UCLA

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for UCLA, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Donovan Dent	84.6%	+3.0range +2.0 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	+6.7range +6.0 to +7.2Sufficient evidence	$630KspeculativeLoading	$400K to $970KLoading
Trent Perry	69.9%	+2.0range +0.9 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	+5.0range +4.4 to +5.6Sufficient evidence	$395KspeculativeLoading	$185K to $615KLoading
Tyler Bilodeau	66.9%	+4.2range +2.9 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	+5.8range +5.1 to +6.4Sufficient evidence	$655KspeculativeLoading	$425K to $1.15MLoading
Eric Dailey Jr.	65.5%	+2.4range +0.4 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	+4.9range +4.0 to +5.7Sufficient evidence	$430KspeculativeLoading	$185K to $730KLoading
Skyy Clark	50.9%	+3.9range +2.4 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	+4.3range +3.7 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$475KspeculativeLoading	$305K to $800KLoading
Xavier Booker	49.1%	+0.3range -1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$190KspeculativeLoading	$35K to $350KLoading
Jamar Brown	39.2%	+1.1range -0.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$190KspeculativeLoading	$56K to $320KLoading
Brandon Williams	29.0%	+1.1range -0.5 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.6 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	$145KspeculativeLoading	$42K to $250KLoading
Steven Jamerson II	23.3%	+2.1range +0.8 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.5 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	$155KspeculativeLoading	$81K to $250KLoading
Eric Freeny	20.0%	+1.9range +0.8 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.3 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	$135KspeculativeLoading	$69K to $205KLoading
Anthony Peoples Jr.	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Jack Seidler	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Christian Horry	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.60M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Donovan Dent	84.6%	$630K	$400K to $970K	17.5%	$630K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Trent Perry	69.9%	$395K	$185K to $615K	11.7%	$395K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Tyler Bilodeau	66.9%	$655K	$425K to $1.15M	17.6%	$655K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Eric Dailey Jr.	65.5%	$430K	$185K to $730K	12.3%	$430K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Skyy Clark	50.9%	$475K	$305K to $800K	12.7%	$475K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Xavier Booker	49.1%	$190K	$35K to $350K	5.7%	$190K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jamar Brown	39.2%	$190K	$56K to $320K	5.6%	$190K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Brandon Williams	29.0%	$145K	$42K to $250K	4.3%	$145K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Steven Jamerson II	23.3%	$155K	$81K to $250K	4.5%	$155K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Eric Freeny	20.0%	$135K	$69K to $205K	3.9%	$135K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Anthony Peoples Jr.	0.6%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jack Seidler	0.5%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Christian Horry	0.5%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.60M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of California-Los Angeles (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$17,799,741	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$17,799,741
Athletics department expenses	$173,429,394
Athletics department revenue	$173,429,394

Coverage and exclusions

34 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$17,799,741	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$17,799,741	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched by a manual override chosen by the model author. Its checks (IPEDS identity, state, home-venue city) confirm only that the pick is self-consistent. They are not independent proof that this school is the same program. If the match were wrong, these figures would belong to a different school.manual EADA match, not independently verified

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	1
3 or more days	31

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology