Samford

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Samford, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Jadin Booth	86.0%	+1.5range +0.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+6.1range +5.5 to +6.7Sufficient evidence	$41KspeculativeLoading	$13K to $120KLoading
Cade Norris	77.3%	-0.2range -1.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence	+4.7range +3.9 to +5.5Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $72KLoading
Keaton Norris	75.2%	+2.4range +1.0 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+5.8range +5.0 to +6.4Sufficient evidence	$49KspeculativeLoading	$16K to $140KLoading
Dylan Faulkner	62.7%	+4.1range +2.8 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	+5.5range +5.0 to +6.1Sufficient evidence	$68KspeculativeLoading	$21K to $220KLoading
Isaiah Campbell-Finch	53.0%	-0.9range -1.8 to +0.1Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $38KLoading
Kam Martin	41.3%	-1.6range -3.1 to -0.1Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $28KLoading
Zion Wilburn	38.5%	-0.8range -2.7 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$8KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $31KLoading
Jaxon Pollard	27.2%	+0.3range -0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+1.8range +1.5 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$10KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $31KLoading
Will Shaver	21.0%	-1.8range -3.1 to -0.7Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $15KLoading
Judson Bjornstad	13.8%	-3.2range -4.1 to -2.2Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
Caleb Harrison	2.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Corey Brown	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Zach Lamey	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $250K; 80% Range $93K to $665K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $235K to $285K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 3 floor only

The widest scenario range, $105K to $770K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jadin Booth	86.0%	$41K	$13K to $120K	17.6%	$39K to $48K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cade Norris	77.3%	$19K	$2K to $72K	10.5%	$19K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Keaton Norris	75.2%	$49K	$16K to $140K	19.1%	$46K to $57K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dylan Faulkner	62.7%	$68K	$21K to $220K	25.1%	$63K to $78K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Campbell-Finch	53.0%	$9K	$1K to $38K	5.2%	$9K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kam Martin	41.3%	$6K	$1K to $28K	3.0%	$6K to $7K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Zion Wilburn	38.5%	$8K	$1K to $31K	4.4%	$8K to $10K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaxon Pollard	27.2%	$10K	$2K to $31K	4.7%	$9K to $11K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Will Shaver	21.0%	$4K	$1K to $15K	1.7%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Judson Bjornstad	13.8%	$3K	$1K to $9K	1.1%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Caleb Harrison	2.4%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Corey Brown	0.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Zach Lamey	0.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$250K	$93K to $665K	100%	$235K to $285K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Samford University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$3,671,957
Men's basketball expenses	$3,532,803
Athletics department expenses	$23,874,973
Athletics department revenue	$27,116,621

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$3,671,957	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$3,532,803	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	8
3 or more days	20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	4
Longest run of consecutive away games	3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology