Aidan Sevilla
Idaho · 2025–26 · 20 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
94:59 minutes logged Under 100 minutes
- Games logged
- 20
- Minutes per game
- 4:45
- Points per game
- 1.2
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 0.6 / 0.5
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 10.1 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| Season totals | 24 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 9–23 | 39.1%† | 1.1 | 9.7 |
| 2P | 7–13 | 53.8%† | 0.7 | 5.5 |
| 3P | 2–10 | 20.0%† | 0.5 | 4.2 |
| FT | 4–5 | 80.0%† | 0.3 | 2.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.5%† | 47.6%† | 43.5%† | 21.7%† | 1.50 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Idaho · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $3K
- 80% range $1K to $9K
- Median share of team pool
- 1.4%
- team pool $225K, 80% range $84K to $600K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $2K to $3K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 7.1%
- Limited evidence
- Limited evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Idaho: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Idaho | $3Kspeculative | $1K to $9K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.9 | -1.7 to -0.1 | Limited evidence | -0.3 | -0.6 | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.5 | 323 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 6:43 | 4:45 | 0:02–20:44 | |
| Points | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0–10.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 24.7% | 26.1% | 0.0%–90.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Houston | L 47–78 | 2:41 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-08 | Montana St. | W 78–74 | 0:03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-03-07 | Sacramento St. | W 68–45 | 3:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-02 | Eastern Wash. | W 85–81 | 20:44 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 90.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Northern Colo. | L 67–76 | 6:53 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | Northern Ariz. | W 78–58 | 11:00 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-21 | Sacramento St. | W 86–80 | 0:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-19 | Portland St. | L 67–77 | 1:22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-14 | Idaho St. | W 99–69 | 3:50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-12 | Weber St. | L 72–83 | 3:11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-29 | Northern Colo. | L 83–91 | 6:05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Portland St. | L 66–69 | 4:22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | Sacramento St. | W 86–76 | 20:26 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 87.5% |
| 2026-01-17 | Weber St. | W 75–67 | 2:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-10 | Montana St. | W 92–89 | 1:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-03 | Eastern Wash. | W 84–81 | 0:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-21 | Cal Poly | W 83–80 | 0:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-03 | North Dakota | W 90–58 | 3:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-28 | Sam Houston | L 68–94 | 1:44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | — |
| 2025-11-15 | UC San Diego | L 67–75 | 1:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |