1Home4–11
01-17UIWL 74–7665.9Away4–12
01-19Houston ChristianL 80–8255.4Away4–13
01-27SFAL 67–6971.4Away4–14
01-31LSU New OrleansL 64–7567.6Away4–15
02-02NichollsL 58–6163.3Home4–16
02-04East Texas A&ML 68–7463.2Home4–17
02-07East Texas A&ML 48–5266.5Away4–18
02-09Lamar UniversityW 70–6866.0Away5–18
02-14Southeastern La.W 69–6662.5Home6–18
02-16McNeeseL 64–7563.5Home6–19
02-21Houston ChristianW 71–5363.4Home7–19
02-23UIWW 54–4960.1Home8–19
02-28A&M-Corpus ChristiL 59–7160.5Away8–20
03-02UTRGVL 62–7464.6Away8–21
03-08NichollsL 47–6158.9Neutral8–22

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

MinutesPer 40 MinutesShootingLast Five Team Games
PlayerGMPGTeam Min%PtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF2P2P%3P3P%FTFT%eFG%TS%FTA/FGAGMPGMin%Pts/G
Micah Thomas3030:4476.5%21.72.63.41.00.23.22.4116–26643.6%46–12736.2%129–14092.1%47.1%54.9%35.6%532:19 +1:3580.8%13.8 −2.8
Chris Mubiru3027:0867.6%9.95.82.81.00.81.52.941–7157.7%26–8829.5%41–4983.7%50.3%55.7%30.8%528:54 +1:4672.3%3.0 −3.7
Willie Williams2530:0462.4%13.311.41.91.30.92.02.4110–17861.8%2–450.0%†24–5444.4%62.1%60.8%29.7%532:34 +2:3081.4%11.6 +1.6
Izzy Miles3024:3961.4%17.34.11.91.20.32.83.068–15045.3%28–6841.2%100–13773.0%50.5%57.5%62.8%524:55 +0:1662.3%12.2 +1.5
Landyn Jumawan2920:0548.3%9.24.01.61.30.01.33.97–1936.8%31–11327.4%27–3577.1%40.5%45.5%26.5%523:15 +3:1058.1%6.0 +1.4
CJ Larry2418:1436.3%5.73.13.21.30.23.05.013–4827.1%†7–1546.7%†15–2755.6%37.3%†41.4%†42.9%†521:18 +3:0353.2%2.8 +0.2
Kordrick Turner3013:3433.8%11.37.31.00.70.31.43.239–7452.7%†0–10.0%†37–6160.7%52.0%†56.5%†81.3%†516:15 +2:4140.6%4.0 +0.2
Justin Redmond2116:4329.1%14.43.52.71.50.12.33.523–6336.5%20–6431.3%20–2483.3%†41.7%45.8%18.9%————
Chip Brunt2810:5425.3%10.44.12.22.00.72.93.420–4247.6%†5–1145.5%†24–3470.6%51.9%†58.1%†64.2%†515:44 +4:5039.3%4.4 +1.6
Omar Adegbola1913:2421.1%13.45.30.92.20.02.43.616–4436.4%†9–2832.1%†26–3183.9%41.0%†49.6%†43.1%†————
J.C. Riley Jr.2010:5518.1%12.58.42.01.10.71.34.825–4951.0%†1–250.0%†15–1788.2%†52.0%†58.1%†33.3%†26:53 −4:026.9%2.0 −1.4
Moustapha Loum1910:1916.3%8.25.11.01.22.21.86.117–2860.7%†0–0—6–1833.3%†60.7%†55.7%†64.3%†————
Quentin Bolton Jr.64:432.3%4.27.12.80.00.01.47.10–0—1–911.1%†0–0—16.7%†16.7%†0.0%†23:06 −1:363.1%0.0 −0.5
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes30 games65.830.411.32.311.9495–103248.0%176–53033.2%464–62774.0%48.6%53.9%40.1%
Sum of players65.826.811.36.12.311.016.7Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players0.0+3.70.00.0+0.9

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool
$175K
80% Range $63K to $465K
Tier
Low and other
low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4
$170K to $180K
Scenario medians
Players with Figures
13
1 floor only
Players in possession-share order
PlayerPoss. ShareSpeculative Best Guess80% RangeRange GraphicMedian % of Team PoolScenarios Z1 to Z4Floor PartEvidence and Flags
Micah Thomas75.5%$15K$1K to $58K12.3%$14K to $15K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chris Mubiru65.6%$32K$7K to $115K16.4%$31K to $32K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Izzy Miles60.2%$5K$1K to $29K4.0%$5K in all four$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Willie Williams58.9%$33K$9K to $130K16.7%$33K to $34K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Landyn Jumawan51.6%$6K$1K to $31K6.0%$6K in all four$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kordrick Turner35.8%$6K$1K to $29K5.7%$6K to $7K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
CJ Larry33.6%$7K$1K to $29K5.9%$7K in all four$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Justin Redmond33.5%$6K$1K to $23K5.0%$6K in all four$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chip Brunt24.9%$4K$1K to $18K3.7%$4K in all four$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Omar Adegbola22.5%$5K$1K to $18K3.7%$4K to $5K$1KSufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Moustapha Loum17.7%$4K$1K to $15K3.5%$4K in all four$1KLimited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
J.C. Riley Jr.17.5%$9K$2K to $37K4.7%$9K in all four$1KLimited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Quentin Bolton Jr.2.8%$1K$0 to $4K0.8%$1K in all four$1KFloor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool—$175K$63K to $465K100%$170K to $180K—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Northwestern State University of Louisiana (NCAA Division I-FCS)
MeasureSchool-Reported AmountNote
Men's basketball revenue$1,811,320
Men's basketball expenses$1,285,774
Athletics department expenses$14,210,359
Athletics department revenue$14,566,162

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 30 games, 1,963 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1205 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

StatisticTeamOpponents
Points65.872.6
Field goals made22.325.6
Field goals attempted51.955.2
3-pointers made5.87.4
3-pointers attempted17.620.9
Free throws made15.414.0
Free throws attempted20.820.0
Offensive rebounds8.410.7
Defensive rebounds22.023.8
Total rebounds30.434.5
Assists11.313.3
Blocks2.33.3
Turnovers11.911.0
StealsNo team figure. Players sum to 185.
Personal foulsNo team figure. Players sum to 503.
Minutes (derived)200.0

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

StatisticStatusTeam Total, Logged GamesSum of PlayersResidualToleranceTeam Total, Games Without Logs
PointsReconciled1,9821,9820±9.90
Field goals madeReconciled6716710±3.40
Field goals attemptedReconciled1,5621,5620±7.80
3-pointers madeReconciled1761760±2.00
3-pointers attemptedReconciled5305300±2.60
Free throws madeReconciled4644640±2.30
Free throws attemptedReconciled6276270±3.10
Offensive reboundsNo player split
Defensive reboundsNo player split
Total reboundsResidual shown916806+110±73.30
AssistsReconciled3403400±2.00
BlocksReconciled69690±2.00
TurnoversResidual shown359332+27±10.80
StealsNo team figure185
Personal foulsNo team figure503
Minutes (derived)Reconciled6,0256,007+17.7±120.50

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
PlayerPoss. ShareNet and RangeβRange Graphic
Micah Thomas75.5%-1.1range -2.5 to +0.1Sufficient evidence
Chris Mubiru65.6%+0.3range -0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Izzy Miles60.2%-2.4range -3.2 to -1.4Sufficient evidence
Willie Williams58.9%+0.5range -0.5 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Landyn Jumawan51.6%-1.9range -3.0 to -0.6Sufficient evidence
Kordrick Turner35.8%-1.4range -2.6 to +0.0Sufficient evidence
CJ Larry33.6%-1.0range -2.1 to -0.1Sufficient evidence
Justin Redmond33.5%-1.4range -2.4 to -0.4Sufficient evidence
Chip Brunt24.9%-1.6range -2.8 to -0.4Sufficient evidence
Omar Adegbola22.5%-1.4range -2.5 to -0.3Sufficient evidence
Moustapha Loum17.7%-1.1range -2.0 to -0.2Limited evidence
J.C. Riley Jr.17.5%+0.0range -0.9 to +1.1Limited evidence
Quentin Bolton Jr.2.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions
+8.4range +7.7 to +9.3Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

12 valued players hold 99.4% of on-court time. 1 without a value (under 300 possessions) holds 0.6%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 7.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value