Jordan Clayton
Northwestern · 2025–26 · 31 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
563:02 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 31
- Minutes per game
- 18:10
- Points per game
- 3.9
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 1.7 / 1.4
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 3.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Per 40 minutes | 8.5 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.5 |
| Season totals | 120 | 53 | 42 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 64 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 40–97 | 41.2%† | 3.1 | 6.9 |
| 2P | 8–19 | 42.1%† | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| 3P | 32–78 | 41.0% | 2.5 | 5.5 |
| FT | 8–15 | 53.3%† | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.7%† | 57.9%† | 80.4%† | 15.5%† | 3.00 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Northwestern · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $405K
- 80% range $245K to $745K
- Median share of team pool
- 10.8%
- team pool $3.60M, 80% range $2.55M to $4.90M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $405K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $27K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 42.0%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Northwestern: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Northwestern | $405Kspeculative | $245K to $745K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +3.2 | +1.7 to +4.1 | Sufficient evidence | +1.5 | +1.7 | +3.4range +2.9 to +3.7 | 1,756 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Northwestern | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.3 | -1.5 to +0.6 | Sufficient evidence | -0.1 | -0.2 | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0 | 701 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Northwestern | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -4.6 | -5.5 to -3.5 | Limited evidence | -3.4 | -1.2 | +0.1range +0.0 to +0.3 | 531 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 23:43 | 18:10 | 5:25–34:00 | |
| Points | 7.0 | 3.9 | 0.0–20.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 88.0% | 51.5% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Purdue | L 68–81 | 22:43 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 71.4% |
| 2026-03-11 | Indiana | W 74–61 | 18:58 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 83.3% |
| 2026-03-10 | Penn St. | W 76–66 | 22:06 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 125.0% |
| 2026-03-07 | Minnesota | L 66–67 | 30:37 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 60.0% |
| 2026-03-04 | Purdue | L 66–70 | 24:11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Oregon | W 63–62 | 14:11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | Indiana | W 72–68 | 6:22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | Maryland | W 78–74 | 24:51 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6-8 | 6-7 | 2-4 | 112.5% |
| 2026-02-14 | Nebraska | L 49–68 | 20:48 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-11 | Michigan | L 75–87 | 13:15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-02-08 | Iowa | L 70–76 | 9:50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-04 | Illinois | L 44–84 | 5:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | Washington | L 62–76 | 13:20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-29 | Penn St. | W 94–73 | 19:25 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | UCLA | L 64–71 | 24:08 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 90.0% |
| 2026-01-21 | Southern California | W 74–68 | 16:37 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Nebraska | L 58–77 | 9:13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | Illinois | L 68–79 | 7:04 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-11 | Rutgers | L 75–77 | 34:00 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-08 | Michigan St. | L 66–76 | 20:28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Minnesota | L 78–84 | 25:08 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | Howard | W 80–60 | 25:25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-20 · NCAA | Butler | L 58–61 | 18:54 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2025-12-16 | Valparaiso | W 86–70 | 26:03 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025-12-13 | Jackson St. | W 93–53 | 23:17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 30.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Ohio St. | L 82–86 | 21:43 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | Wisconsin | L 73–85 | 22:56 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 58.3% |
| 2025-11-14 | DePaul | W 81–79 | 5:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-10 | Cleveland St. | W 110–63 | 9:55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-07 | Boston U. | W 76–52 | 6:59 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | Mercyhurst | W 70–47 | 19:31 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |