Florida A&M

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Florida A&M, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Tyler Shirley	75.7%	-2.3range -3.6 to -0.6Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.6 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $38KLoading
Jaquan Sanders	75.7%	-1.7range -2.8 to -0.6Sufficient evidence	+3.6range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $42KLoading
Jordan Chatman	65.4%	-0.8range -1.9 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +3.0 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $57KLoading
Micah Octave	61.6%	+1.7range +0.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	+4.1range +3.7 to +4.5Sufficient evidence	$49KspeculativeLoading	$14K to $180KLoading
Antonio Baker	60.4%	-0.3range -1.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +2.8 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $70KLoading
Miles Ndalama	45.8%	+0.5range -0.6 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $72KLoading
Kaleb Washington	45.4%	-1.6range -2.4 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.9 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $28KLoading
Anquan Boldin Jr.	31.9%	-2.2range -3.3 to -1.1Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $18KLoading
Lenard Taylor Jr.	14.8%	-1.7range -2.5 to -0.8Sufficient evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $10KLoading
Anthony Knowles	13.3%	-3.0range -3.7 to -2.3Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$2KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $7KLoading
Devere Palmer	6.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading
Tuscan Onuoha	1.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading
Malcom Stute	1.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading
Amir Rahman	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading
Ja'Cobi Hall	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $3KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $175K; 80% Range $64K to $470K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $165K to $180K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Tyler Shirley	75.7%	$6K	$1K to $38K	6.2%	$6K to $7K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaquan Sanders	75.7%	$8K	$1K to $42K	7.9%	$8K to $9K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Chatman	65.4%	$15K	$1K to $57K	11.8%	$14K to $16K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Micah Octave	61.6%	$49K	$14K to $180K	24.5%	$46K to $51K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Antonio Baker	60.4%	$19K	$2K to $70K	12.7%	$18K to $20K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Miles Ndalama	45.8%	$21K	$5K to $72K	11.8%	$20K to $22K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kaleb Washington	45.4%	$6K	$1K to $28K	5.5%	$6K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anquan Boldin Jr.	31.9%	$3K	$1K to $18K	2.6%	$3K to $4K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Lenard Taylor Jr.	14.8%	$3K	$1K to $10K	2.0%	$3K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anthony Knowles	13.3%	$2K	$1K to $7K	1.0%	$2K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Devere Palmer	6.3%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Tuscan Onuoha	1.8%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Malcom Stute	1.0%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Amir Rahman	0.7%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Ja'Cobi Hall	0.1%	$1K	$0 to $3K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$175K	$64K to $470K	100%	$165K to $180K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Florida Agricultural and Mechanical University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$500,000
Men's basketball expenses	$1,189,864
Athletics department expenses	$14,473,075
Athletics department revenue	$14,473,075

Coverage and exclusions

29 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$500,000	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,189,864	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	11
3 or more days	17

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology