Dior Johnson
Tarleton St. · 2025–26 · 19 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
487:11 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 19
- Minutes per game
- 25:38
- Points per game
- 23.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.2 / 1.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 23.5 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 36.7 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Season totals | 447 | 61 | 31 | 22 | 2 | 41 | 44 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 140–269 | 52.0% | 14.2 | 22.1 |
| 2P | 113–219 | 51.6% | 11.5 | 18.0 |
| 3P | 27–50 | 54.0% | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| FT | 140–165 | 84.8% | 8.7 | 13.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 65.4% | 18.6% | 61.3% | 0.76 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Tarleton St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $26K
- 80% range $7K to $86K
- Median share of team pool
- 9.7%
- team pool $270K, 80% range $100K to $735K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $24K to $27K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 43.7%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Tarleton St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Tarleton St | $26Kspeculative | $7K to $86K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.7 | -0.2 to +1.8 | Sufficient evidence | +3.3 | -2.5 | +2.6range +2.3 to +3.0 | 1,742 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | UCF | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.5 | -2.9 to -0.2 | Sufficient evidence | +0.2 | -1.7 | +0.7range +0.5 to +0.8 | 839 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 28:41 | 25:38 | 0:49–37:16 | |
| Points | 23.8 | 23.5 | 0.0–42.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 43.6% | 56.4% | 28.6%–75.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Abilene Christian | L 78–84 | 32:25 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 12-14 | 47.1% |
| 2026-03-05 | UT Arlington | L 60–65 | 29:33 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 56.3% |
| 2026-02-28 | California Baptist | L 67–82 | 29:33 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 41.2% |
| 2026-02-26 | Utah Valley | L 72–79 | 30:18 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 5-8 | 45.0% |
| 2026-01-21 | UT Arlington | L 64–71 | 21:35 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-17 | Utah Tech | L 71–75 | 17:48 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-15 | Southern Utah | L 105–106 | 26:52 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13-22 | 4-4 | 10-12 | 68.2% |
| 2026-01-08 | Abilene Christian | L 80–84 | 33:38 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 15-15 | 47.4% |
| 2026-01-03 | California Baptist | W 81–76 | 29:04 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 15-20 | 63.3% |
| 2026-01-01 | Utah Valley | L 85–91 | 32:21 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12-21 | 3-5 | 9-12 | 64.3% |
| 2025-12-29 | UT Arlington | W 69–63 | 9:08 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-19 | Florida A&M | W 78–54 | 14:10 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 75.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | Mississippi Val. | W 88–64 | 37:16 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 70.0% |
| 2025-11-20 | Rice | W 90–74 | 34:37 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 52.9% |
| 2025-11-14 | Baylor | L 81–94 | 31:01 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 17-24 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | Merrimack | W 76–62 | 21:11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | A&M-Corpus Christi | W 85–77 | 33:10 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9-16 | 4-5 | 10-12 | 68.8% |
| 2025-11-05 | LSU | L 60–96 | 0:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-03 | SMU | L 76–96 | 22:42 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 62.5% |