Santa Clara

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Santa Clara, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Elijah Mahi	76.5%	+3.9range +2.3 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	+6.8range +5.8 to +7.7Sufficient evidence	$150KspeculativeLoading	$60K to $370KLoading
Christian Hammond	74.3%	+2.6range +1.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+5.9range +5.2 to +6.7Sufficient evidence	$110KspeculativeLoading	$42K to $260KLoading
Jake Ensminger	65.1%	+5.1range +4.0 to +6.2Sufficient evidence	+6.2range +5.7 to +6.8Sufficient evidence	$170KspeculativeLoading	$70K to $425KLoading
Allen Graves	55.9%	+3.9range +2.9 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	+4.8range +4.3 to +5.3Sufficient evidence	$120KspeculativeLoading	$49K to $280KLoading
Brenton Knapper	53.6%	+2.2range +1.1 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	+4.0range +3.5 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$70KspeculativeLoading	$24K to $170KLoading
Sash Gavalyugov	47.9%	+0.7range -0.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.5 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$44KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $125KLoading
Bukky Oboye	46.3%	+1.2range +0.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.7 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	$47KspeculativeLoading	$14K to $120KLoading
Thierry Darlan	42.7%	+0.9range -0.2 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$42KspeculativeLoading	$12K to $115KLoading
KJ Cochran	27.9%	-0.8range -1.9 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$18KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $57KLoading
Francis Chukwudebelu	9.4%	+1.9range +1.1 to +2.6Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence	$18KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $41KLoading
Brendan Yarusso	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$7Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$3K to $18KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $840K; 80% Range $365K to $1.90M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $825K to $860K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 11; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Elijah Mahi	76.5%	$150K	$60K to $370K	17.5%	$145K to $155K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christian Hammond	74.3%	$110K	$42K to $260K	13.9%	$110K to $115K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jake Ensminger	65.1%	$170K	$70K to $425K	19.4%	$170K to $175K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Allen Graves	55.9%	$120K	$49K to $280K	13.6%	$115K to $120K	$7K	Sufficient evidence
Brenton Knapper	53.6%	$70K	$24K to $170K	9.3%	$69K to $72K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Sash Gavalyugov	47.9%	$44K	$11K to $125K	6.3%	$43K to $45K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bukky Oboye	46.3%	$47K	$14K to $120K	6.5%	$46K to $48K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Thierry Darlan	42.7%	$42K	$12K to $115K	6.0%	$42K to $44K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
KJ Cochran	27.9%	$18K	$5K to $57K	2.5%	$18K to $19K	$7K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Francis Chukwudebelu	9.4%	$18K	$7K to $41K	2.2%	$18K in all four	$7K	Limited evidence
Brendan Yarusso	0.5%	$7K	$3K to $18K	0.9%	$7K in all four	$7K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$840K	$365K to $1.90M	100%	$825K to $860K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Santa Clara University (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$5,977,436	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$5,977,436
Athletics department expenses	$43,090,786
Athletics department revenue	$43,090,786

Coverage and exclusions

32 of 34 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 34 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$5,977,436	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$5,977,436	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	3
2 days	3
3 or more days	27

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology