Marist

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Marist, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Jadin Collins-Roberts	76.1%	+1.0range -0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	+5.6range +4.8 to +6.5Sufficient evidence	$26KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $78KLoading
Rhyjon Blackwell	74.6%	+1.1range -0.0 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	+5.6range +4.9 to +6.5Sufficient evidence	$28KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $85KLoading
Justin Menard	73.8%	+2.3range +0.9 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+6.1range +5.4 to +7.1Sufficient evidence	$41KspeculativeLoading	$13K to $125KLoading
Elijah Lewis	57.4%	+2.3range +1.1 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	+4.8range +4.2 to +5.3Sufficient evidence	$32KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $93KLoading
Jaden Daughtry	53.4%	+0.8range -0.4 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.3 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$18KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $58KLoading
Parby Kabamba	41.5%	+2.1range +1.2 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +3.0 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$23KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $68KLoading
Myles Parker	35.7%	+2.0range +1.0 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $54KLoading
Jason Schofield	35.0%	+2.5range +1.4 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	+2.9range +2.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $63KLoading
Jordan Gabriel	13.2%	+0.5range -0.5 to +1.6Limited evidence	+0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Limited evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $15KLoading
Trace Salton	11.9%	-0.0range -0.6 to +0.6Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.7 to +0.8Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading
Martin Kawa	11.7%	+0.0range -0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence	+0.7range +0.7 to +0.8Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading
Tarik Watson	9.8%	-0.6range -1.5 to +0.1Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $10KLoading
Ricky McKenzie	4.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Antoni Vlogianitis	1.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $245K; 80% Range $89K to $650K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $235K to $250K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 14; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jadin Collins-Roberts	76.1%	$26K	$7K to $78K	12.6%	$25K to $27K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rhyjon Blackwell	74.6%	$28K	$7K to $85K	13.0%	$27K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Justin Menard	73.8%	$41K	$13K to $125K	16.2%	$40K to $42K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Elijah Lewis	57.4%	$32K	$11K to $93K	12.8%	$31K to $33K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Daughtry	53.4%	$18K	$4K to $58K	8.9%	$18K to $19K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Parby Kabamba	41.5%	$23K	$7K to $68K	9.1%	$22K to $24K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Myles Parker	35.7%	$19K	$6K to $54K	7.7%	$18K to $19K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jason Schofield	35.0%	$22K	$7K to $63K	8.4%	$21K to $22K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jordan Gabriel	13.2%	$5K	$2K to $15K	2.4%	$5K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trace Salton	11.9%	$4K	$1K to $12K	1.9%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Martin Kawa	11.7%	$4K	$1K to $12K	2.0%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tarik Watson	9.8%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.5%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ricky McKenzie	4.9%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Antoni Vlogianitis	1.0%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$245K	$89K to $650K	100%	$235K to $250K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Marist University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,629,385	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,629,385
Athletics department expenses	$23,818,446
Athletics department revenue	$23,818,446

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,629,385	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,629,385	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	8
3 or more days	20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology