Idaho

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Idaho, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Jackson Rasmussen	77.5%	+2.0range +0.8 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	+7.1range +6.2 to +7.8Sufficient evidence	$44KspeculativeLoading	$15K to $130KLoading
Biko Johnson	71.4%	+0.5range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+5.7range +4.8 to +6.4Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $73KLoading
Kolton Mitchell	71.0%	+1.4range +0.4 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+6.2range +5.5 to +6.8Sufficient evidence	$33KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $94KLoading
Brody Rowbury	63.1%	+1.3range +0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+5.5range +4.9 to +6.1Sufficient evidence	$29KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $85KLoading
Isaiah Brickner	50.9%	+1.6range +0.2 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	+4.5range +3.9 to +5.3Sufficient evidence	$27KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $83KLoading
Jack Payne	50.6%	-0.1range -1.4 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.2 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $42KLoading
Seth Joba	41.2%	-0.6range -1.9 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $32KLoading
Trevon Blassingame	40.3%	+0.2range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+3.2range +2.8 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $40KLoading
Miles Klapper	22.0%	+1.1range -0.2 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.6 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $31KLoading
Aidan Sevilla	7.1%	-0.9range -1.7 to -0.1Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
Ewan Steele	3.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Kristian Gonzalez	1.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $225K; 80% Range $84K to $600K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $195K to $240K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jackson Rasmussen	77.5%	$44K	$15K to $130K	18.5%	$39K to $47K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Biko Johnson	71.4%	$22K	$4K to $73K	12.0%	$19K to $24K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kolton Mitchell	71.0%	$33K	$10K to $94K	14.6%	$29K to $35K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brody Rowbury	63.1%	$29K	$9K to $85K	13.1%	$25K to $30K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Brickner	50.9%	$27K	$8K to $83K	11.4%	$23K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jack Payne	50.6%	$13K	$2K to $42K	7.2%	$11K to $13K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Seth Joba	41.2%	$9K	$1K to $32K	5.2%	$8K to $9K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trevon Blassingame	40.3%	$13K	$3K to $40K	6.9%	$11K to $14K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Miles Klapper	22.0%	$11K	$3K to $31K	4.9%	$9K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Aidan Sevilla	7.1%	$3K	$1K to $9K	1.4%	$2K to $3K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ewan Steele	3.3%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Kristian Gonzalez	1.4%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$225K	$84K to $600K	100%	$195K to $240K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Idaho (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,627,433	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,627,433
Athletics department expenses	$23,432,394
Athletics department revenue	$23,432,394

Coverage and exclusions

33 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$1,627,433	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,627,433	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	12
3 or more days	18

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology