UNLV

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for UNLV, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	84.5%	+0.7range -0.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+5.8range +5.2 to +6.4Sufficient evidence	$130KspeculativeLoading	$38K to $325KLoading
Kimani Hamilton	71.3%	+1.9range +0.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	+5.5range +4.8 to +6.1Sufficient evidence	$170KspeculativeLoading	$60K to $445KLoading
Howie Fleming Jr.	66.3%	+2.1range +0.6 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	+5.3range +4.5 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$170KspeculativeLoading	$64K to $420KLoading
Tyrin Jones	60.3%	+1.1range -0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+4.4range +3.8 to +4.9Sufficient evidence	$110KspeculativeLoading	$33K to $285KLoading
Issac Williamson	51.9%	-0.8range -1.8 to +0.3Sufficient evidence	+3.2range +2.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$43KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $140KLoading
Walter Brown	49.7%	+1.2range -0.1 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+3.7range +3.2 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	$100KspeculativeLoading	$30K to $280KLoading
Jacob Bannarbie	37.6%	+2.0range +0.8 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.7 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	$98KspeculativeLoading	$38K to $275KLoading
Emmanuel Stephen	25.6%	-0.3range -1.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$32KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $89KLoading
Al Green	24.0%	-0.3range -1.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $84KLoading
Naas Cunningham	20.9%	-0.5range -1.7 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$26KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $71KLoading
Ladji Dembele	6.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$8Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$3K to $19KLoading
Jalen Cunningham	1.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$8Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$3K to $19KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $1.00M; 80% Range $435K to $2.25M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $800K to $1.10M; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	84.5%	$130K	$38K to $325K	15.1%	$105K to $140K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kimani Hamilton	71.3%	$170K	$60K to $445K	16.2%	$135K to $180K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Howie Fleming Jr.	66.3%	$170K	$64K to $420K	15.7%	$135K to $180K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyrin Jones	60.3%	$110K	$33K to $285K	11.6%	$86K to $120K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Issac Williamson	51.9%	$43K	$6K to $140K	5.7%	$34K to $47K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Walter Brown	49.7%	$100K	$30K to $280K	10.3%	$80K to $110K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jacob Bannarbie	37.6%	$98K	$38K to $275K	9.2%	$78K to $105K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Emmanuel Stephen	25.6%	$32K	$7K to $89K	3.9%	$25K to $34K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Al Green	24.0%	$30K	$7K to $84K	3.7%	$24K to $33K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Naas Cunningham	20.9%	$26K	$6K to $71K	3.2%	$20K to $28K	$8K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ladji Dembele	6.9%	$8K	$3K to $19K	0.8%	$6K to $9K	$8K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalen Cunningham	1.0%	$8K	$3K to $19K	0.8%	$6K to $9K	$8K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$1.00M	$435K to $2.25M	100%	$800K to $1.10M	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Nevada-Las Vegas (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$10,002,990
Men's basketball expenses	$5,338,081
Athletics department expenses	$74,767,674
Athletics department revenue	$77,272,658

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 34 games passed lineup acceptance (88%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

4 of 34 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$10,002,990	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$5,338,081	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	1
3 or more days	30

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology