Furman

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Furman, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Alex Wilkins	75.7%	+0.1range -0.7 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+5.3range +4.7 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$23KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $75KLoading
Charles Johnston	70.7%	+3.4range +2.3 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	+6.6range +5.9 to +7.3Sufficient evidence	$72KspeculativeLoading	$24K to $225KLoading
Ben Vander Wal	70.2%	+1.5range -0.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	+5.6range +4.8 to +6.5Sufficient evidence	$40KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $130KLoading
Tom House	59.7%	+1.8range +0.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	+4.9range +4.2 to +5.6Sufficient evidence	$37KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $115KLoading
Asa Thomas	52.7%	+0.3range -1.0 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.2 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $61KLoading
Cooper Bowser	50.5%	+0.7range -0.4 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+3.7range +3.2 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $65KLoading
Eddrin Bronson	44.5%	-1.2range -2.5 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.2 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $35KLoading
Cole Bowser	34.5%	+1.2range +0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.4 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$18KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $54KLoading
Abijah Franklin	17.7%	+0.3range -0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $23KLoading
Collin O'Neal	12.0%	-0.7range -1.5 to +0.3Limited evidence	+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $14KLoading
Owen Ritger	7.9%	-1.9range -2.5 to -1.3Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
Mason Smith	3.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Thomas Tillman	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $290K; 80% Range $105K to $755K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $275K to $310K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Alex Wilkins	75.7%	$23K	$4K to $75K	10.4%	$21K to $24K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Charles Johnston	70.7%	$72K	$24K to $225K	23.7%	$70K to $79K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ben Vander Wal	70.2%	$40K	$10K to $130K	14.6%	$39K to $43K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tom House	59.7%	$37K	$11K to $115K	13.1%	$35K to $40K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Asa Thomas	52.7%	$19K	$3K to $61K	8.3%	$18K to $21K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cooper Bowser	50.5%	$21K	$5K to $65K	8.8%	$20K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Eddrin Bronson	44.5%	$8K	$1K to $35K	3.8%	$7K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cole Bowser	34.5%	$18K	$5K to $54K	7.0%	$17K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Abijah Franklin	17.7%	$7K	$2K to $23K	3.2%	$7K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Collin O'Neal	12.0%	$4K	$1K to $14K	1.8%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Owen Ritger	7.9%	$3K	$1K to $9K	1.1%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mason Smith	3.8%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Thomas Tillman	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$290K	$105K to $755K	100%	$275K to $310K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Furman University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$4,052,982	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$4,052,982
Athletics department expenses	$32,623,716
Athletics department revenue	$32,623,716

Coverage and exclusions

31 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$4,052,982	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$4,052,982	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	3
2 days	1
3 or more days	27

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology