Long Beach St

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Long Beach St, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Petar Majstorovic	76.7%	+1.2range +0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+4.6range +4.2 to +5.1Sufficient evidence	$63KspeculativeLoading	$20K to $210KLoading
Gavin Sykes	70.7%	-0.2range -1.0 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.4 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	$28KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $88KLoading
Rob Diaz	56.7%	+0.4range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.8 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $110KLoading
Shaquil Bender	53.3%	-2.5range -3.9 to -1.3Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +1.8 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $33KLoading
Isaiah Lewis	52.4%	+0.4range -0.7 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.8 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$28KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $99KLoading
Cole Farrell	51.8%	-2.4range -3.5 to -1.2Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +1.8 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $33KLoading
Leopold Levillain	50.2%	-0.2range -1.2 to +0.7Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$20KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $64KLoading
Shay Johnson Jr.	37.8%	-0.8range -1.9 to +0.2Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.8 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $42KLoading
Dallas Washington	21.4%	-3.8range -5.2 to -2.6Sufficient evidence	+0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading
Christian Jones	12.9%	-0.4range -1.2 to +0.5Limited evidence	+0.8range +0.7 to +0.8Limited evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $20KLoading
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	8.3%	-2.6range -3.3 to -1.8Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
JJ Chaikovsky	8.0%	-0.7range -1.3 to -0.1Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $12KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $245K; 80% Range $92K to $675K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $240K to $250K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Petar Majstorovic	76.7%	$63K	$20K to $210K	23.0%	$62K to $64K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Gavin Sykes	70.7%	$28K	$4K to $88K	13.6%	$27K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rob Diaz	56.7%	$30K	$6K to $110K	12.7%	$29K to $30K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Shaquil Bender	53.3%	$6K	$1K to $33K	2.6%	$6K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Lewis	52.4%	$28K	$7K to $99K	11.7%	$28K to $29K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cole Farrell	51.8%	$6K	$1K to $33K	2.8%	$6K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Leopold Levillain	50.2%	$20K	$3K to $64K	9.7%	$20K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Shay Johnson Jr.	37.8%	$11K	$2K to $42K	6.2%	$11K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dallas Washington	21.4%	$3K	$1K to $12K	1.2%	$3K in all four	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christian Jones	12.9%	$6K	$2K to $20K	3.1%	$6K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	8.3%	$3K	$1K to $9K	1.2%	$3K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
JJ Chaikovsky	8.0%	$4K	$1K to $12K	1.9%	$4K in all four	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$245K	$92K to $675K	100%	$240K to $250K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, California State University-Long Beach (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,541,381	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,541,381
Athletics department expenses	$27,320,150
Athletics department revenue	$28,274,188

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

3 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,541,381	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,541,381	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched by a manual override chosen by the model author. Its checks (IPEDS identity, state, home-venue city) confirm only that the pick is self-consistent. They are not independent proof that this school is the same program. If the match were wrong, these figures would belong to a different school.manual EADA match, not independently verified

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	9
3 or more days	20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology