Kansas

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Kansas, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Melvin Council Jr.	86.6%	+4.4range +3.3 to +5.7Sufficient evidence	+8.7range +8.0 to +9.5Sufficient evidence	$690KspeculativeLoading	$450K to $1.05MLoading
Flory Bidunga	78.4%	+7.6range +5.9 to +9.4Sufficient evidence	+9.6range +8.5 to +10.7Sufficient evidence	$1.05MspeculativeLoading	$650K to $2.05MLoading
Tre White	78.2%	+2.4range +1.2 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	+6.8range +5.9 to +7.4Sufficient evidence	$395KspeculativeLoading	$165K to $630KLoading
Bryson Tiller	65.5%	+2.5range +0.9 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	+5.7range +4.9 to +6.4Sufficient evidence	$335KspeculativeLoading	$115K to $555KLoading
Darryn Peterson	51.8%	+2.8range +1.5 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	+4.7range +4.0 to +5.3Sufficient evidence	$300KspeculativeLoading	$140K to $475KLoading
Jamari McDowell	42.8%	+1.5range -0.3 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +2.8 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	$190KspeculativeLoading	$49K to $335KLoading
Elmarko Jackson	42.4%	+0.8range -0.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.2range +2.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$155KspeculativeLoading	$33K to $285KLoading
Kohl Rosario	22.7%	+0.5range -0.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$84KspeculativeLoading	$27K to $160KLoading
Jayden Dawson	14.3%	+0.9range -0.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	$66KspeculativeLoading	$27K to $115KLoading
Paul Mbiya	7.2%	+1.0range +0.4 to +1.6Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$46KspeculativeLoading	$24K to $74KLoading
Samis Calderon	4.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$23Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$13K to $37KLoading
Nginyu Ngala	2.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$23Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$13K to $37KLoading
Wilder Evers	1.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$23Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$13K to $37KLoading
Justin Cross	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$23Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$13K to $37KLoading
Will Thengvall	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$23Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$13K to $37KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Melvin Council Jr.	86.6%	$690K	$450K to $1.05M	19.1%	$690K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Flory Bidunga	78.4%	$1.05M	$650K to $2.05M	29.0%	$1.05M in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Tre White	78.2%	$395K	$165K to $630K	11.8%	$395K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Bryson Tiller	65.5%	$335K	$115K to $555K	10.0%	$335K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Darryn Peterson	51.8%	$300K	$140K to $475K	9.0%	$300K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Jamari McDowell	42.8%	$190K	$49K to $335K	5.7%	$190K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Elmarko Jackson	42.4%	$155K	$33K to $285K	4.5%	$155K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kohl Rosario	22.7%	$84K	$27K to $160K	2.5%	$84K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Jayden Dawson	14.3%	$66K	$27K to $115K	2.0%	$66K in all four	$23K	Sufficient evidence
Paul Mbiya	7.2%	$46K	$24K to $74K	1.3%	$46K in all four	$23K	Limited evidence
Samis Calderon	4.6%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Nginyu Ngala	2.7%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Wilder Evers	1.4%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Justin Cross	0.9%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Will Thengvall	0.5%	$23K	$13K to $37K	0.7%	$23K in all four	$23K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Kansas (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$21,918,945
Men's basketball expenses	$19,732,078
Athletics department expenses	$159,866,627
Athletics department revenue	$173,669,277

Coverage and exclusions

34 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$21,918,945	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$19,732,078	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	3
2 days	4
3 or more days	27

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology