Weber St.

BSky · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 185 · Raw net -0.3 · Tempo 69.9 · 30 Division I games · Through 2026-03-09

Record: 14–16; 14 wins
AdjNet: -2.0β; rank 205 of 365
AdjO: 110.1β; rank 134 of 365
AdjD: 112.1β; rank 271 of 365
AdjT: 69.4β
SOS: -2.0β; rank 227 of 363
NCSOS: -1.4β
WAB: -9.9β; rank 224 of 363
RR: -1.2β
Exp. W: 15.2β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	111.5110	111.8268	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	51.7163	54.5315	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	15.7118	16.3202	16.7
Offensive rebound %	31.8132	27.756	30.6
FTA / FGA %	39.275	36.4224	35.0
Shooting
3P%	34.5143	33.5162	33.9
2P%	51.6185	57.1344	51.7
FT%	72.9172	72.8207	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	32.8	38.8	39.5
Assists / FGM %	46.1	50.2	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	4.3	11.0	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	25.8	28.8	31.4
2-pointers %	52.6	51.6	48.8
Free throws %	21.6	19.6	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 8.9
Top Three Share of Minutes: 42%
Bench Share of Minutes: 35%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-08	Utah	L 89–92 1OT	85.3	Away	0–1
11-12	Utah St.	L 73–83	71.0	Away	0–2
11-15	UC Irvine	L 70–79	77.7	Away	0–3
11-19	Campbell	W 91–85	73.8	Home	1–3
11-22	UT Arlington	L 73–74	66.4	Home	1–4
11-29	Kansas City	W 82–61	68.6	Home	2–4
12-03	Oral Roberts	W 92–66	73.8	Home	3–4
12-07	St. Thomas (MN)	L 65–88	70.3	Away	3–5
12-10	Kansas City	W 64–60	74.3	Away	4–5
12-17	Utah Valley	L 74–90	65.5	Away	4–6
12-20	Utah Tech	L 80–82	66.6	Home	4–7
01-01	Portland St.	L 90–95 1OT	84.4	Home	4–8
01-03	Sacramento St.	W 95–82	77.3	Home	5–8
01-08	Northern Ariz.	W 78–65	62.7	Away	6–8
01-10	Northern Colo.	W 76–71	66.6	Away	7–8
01-15	Eastern Wash.	W 91–80	75.0	Home	8–8
01-17	Idaho	L 67–75	76.4	Home	8–9
01-22	Montana	L 65–81	64.6	Away	8–10
01-24	Montana St.	L 88–91	70.5	Away	8–11
01-31	Idaho St.	W 81–79	67.3	Home	9–11
02-02	Sacramento St.	L 90–104	78.0	Away	9–12
02-05	Northern Colo.	L 74–88	67.6	Home	9–13
02-07	Northern Ariz.	W 72–53	58.7	Home	10–13
02-12	Idaho	W 83–72	64.3	Away	11–13
02-14	Eastern Wash.	L 66–84	68.7	Away	11–14
02-19	Montana St.	W 82–79 1OT	72.8	Home	12–14
02-21	Montana	W 92–72	67.5	Home	13–14
02-28	Idaho St.	W 83–73	68.1	Away	14–14
03-02	Portland St.	L 60–84	68.9	Away	14–15
03-09	Eastern Wash.	L 79–84	69.3	Neutral	14–16

