Wichita St

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Wichita St, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Kenyon Giles	89.9%	+2.9range +2.0 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+8.2range +7.3 to +8.9Sufficient evidence	$145KspeculativeLoading	$62K to $345KLoading
Karon Boyd	83.9%	+2.6range +1.4 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+7.4range +6.5 to +8.4Sufficient evidence	$130KspeculativeLoading	$52K to $310KLoading
Michael Gray Jr.	66.7%	+2.4range +1.3 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+5.8range +5.0 to +6.5Sufficient evidence	$98KspeculativeLoading	$37K to $235KLoading
Will Berg	52.1%	+4.9range +3.7 to +6.4Sufficient evidence	+5.4range +4.8 to +6.0Sufficient evidence	$145KspeculativeLoading	$58K to $380KLoading
TJ Williams	51.0%	+1.5range +0.1 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	+4.0range +3.5 to +4.6Sufficient evidence	$60KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $150KLoading
Emmanuel Okorafor	42.7%	-0.4range -1.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	$27KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $84KLoading
Dillon Battie	40.7%	+2.4range +1.2 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +3.1 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$62KspeculativeLoading	$24K to $155KLoading
Dre Kindell	40.1%	+0.3range -1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$31KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $91KLoading
Brian Amuneke	18.6%	-0.3range -1.6 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $43KLoading
Jaret Valencia	6.9%	-1.4range -2.3 to -0.5Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $21KLoading
Noah Hill	5.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$6Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$3K to $15KLoading
Henry Thengvall	1.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$6Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$3K to $15KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $775K; 80% Range $345K to $1.75M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $735K to $885K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

The widest scenario range, $390K to $2.00M, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Kenyon Giles	89.9%	$145K	$62K to $345K	18.9%	$140K to $170K	$6K	Sufficient evidence
Karon Boyd	83.9%	$130K	$52K to $310K	17.3%	$125K to $150K	$6K	Sufficient evidence
Michael Gray Jr.	66.7%	$98K	$37K to $235K	13.1%	$94K to $115K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Will Berg	52.1%	$145K	$58K to $380K	17.2%	$135K to $165K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
TJ Williams	51.0%	$60K	$17K to $150K	8.6%	$56K to $68K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Emmanuel Okorafor	42.7%	$27K	$5K to $84K	4.3%	$25K to $31K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dillon Battie	40.7%	$62K	$24K to $155K	8.4%	$59K to $71K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dre Kindell	40.1%	$31K	$7K to $91K	4.9%	$30K to $36K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brian Amuneke	18.6%	$15K	$4K to $43K	2.2%	$14K to $17K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaret Valencia	6.9%	$9K	$3K to $21K	1.2%	$8K to $10K	$6K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Noah Hill	5.9%	$6K	$3K to $15K	0.8%	$6K to $7K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Henry Thengvall	1.5%	$6K	$3K to $15K	0.8%	$6K to $7K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$775K	$345K to $1.75M	100%	$735K to $885K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Wichita State University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$6,755,672	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$6,755,672
Athletics department expenses	$35,040,868
Athletics department revenue	$37,215,080

Coverage and exclusions

33 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$6,755,672	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$6,755,672	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	3
2 days	2
3 or more days	29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology