DJ Armstrong
UMBC · 2025–26 · 31 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season
Logged performance
1015:11 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 31
- Minutes per game
- 32:45
- Points per game
- 13.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.1 / 2.1
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 13.5 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 16.5 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Season totals | 420 | 95 | 64 | 24 | 9 | 30 | 48 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 134–289 | 46.4% | 9.3 | 11.4 |
| 2P | 50–87 | 57.5%† | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| 3P | 84–202 | 41.6% | 6.5 | 8.0 |
| FT | 68–74 | 91.9% | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.9% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 25.6% | 2.13 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
UMBC · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $0 (assumed opted out)
- 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)
- Tier
- Low and other
- low evidence
This school did not opt in to House-settlement revenue sharing (Sportico, 2025-07-18), so its modelled pool is exactly zero. Other schools may also have opted out; they are treated as opted in. Assumption "opt-out list": one press article names schools that did not opt in; it is unverified and other schools may differ. Speculative, not observed pay.
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
UMBC: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
No modelled Team Pool (opted out). Enter a pool of your own.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UMBC | $0 (assumed opted out) | 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data) | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +3.3 | +2.2 to +4.5 | Sufficient evidence | +1.6 | +1.7 | +6.1range +5.3 to +6.9 | 3,043 | Prior built from the box-score line only, without a prior-season value. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 31:02 | 32:45 | 23:07–41:18 | |
| Points | 16.8 | 13.5 | 7.0–33.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 77.1% | 61.3% | 33.3%–113.6% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Howard | L 83–86 | 35:10 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 59.1% |
| 2026-03-14 | Vermont | W 74–59 | 35:43 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-11 | 7-9 | 8-9 | 113.6% |
| 2026-03-10 | UMass Lowell | W 91–69 | 32:44 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 58.3% |
| 2026-03-07 | New Hampshire | W 84–69 | 28:28 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 68.8% |
| 2026-03-03 | NJIT | W 91–52 | 23:07 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 85.7% |
| 2026-02-28 | UMass Lowell | W 84–60 | 30:36 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-26 | Bryant | W 70–58 | 31:31 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-21 | UAlbany | W 66–62 | 33:24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-19 | Vermont | W 75–62 | 32:24 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 38.9% |
| 2026-02-14 | New Hampshire | W 85–63 | 26:39 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | Maine | W 78–62 | 28:38 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 40.9% |
| 2026-02-05 | Binghamton | W 79–62 | 32:37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 70.8% |
| 2026-01-31 | UAlbany | W 68–65 | 35:25 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 45.0% |
| 2026-01-29 | Vermont | L 55–64 | 33:33 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-24 | UMass Lowell | W 79–56 | 34:29 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 79.2% |
| 2026-01-22 | NJIT | W 87–74 | 33:24 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-19 | Binghamton | W 78–60 | 34:41 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 35.7% |
| 2026-01-15 | Bryant | L 74–79 | 39:58 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7-18 | 5-16 | 1-1 | 52.8% |
| 2026-01-10 | New Hampshire | W 75–74 | 35:40 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 92.9% |
| 2026-01-08 | Maine | W 69–62 | 33:30 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 37.5% |
| 2025-12-29 | Coppin St. | W 93–59 | 29:15 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10-16 | 8-14 | 3-3 | 87.5% |
| 2025-12-21 | South Fla. | L 69–94 | 29:42 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 45.0% |
| 2025-12-12 | Army West Point | L 60–63 | 34:31 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-15 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 46.7% |
| 2025-12-09 | Buffalo | L 79–83 | 34:37 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 44.4% |
| 2025-12-06 | Bucknell | W 73–66 | 32:26 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 62.5% |
| 2025-12-03 | Georgetown | L 81–90 | 32:11 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 41.7% |
| 2025-11-29 | Delaware St. | W 71–57 | 34:01 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 60.0% |
| 2025-11-19 | George Washington | L 52–89 | 26:41 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 80.0% |
| 2025-11-16 · NCAA | Wagner | W 71–70 | 41:18 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | Morgan St. | W 81–79 | 34:00 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Dayton | L 71–77 | 34:48 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 81.3% |