Northern Ariz.

BSky · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 341 · Raw net -14.5 · Tempo 65.5 · 29 Division I games · Through 2026-03-07

Record: 7–22; 7 wins
AdjNet: -12.7β; rank 327 of 365
AdjO: 103.8β; rank 278 of 365
AdjD: 116.5β; rank 341 of 365
AdjT: 65.3β
SOS: -0.5β; rank 181 of 363
NCSOS: 1.4β
WAB: -16.0β; rank 328 of 363
RR: 0.2β
Exp. W: 6.8β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	104.0271	118.5351	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	51.7161	56.9355	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	16.0141	16.6180	16.7
Offensive rebound %	23.3348	33.4305	30.6
FTA / FGA %	31.8260	32.7124	35.0
Shooting
3P%	35.678	38.7362	33.9
2P%	50.7225	56.1331	51.7
FT%	68.9304	72.2165	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	36.7	40.0	39.5
Assists / FGM %	51.0	49.9	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	7.9	8.9	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	31.3	33.9	31.4
2-pointers %	51.2	49.0	48.8
Free throws %	17.5	17.2	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 10.0
Top Three Share of Minutes: 39%
Bench Share of Minutes: 41%
Players with Logged Minutes: 13

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Drake	L 71–77	69.1	Neutral	0–1
11-11	Arizona	L 49–84	71.2	Away	0–2
11-24	Cal Poly	W 93–87	79.4	Home	1–2
11-26	Southeast Mo. St.	W 79–72	69.5	Home	2–2
12-03	South Dakota St.	L 62–75	68.5	Home	2–3
12-06	North Dakota St.	L 68–69	70.7	Away	2–4
12-09	Arizona St.	L 48–73	65.1	Away	2–5
12-13	San Diego	L 69–78	66.5	Away	2–6
12-18	Southern Utah	W 65–57	64.9	Home	3–6
12-21	UIW	L 66–90	67.6	Away	3–7
01-01	Montana	L 64–78	65.4	Away	3–8
01-03	Montana St.	L 68–77	62.9	Away	3–9
01-08	Weber St.	L 65–78	62.7	Home	3–10
01-10	Idaho St.	L 79–81	64.2	Home	3–11
01-15	Sacramento St.	L 69–83	66.3	Away	3–12
01-17	Portland St.	L 52–63	61.6	Away	3–13
01-19	Montana	L 72–98	61.6	Home	3–14
01-24	Northern Colo.	W 81–77	62.2	Home	4–14
01-29	Eastern Wash.	W 92–86	64.8	Home	5–14
01-31	Idaho	L 62–79	65.4	Home	5–15
02-05	Idaho St.	W 79–73	59.4	Away	6–15
02-07	Weber St.	L 53–72	58.7	Away	6–16
02-12	Portland St.	L 68–77	63.2	Home	6–17
02-14	Sacramento St.	W 79–74	71.0	Home	7–17
02-21	Northern Colo.	L 77–78	66.6	Away	7–18
02-26	Idaho	L 58–78	60.7	Away	7–19
02-28	Eastern Wash.	L 57–88	63.5	Away	7–20
03-02	Montana St.	L 65–76	61.0	Home	7–21
03-07	Idaho St.	L 65–73	66.2	Neutral	7–22

