Kael Robinson
Northern Ky. · 2025–26 · 28 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
748:53 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 28
- Minutes per game
- 26:45
- Points per game
- 13.9
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 4.5 / 1.3
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 13.9 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 20.8 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 3.8 |
| Season totals | 389 | 126 | 36 | 19 | 15 | 44 | 71 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 131–305 | 43.0% | 10.9 | 16.3 |
| 2P | 68–138 | 49.3% | 4.9 | 7.4 |
| 3P | 63–167 | 37.7% | 6.0 | 8.9 |
| FT | 64–79 | 81.0% | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.3% | 57.2% | 54.8% | 25.9% | 0.82 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
N Kentucky · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $34K
- 80% range $11K to $105K
- Median share of team pool
- 14.4%
- team pool $225K, 80% range $82K to $600K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $31K to $39K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 60.9%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
N Kentucky: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | N Kentucky | $34Kspeculative | $11K to $105K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +2.2 | +1.1 to +3.3 | Sufficient evidence | +0.7 | +1.5 | +5.3range +4.8 to +6.0 | 2,606 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 28:27 | 26:45 | 17:05–33:32 | |
| Points | 17.6 | 13.9 | 3.0–29.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 57.4% | 53.2% | 0.0%–107.1% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Wright St. | L 90–103 | 30:07 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 72.7% |
| 2026-03-08 | Green Bay | W 96–76 | 32:34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 61.8% |
| 2026-03-04 | Oakland | W 85–84 | 23:00 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Wright St. | L 91–92 | 30:13 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-25 | Cleveland St. | W 81–70 | 26:21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 40.0% |
| 2026-02-22 | Youngstown St. | L 58–64 | 29:17 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3-15 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 26.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | Purdue Fort Wayne | W 87–71 | 17:05 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-01 | Oakland | L 65–76 | 33:32 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 53.8% |
| 2026-01-30 | Detroit Mercy | L 77–90 | 26:33 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0-14 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Wright St. | L 80–88 | 20:49 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-17 | Robert Morris | L 89–92 | 28:00 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 12.5% |
| 2026-01-15 | Detroit Mercy | W 96–71 | 23:18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-11 | Green Bay | L 78–80 | 24:26 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 18.8% |
| 2026-01-09 | Milwaukee | W 85–67 | 30:38 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9-17 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 79.4% |
| 2026-01-04 | Youngstown St. | W 94–79 | 26:48 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 55.0% |
| 2026-01-01 | IU Indy | W 81–72 | 18:51 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 42.9% |
| 2025-12-29 | Robert Morris | W 79–77 | 23:50 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 62.5% |
| 2025-12-21 | Col. of Charleston | L 74–85 | 31:46 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6-16 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 53.1% |
| 2025-12-17 | Oakland | L 77–82 | 32:32 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 68.8% |
| 2025-12-13 | Bellarmine | W 80–76 | 23:19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 83.3% |
| 2025-12-06 | Purdue Fort Wayne | L 77–79 | 30:31 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8-16 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 56.3% |
| 2025-12-03 | Cleveland St. | W 95–80 | 20:07 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 107.1% |
| 2025-11-29 | Boston U. | W 74–65 | 27:46 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 44.4% |
| 2025-11-26 · NCAA | Wofford | W 93–83 | 20:42 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 57.1% |
| 2025-11-24 | Eastern Ky. | W 82–71 | 33:05 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 70.8% |
| 2025-11-20 | Central Mich. | W 90–66 | 25:36 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 80.0% |
| 2025-11-12 | ETSU | L 63–75 | 25:49 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 29.2% |
| 2025-11-08 | Tennessee | L 56–95 | 32:18 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 53.8% |