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 30 of 30 team games

Team roster, per 40 minutes
Column groups	Minutes			Per 40 Minutes							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Tijan Saine Jr.	30	33:32	82.8%	21.6	2.8	5.2	1.3	0.0	2.2	2.1	111–216	51.4%	50–140	35.7%	170–190	89.5%	52.2%	61.6%	53.4%	5	34:48 +1:16	84.9%	19.4 +1.3
Malek Gomma	30	25:56	64.0%	12.3	10.5	2.2	0.9	0.3	1.7	3.8	95–181	52.5%	2–5	40.0%†	44–95	46.3%	52.7%	52.7%	51.1%	5	29:02 +3:06	70.8%	6.0 −2.0
Viljami Vartiainen	25	30:32	62.8%	16.9	4.3	1.2	1.0	0.2	0.9	3.0	37–65	56.9%	73–172	42.4%	29–37	78.4%	61.8%	63.6%	15.6%	5	34:23 +3:51	83.9%	15.4 +2.5
Nigel Burris	30	23:45	58.6%	17.5	8.3	1.1	1.0	0.4	2.1	5.1	85–145	58.6%	18–54	33.3%	87–103	84.5%	56.3%	63.6%	51.8%	5	25:48 +2:03	62.9%	11.0 +0.6
Edwin Suarez Jr.	30	21:47	53.8%	17.1	11.1	2.1	2.3	0.9	3.6	5.4	111–212	52.4%	0–5	0.0%†	57–99	57.6%	51.2%	53.5%	45.6%	5	18:04 −3:43	44.1%	7.8 −1.5
Trevor Hennig	24	24:50	49.1%	15.4	4.4	2.5	0.9	0.3	2.5	3.0	71–131	54.2%	14–56	25.0%	45–72	62.5%	49.2%	52.4%	38.5%	5	26:26 +1:36	64.5%	12.6 +3.1
Jace Whiting	18	31:58	47.4%	13.5	4.3	3.1	1.5	0.1	1.7	2.5	50–108	46.3%	22–60	36.7%	28–34	82.4%	49.4%	53.0%	20.2%	1	14:49 −17:09	7.2%	2.0 −8.8
ArDarius Grayson	29	12:16	29.3%	10.7	4.0	3.1	2.2	0.1	2.9	3.5	22–60	36.7%†	9–37	24.3%†	24–32	75.0%	36.6%†	42.8%†	33.0%†	5	12:24 +0:07	30.2%	3.2 −0.1
Duce Paschal	29	11:46	28.1%	10.9	7.5	2.0	2.6	0.4	2.0	4.9	26–60	43.3%†	8–35	22.9%†	17–25	68.0%	40.0%†	43.9%†	26.3%†	5	14:03 +2:17	34.3%	3.4 +0.2
Declan Cutler	25	6:08	12.6%	7.6	9.1	0.5	1.0	1.6	1.6	7.3	13–20	65.0%†	0–0	—	3–7	42.9%†	65.0%†	62.8%†	35.0%†	4	7:16 +1:08	14.2%	0.0 −1.2
David Hansen	23	4:36	8.7%	10.2	8.7	0.8	0.8	0.0	2.3	6.1	0–2	0.0%†	7–24	29.2%†	6–6	100.0%†	40.4%†	47.1%†	23.1%†	3	0:29 −4:07	0.7%	0.0 −1.2
Bourgeois TshiloboFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	5	1:18	0.5%	12.3	18.5	6.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.2	1–4	25.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	25.0%†	25.0%†	0.0%†	—	—	—	—
Brady SmithFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	6	0:51	0.4%	15.8	7.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.9	0.0	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	2–2	100.0%†	0.0%†	53.2%†	200.0%†	2	0:46 −0:05	0.7%	0.0 −0.3
Team, games with logs · per 40 team minutes	30 games			77.9	34.9	12.5	not published	1.5	11.0	not published	622–1205	51.6%	203–588	34.5%	512–702	72.9%	51.7%	56.3%	39.2%
Sum of players				77.9	32.1	12.5	6.8	1.5	10.6	18.4	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0.0	+2.8	+0.0	not published	0.0	+0.4	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $220K; 80% Range $84K to $575K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $215K to $230K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Tijan Saine Jr.	82.8%	$32K	$6K to $98K	15.9%	$31K to $33K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Viljami Vartiainen	67.2%	$36K	$11K to $105K	15.3%	$35K to $37K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Malek Gomma	63.4%	$50K	$16K to $165K	20.5%	$49K to $53K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nigel Burris	59.1%	$9K	$1K to $39K	6.3%	$9K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Edwin Suarez Jr.	54.3%	$14K	$2K to $46K	8.4%	$13K to $14K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trevor Hennig	46.7%	$10K	$1K to $38K	6.4%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jace Whiting	43.0%	$15K	$3K to $48K	8.0%	$15K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
ArDarius Grayson	31.2%	$6K	$1K to $24K	3.9%	$6K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Duce Paschal	29.8%	$10K	$2K to $31K	5.5%	$10K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Declan Cutler	13.1%	$4K	$1K to $13K	2.3%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
David Hansen	8.5%	$4K	$1K to $11K	1.9%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bourgeois Tshilobo	0.5%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brady Smith	0.5%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$220K	$84K to $575K	100%	$215K to $230K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Weber State University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,223,737	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,223,737
Athletics department expenses	$19,668,633
Athletics department revenue	$19,668,633

Team Totalsβ

Season per 40 minutes, 30 games, 2,122 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Per 40 uses 1215 game minutes, 5 per overtime period. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	77.9	78.1
Field goals made	27.2	27.7
Field goals attempted	59.0	57.6
3-pointers made	6.7	7.5
3-pointers attempted	19.4	22.4
Free throws made	16.9	15.3
Free throws attempted	23.1	21.0
Offensive rebounds	11.1	9.1
Defensive rebounds	23.8	23.8
Total rebounds	34.9	32.9
Assists	12.5	13.9
Blocks	1.5	4.3
Turnovers	11.0	11.4
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 208.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 560.
Minutes (derived)	200.0	not published

30 of 30 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	2,365	2,365	0	±11.8	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	825	825	0	±4.1	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,793	1,793	0	±9.0	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	203	203	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	588	588	0	±2.9	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	512	512	0	±2.6	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	702	702	0	±3.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	1,061	976	+85	±84.9	0
Assists	Reconciled	380	379	+1	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	46	46	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	333	322	+11	±10.0	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	208	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	560	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	6,075	6,052	+23.0	±121.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Tijan Saine Jr.	82.8%	+0.4range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence
Viljami Vartiainen	67.2%	+0.9range -0.1 to +2.0Sufficient evidence
Malek Gomma	63.4%	+2.0range +1.0 to +3.0Sufficient evidence
Nigel Burris	59.1%	-1.3range -2.5 to -0.2Sufficient evidence
Edwin Suarez Jr.	54.3%	-0.3range -1.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence
Trevor Hennig	46.7%	-0.5range -1.8 to +0.5Sufficient evidence
Jace Whiting	43.0%	+0.3range -1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence
ArDarius Grayson	31.2%	-1.3range -2.6 to +0.2Sufficient evidence
Duce Paschal	29.8%	-0.1range -1.0 to +1.1Sufficient evidence
Declan Cutler	13.1%	-0.9range -1.8 to +0.2Limited evidence
David Hansen	8.5%	-0.4range -1.3 to +0.6Limited evidence
Bourgeois Tshilobo	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Brady Smith	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +9.6range +8.7 to +10.3Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 99.8% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.2%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 4.3%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value