Roster · 13 players

Player logs in 29 of 29 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Ryan Abelman	27	32:31	75.7%	294	132	48	31	4	29	53	53–121	43.8%	50–137	36.5%	38–43	88.4%	49.6%	53.1%	16.7%	5	28:42 −3:49	71.7%	7.2 −3.7
Chris Komin	28	27:14	65.7%	225	61	65	36	14	22	44	52–103	50.5%	23–61	37.7%	52–63	82.5%	52.7%	58.7%	38.4%	5	36:07 +8:53	90.3%	14.2 +6.2
Traivar Jackson	29	21:40	54.2%	196	135	23	25	29	33	90	79–138	57.2%	0–0	—	38–58	65.5%	57.2%	59.9%	42.0%	5	27:36 +5:56	69.0%	8.4 +1.6
Karl Poom	29	19:37	49.1%	250	97	31	7	1	45	63	80–141	56.7%	14–50	28.0%	48–90	53.3%	52.9%	54.2%	47.1%	5	14:49 −4:48	37.1%	5.2 −3.4
Brennan Peterson	29	19:27	48.6%	129	20	60	12	1	24	46	12–31	38.7%	30–81	37.0%	15–21	71.4%†	50.9%	53.2%	18.8%	5	17:40 −1:47	44.2%	2.0 −2.4
Isaiah Shaw	27	18:27	43.0%	208	55	15	11	15	32	49	38–82	46.3%	28–63	44.4%	48–61	78.7%	55.2%	60.5%	42.1%	5	13:50 −4:37	34.6%	5.0 −2.7
Diego Campisano	23	19:01	37.7%	167	58	13	12	3	13	29	18–41	43.9%	35–87	40.2%	26–32	81.3%	55.1%	58.8%	25.0%	5	31:00 +11:59	77.5%	11.4 +4.1
Kavon Bradford	27	15:10	35.3%	131	43	36	14	3	32	47	40–94	42.6%	4–14	28.6%†	39–60	65.0%	42.6%	48.7%	55.6%	4	5:16 −9:54	10.5%	1.0 −3.9
Arne Osojnik	26	15:25	34.6%	145	65	23	18	6	23	45	45–97	46.4%	14–53	26.4%	13–16	81.3%†	44.0%	46.2%	10.7%	5	7:55 −7:31	19.8%	3.2 −2.4
Oakland Fort	26	11:11	25.1%	69	19	37	8	1	14	17	23–42	54.8%†	7–23	30.4%†	2–5	40.0%†	51.5%†	51.3%†	7.7%†	5	16:47 +5:36	41.9%	7.0 +4.3
Zack Davidson	12	23:54	24.7%	155	56	11	8	0	22	25	63–105	60.0%	1–3	33.3%†	26–52	50.0%	59.7%	59.2%	48.1%	—	—	—	—
Erez PoranUnder 100 minutes	10	5:32	4.8%	6	10	1	2	0	2	3	3–4	75.0%†	0–6	0.0%†	0–0	—	30.0%†	30.0%†	0.0%†	1	3:46 −1:46	1.9%	0.0 −0.6
JT AmundsenFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	1	0:39	0.1%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0–0	—	0–0	—	0–0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Team, games with logs · season totals	29 games			1975	833	363	not published	78	304	not published	506–999	50.7%	206–578	35.6%	345–501	68.9%	51.7%	54.9%	31.8%
Sum of players				1975	751	363	184	77	291	511	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+82	0	not published	+1	+13	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $225K; 80% Range $86K to $590K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $190K to $245K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Ryan Abelman	76.6%	$54K	$12K to $190K	21.1%	$45K to $58K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chris Komin	65.7%	$8K	$1K to $47K	6.6%	$7K to $9K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Traivar Jackson	54.8%	$23K	$2K to $88K	11.4%	$19K to $25K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brennan Peterson	49.2%	$31K	$5K to $125K	12.3%	$25K to $33K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Karl Poom	48.2%	$7K	$1K to $35K	4.4%	$5K to $7K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Shaw	43.2%	$6K	$1K to $33K	4.4%	$5K to $7K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Diego Campisano	37.9%	$10K	$1K to $39K	6.6%	$8K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kavon Bradford	34.5%	$5K	$1K to $24K	2.9%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Arne Osojnik	34.5%	$6K	$1K to $27K	4.0%	$5K to $6K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zack Davidson	25.5%	$11K	$2K to $38K	5.8%	$10K to $13K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Oakland Fort	25.2%	$8K	$1K to $31K	4.9%	$7K to $9K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Erez Poran	4.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
JT Amundsen	0.0%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$225K	$86K to $590K	100%	$190K to $245K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Northern Arizona University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,602,632	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,602,632
Athletics department expenses	$27,075,364
Athletics department revenue	$27,075,364

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 29 games, 1,900 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	1,975	2,251
Field goals made	712	805
Field goals attempted	1,577	1,638
3-pointers made	206	254
3-pointers attempted	578	656
Free throws made	345	387
Free throws attempted	501	536
Offensive rebounds	220	307
Defensive rebounds	613	724
Total rebounds	833	1,031
Assists	363	402
Blocks	78	89
Turnovers	304	315
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 184.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 511.
Minutes (derived)	5,800	not published

29 of 29 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	1,975	1,975	0	±9.9	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	712	712	0	±3.6	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,577	1,577	0	±7.9	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	206	206	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	578	578	0	±2.9	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	345	345	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	501	501	0	±2.5	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	833	751	+82	±66.6	0
Assists	Reconciled	363	363	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	78	77	+1	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	304	291	+13	±9.1	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	184	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	511	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,800	5,782	+18.5	±116.0	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Ryan Abelman	76.6%	+0.2range -0.7 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Chris Komin	65.7%	-2.1range -3.1 to -1.0Sufficient evidence
Traivar Jackson	54.8%	-0.7range -2.0 to +0.8Sufficient evidence
Brennan Peterson	49.2%	-0.0range -1.2 to +1.2Sufficient evidence
Karl Poom	48.2%	-2.2range -3.7 to -0.9Sufficient evidence
Isaiah Shaw	43.2%	-2.1range -3.3 to -0.8Sufficient evidence
Diego Campisano	37.9%	-1.2range -2.2 to -0.1Sufficient evidence
Kavon Bradford	34.5%	-2.5range -3.6 to -1.3Sufficient evidence
Arne Osojnik	34.5%	-2.0range -3.0 to -0.8Sufficient evidence
Zack Davidson	25.5%	-0.5range -1.0 to +0.1Sufficient evidence
Oakland Fort	25.2%	-1.0range -2.1 to -0.0Sufficient evidence
Erez Poran	4.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
JT Amundsen	0.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +8.2range +7.3 to +9.0Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 99.1% of on-court time. 2 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 0.9%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 0.0%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value