Southern Miss

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Southern Miss, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Tylik Weeks	85.0%	+1.4range +0.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+6.8range +6.1 to +7.4Sufficient evidence	$51KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $145KLoading
Dylan Brumfield	77.9%	+0.4range -0.7 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+5.7range +5.0 to +6.5Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $92KLoading
Djahi Binet	68.8%	+2.1range +1.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	+5.9range +5.4 to +6.5Sufficient evidence	$56KspeculativeLoading	$19K to $170KLoading
Curt Lewis	57.0%	+0.4range -0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+4.3range +3.7 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $68KLoading
Israel Hart	52.3%	-0.9range -2.2 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +2.9 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$12KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $45KLoading
Isaac Taveras	42.8%	+1.2range +0.5 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +3.2 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$25KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $72KLoading
Chiante Tramble	29.1%	+0.3range -1.4 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.9 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$12KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $40KLoading
Tegra Izay	24.8%	+1.3range +0.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.8 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $45KLoading
Brewer Carruth	23.4%	-2.5range -4.1 to -0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.3range +0.9 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $15KLoading
Dalyn Brandon	12.0%	-0.9range -1.6 to -0.3Limited evidence	+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading
Fallou Diagne	10.4%	-0.9range -1.9 to -0.0Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading
Felipe Patino	6.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
IJ Ezuma	4.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Robert Cowherd	3.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
EJ Paymon	3.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $260K; 80% Range $97K to $690K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $235K to $270K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Tylik Weeks	85.0%	$51K	$17K to $145K	19.0%	$46K to $53K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Brumfield	77.9%	$30K	$6K to $92K	13.6%	$27K to $31K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Djahi Binet	68.8%	$56K	$19K to $170K	19.7%	$50K to $58K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Curt Lewis	57.0%	$22K	$4K to $68K	10.0%	$19K to $22K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Israel Hart	52.3%	$12K	$1K to $45K	6.3%	$10K to $12K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaac Taveras	42.8%	$25K	$8K to $72K	9.4%	$22K to $26K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chiante Tramble	29.1%	$12K	$2K to $40K	5.3%	$10K to $12K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tegra Izay	24.8%	$15K	$5K to $45K	5.8%	$14K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brewer Carruth	23.4%	$4K	$1K to $15K	1.4%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dalyn Brandon	12.0%	$4K	$1K to $12K	1.7%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Fallou Diagne	10.4%	$4K	$1K to $12K	1.6%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Felipe Patino	6.1%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
IJ Ezuma	4.2%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Robert Cowherd	3.3%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
EJ Paymon	3.0%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$260K	$97K to $690K	100%	$235K to $270K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Southern Mississippi (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,393,354	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,393,354
Athletics department expenses	$31,875,542
Athletics department revenue	$31,875,542

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (85%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

5 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,393,354	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,393,354	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	4
2 days	7
3 or more days	21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	7
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology