Western Ill.

OVC · 2025–26 · Raw net rank 360 · Raw net -22.6 · Tempo 67.3 · 28 Division I games · Through 2026-02-28

Record: 2–26; 2 wins
AdjNet: -23.2β; rank 362 of 365
AdjO: 95.2β; rank 358 of 365
AdjD: 118.4β; rank 354 of 365
AdjT: 67.5β
SOS: -4.6β; rank 310 of 363
NCSOS: 0.0β
WAB: -21.6β; rank 361 of 363
RR: -1.9β
Exp. W: 3.9β

Scouting Report

Scouting report with national ranks
Category	Offense	Defense	D-I Average
Efficiency
Efficiency / 100 poss.	93.5359	116.1336	108.5
Four Factors
Effective FG%	44.5361	54.2303	51.4
TO / 100 poss.	17.5236	14.9296	16.7
Offensive rebound %	27.0293	34.8335	30.6
FTA / FGA %	37.7107	34.8170	35.0
Shooting
3P%	30.9322	35.6288	33.9
2P%	43.5361	54.6302	51.7
FT%	66.2351	70.573	72.5
Style
3PA / FGA %	33.3	34.6	39.5
Assists / FGM %	37.0	49.9	52.6
Blocks / opp. 2PA %	5.2	11.1	9.5
Point Distribution
3-pointers %	27.1	27.8	31.4
2-pointers %	51.0	53.7	48.8
Free throws %	21.9	18.5	19.8

Best · Median · Worst · Mark: further right is a better national rank, of 365 teams.

Rotation Depth

Effective Rotation Size: 9.4
Top Three Share of Minutes: 43%
Bench Share of Minutes: 36%
Players with Logged Minutes: 14

Bench: players outside the top five in minutes. Definitions

Schedule and Results

Schedule and results
Date	Opponent	Result	Poss.	Site	Record
11-03	Radford	L 75–80	62.1	Away	0–1
11-07	Iowa	L 58–77	63.0	Away	0–2
11-11	CSU Bakersfield	L 58–74	67.0	Away	0–3
11-14	California Baptist	L 59–69	62.7	Away	0–4
11-21	Coastal Carolina	L 64–84	72.7	Home	0–5
11-23	North Dakota	L 69–78	73.2	Home	0–6
12-02	Drake	L 57–108	63.8	Away	0–7
12-13	North Dakota	W 69–66 1OT	72.4	Away	1–7
12-18	Lindenwood	L 76–92	75.7	Away	1–8
12-22	SIUE	L 61–66	70.7	Home	1–9
01-01	UT Martin	L 60–67	64.0	Away	1–10
01-03	Southeast Mo. St.	L 50–73	65.2	Away	1–11
01-08	Tennessee St.	L 68–90	72.0	Home	1–12
01-10	Tennessee Tech	L 54–59	62.5	Home	1–13
01-13	Eastern Ill.	L 55–57	66.2	Away	1–14
01-17	Little Rock	L 79–86	67.5	Away	1–15
01-22	Morehead St.	L 66–71	64.3	Away	1–16
01-23	Southern Ind.	L 64–96	73.5	Away	1–17
01-29	Southeast Mo. St.	L 74–78	69.2	Home	1–18
01-31	UT Martin	L 44–84	64.8	Home	1–19
02-05	Tennessee Tech	L 72–97	61.8	Away	1–20
02-07	Tennessee St.	L 56–83	68.1	Away	1–21
02-10	Eastern Ill.	W 79–70	72.0	Home	2–21
02-12	Little Rock	L 58–77	70.9	Home	2–22
02-19	Southern Ind.	L 70–77	66.0	Home	2–23
02-21	Morehead St.	L 59–81	63.5	Home	2–24
02-26	SIUE	L 47–67	67.3	Away	2–25
02-28	Lindenwood	L 69–91	70.5	Home	2–26

Roster · 14 players

Player logs in 28 of 28 team games

Team roster, season totals
Column groups	Minutes			Season Totals							Shooting									Last Five Team Games
Player	G	MPG	Team Min%	Pts	Reb	Ast	Stl	Blk	TO	PF	2P	2P%	3P	3P%	FT	FT%	eFG%	TS%	FTA/FGA	G	MPG	Min%	Pts/G
Lucas Lorenzen	28	32:42	81.4%	408	117	24	20	3	52	62	69–138	50.0%	59–192	30.7%	93–114	81.6%	47.7%	53.7%	34.5%	5	30:23 −2:19	75.9%	11.0 −3.6
Isaiah Griffin	28	28:47	71.6%	297	88	30	19	2	46	51	69–175	39.4%	24–80	30.0%	87–120	72.5%	41.2%	48.2%	47.1%	5	19:02 −9:44	47.6%	7.0 −3.6
Makai Kvamme	28	25:09	62.6%	140	77	74	34	4	34	52	51–131	38.9%	5–27	18.5%†	23–46	50.0%	37.0%	39.3%	29.1%	5	28:45 +3:36	71.9%	4.8 −0.2
Francis Okwuosah	28	21:25	53.3%	201	100	13	17	8	24	59	31–68	45.6%	41–102	40.2%	16–22	72.7%†	54.4%	55.9%	12.9%	5	23:10 +1:45	57.9%	8.8 +1.6
Antwaun Massey	23	23:12	47.4%	190	78	21	13	17	39	65	72–148	48.6%	2–3	66.7%†	40–83	48.2%	49.7%	50.7%	55.0%	5	20:24 −2:48	51.0%	6.0 −2.3
Goanar Biliew	28	17:20	43.1%	107	62	4	8	8	25	36	27–75	36.0%†	7–17	41.2%†	32–59	54.2%	40.8%†	45.4%†	64.1%†	5	19:28 +2:08	48.7%	5.6 +1.8
Karyiek Dixon	17	26:39	40.3%	134	124	9	11	4	16	43	51–97	52.6%	1–11	9.1%†	29–40	72.5%	48.6%	53.3%	37.0%	—	—	—	—
Tyran Cook	24	14:53	31.7%	90	35	30	9	1	19	34	35–84	41.7%†	2–13	15.4%†	14–17	82.4%†	39.2%†	43.1%†	17.5%†	4	12:37 −2:16	25.2%	3.3 −0.5
Danny Stephens	15	17:21	23.1%	82	33	7	7	3	17	16	16–35	45.7%†	11–41	26.8%†	17–23	73.9%†	42.8%†	47.6%†	30.3%†	5	28:45 +11:24	71.9%	11.6 +6.1
Marcus Pigram	15	11:42	15.6%	38	17	9	1	0	10	11	8–25	32.0%†	5–25	20.0%†	7–10	70.0%†	31.0%†	34.9%†	20.0%†	4	10:13 −1:29	20.4%	0.5 −2.0
Ifiok Peter	21	6:58	13.0%	47	27	1	3	6	10	15	14–35	40.0%†	0–0	—	19–36	52.8%	40.0%†	46.2%†	102.9%†	5	5:39 −1:19	14.1%	1.2 −1.0
Nick HittleUnder 100 minutes	16	5:38	8.0%	26	19	1	0	0	5	13	6–16	37.5%†	1–1	100.0%†	11–16	68.8%†	44.1%†	54.1%†	94.1%†	4	3:16 −2:22	6.5%	0.8 −0.9
Steven TiptonUnder 100 minutes	12	4:12	4.5%	10	7	2	0	0	6	5	2–8	25.0%†	2–5	40.0%†	0–0	—	38.5%†	38.5%†	0.0%†	3	0:55 −3:16	1.4%	1.7 +0.8
Jake EdwardsFew gamesUnder 100 minutes	9	2:27	2.0%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0–1	0.0%†	0–0	—	0–0	—	0.0%†	0.0%†	0.0%†	3	3:34 +1:07	5.4%	0.0 0.0
Team, games with logs · season totals	28 games			1770	860	226	not published	56	331	not published	451–1036	43.5%	160–517	30.9%	388–586	66.2%	44.5%	48.9%	37.7%
Sum of players				1770	786	226	142	56	303	462	Shooting residuals: see Player Lines Against Team Totals.
Residual: team minus players				0	+74	0	not published	0	+28	not published

G: logged games. Team Min%: share of team minutes on court (40 per game plus overtime). 2P, 3P and FT show made–attempted. † Few attempts: under 100 FGA, 50 3PA or 25 FTA. Few G: under 10 games. <100 min: under 100 minutes. Last Five Team Games columns show change from the season value and hide on narrow screens.

Speculative Compensation · 2025–26β

Estimated share of the school's revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball. Not observed pay.

Team Pool: $175K; 80% Range $66K to $485K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $165K to $185K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Lucas Lorenzen	81.4%	$5K	$1K to $41K	5.1%	$5K to $6K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Griffin	72.7%	$4K	$1K to $29K	2.7%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Makai Kvamme	61.6%	$13K	$1K to $60K	12.1%	$12K to $13K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Francis Okwuosah	51.2%	$22K	$1K to $110K	13.2%	$20K to $23K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Antwaun Massey	48.4%	$6K	$1K to $33K	6.0%	$5K to $6K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Karyiek Dixon	45.5%	$38K	$6K to $205K	18.0%	$35K to $40K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Goanar Biliew	43.4%	$5K	$1K to $26K	4.2%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyran Cook	33.1%	$5K	$1K to $27K	5.6%	$5K to $6K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Danny Stephens	21.0%	$3K	$1K to $13K	1.9%	$3K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Marcus Pigram	14.7%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.6%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ifiok Peter	13.6%	$5K	$1K to $19K	3.5%	$4K to $5K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nick Hittle	7.8%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Steven Tipton	3.6%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jake Edwards	2.2%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$175K	$66K to $485K	100%	$165K to $185K	—

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Western Illinois University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,375,742	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,375,742
Athletics department expenses	$14,762,669
Athletics department revenue	$14,762,669

Team Totalsβ

Season totals, 28 games, 1,893 possessions. Observed box-score sums, unadjusted. Definitions

Team and opponent season totals
Statistic	Team	Opponents
Points	1,770	2,198
Field goals made	611	794
Field goals attempted	1,553	1,654
3-pointers made	160	204
3-pointers attempted	517	573
Free throws made	388	406
Free throws attempted	586	576
Offensive rebounds	272	314
Defensive rebounds	588	736
Total rebounds	860	1,050
Assists	226	396
Blocks	56	115
Turnovers	331	282
Steals	No team figure. Players sum to 142.
Personal fouls	No team figure. Players sum to 462.
Minutes (derived)	5,625	not published

28 of 28 games have player logs. Residual is team total minus sum of players. Team rebounds and team turnovers have no player owner, so a residual is expected. Definitions

Player lines against team totals
Statistic	Status	Team Total, Logged Games	Sum of Players	Residual	Tolerance	Team Total, Games Without Logs
Points	Reconciled	1,770	1,770	0	±8.8	0
Field goals made	Reconciled	611	611	0	±3.1	0
Field goals attempted	Reconciled	1,553	1,553	0	±7.8	0
3-pointers made	Reconciled	160	160	0	±2.0	0
3-pointers attempted	Reconciled	517	517	0	±2.6	0
Free throws made	Reconciled	388	388	0	±2.0	0
Free throws attempted	Reconciled	586	586	0	±2.9	0
Offensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Defensive rebounds	No player split	not published	not published	not published	not published	not published
Total rebounds	Residual shown	860	786	+74	±68.8	0
Assists	Reconciled	226	226	0	±2.0	0
Blocks	Reconciled	56	56	0	±2.0	0
Turnovers	Residual shown	331	303	+28	±9.9	0
Steals	No team figure	not published	142	not published	not published	not published
Personal fouls	No team figure	not published	462	not published	not published	not published
Minutes (derived)	Reconciled	5,625	5,599	+26.3	±112.5	0

Model-Implied Player Valueβ

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Line: zero. No graphic: insufficient evidence.

Net points per 100 possessions, in possession-share order.
Player	Poss. Share	Net and Rangeβ
Lucas Lorenzen	81.4%	-3.7range -4.9 to -2.4Sufficient evidence
Isaiah Griffin	72.7%	-4.6range -5.8 to -3.3Sufficient evidence
Makai Kvamme	61.6%	-1.8range -2.7 to -0.7Sufficient evidence
Francis Okwuosah	51.2%	-0.9range -2.0 to +0.3Sufficient evidence
Antwaun Massey	48.4%	-2.8range -4.1 to -1.3Sufficient evidence
Karyiek Dixon	45.5%	-0.1range -1.5 to +1.3Sufficient evidence
Goanar Biliew	43.4%	-3.1range -4.2 to -1.8Sufficient evidence
Tyran Cook	33.1%	-2.1range -3.1 to -1.0Sufficient evidence
Danny Stephens	21.0%	-3.5range -4.5 to -2.4Sufficient evidence
Marcus Pigram	14.7%	-3.5range -4.7 to -2.2Limited evidence
Ifiok Peter	13.6%	-1.2range -2.0 to -0.5Limited evidence
Nick Hittle	7.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Steven Tipton	3.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence
Jake Edwards	2.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence

Team Aggregate of Player Values, 2026β

Summary of the player values below. Split role: descriptive: not used in fit or gates. Model nil-value-v3. Definitions · NIL Methodology

Average value over five on-court slots, net points per 100 possessions: +6.7range +5.7 to +7.8Sufficient evidence

200 joint draws. The range is the 10th to 90th percentile. Player ranges cannot be added.

11 valued players hold 97.3% of on-court time. 3 without a value (under 300 possessions) hold 2.7%, counted at replacement level -9.5. Limited-evidence players hold 5.6%.

NIL Methodology · Scheduling and Model-Implied Value