Ace Valentine
UMBC · 2025–26 · 30 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
983:45 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 30
- Minutes per game
- 32:47
- Points per game
- 12.0
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 4.0 / 3.8
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Per 40 minutes | 14.7 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Season totals | 361 | 120 | 114 | 26 | 1 | 41 | 36 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 128–253 | 50.6% | 8.4 | 10.3 |
| 2P | 88–145 | 60.7% | 4.8 | 5.9 |
| 3P | 40–108 | 37.0% | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| FT | 65–85 | 76.5% | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.5% | 62.2% | 42.7% | 33.6% | 2.78 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
UMBC · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $0 (assumed opted out)
- 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)
- Tier
- Low and other
- low evidence
This school did not opt in to House-settlement revenue sharing (Sportico, 2025-07-18), so its modelled pool is exactly zero. Other schools may also have opted out; they are treated as opted in. Assumption "opt-out list": one press article names schools that did not opt in; it is unverified and other schools may differ. Speculative, not observed pay.
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
UMBC: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
No modelled Team Pool (opted out). Enter a pool of your own.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UMBC | $0 (assumed opted out) | 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data) | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +2.6 | +1.3 to +4.1 | Sufficient evidence | +1.9 | +0.7 | +5.8range +4.9 to +6.5 | 3,074 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | UMBC | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.2 | -1.6 to +1.1 | Sufficient evidence | +0.6 | -0.8 | +2.6range +2.1 to +3.3 | 2,405 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | UMBC | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.2 | +0.1 to +2.4 | Sufficient evidence | +0.1 | +1.1 | +3.3range +2.7 to +3.9 | 2,539 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 32:49 | 32:47 | 23:48–39:47 | |
| Points | 14.0 | 12.0 | 4.0–23.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 59.1% | 59.8% | 14.3%–112.5% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Howard | L 83–86 | 35:55 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 66.7% |
| 2026-03-14 | Vermont | W 74–59 | 37:14 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 30.0% |
| 2026-03-10 | UMass Lowell | W 91–69 | 32:40 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 54.2% |
| 2026-03-07 | New Hampshire | W 84–69 | 31:28 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 86.4% |
| 2026-03-03 | NJIT | W 91–52 | 26:47 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 58.3% |
| 2026-02-28 | UMass Lowell | W 84–60 | 31:02 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 65.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | Bryant | W 70–58 | 36:29 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 65.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | UAlbany | W 66–62 | 34:53 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 45.5% |
| 2026-02-19 | Vermont | W 75–62 | 30:33 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | New Hampshire | W 85–63 | 27:33 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-12 | Maine | W 78–62 | 32:30 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 72.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | Binghamton | W 79–62 | 35:20 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 70.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | UAlbany | W 68–65 | 33:32 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-29 | Vermont | L 55–64 | 34:43 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 14.3% |
| 2026-01-24 | UMass Lowell | W 79–56 | 33:34 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-22 | NJIT | W 87–74 | 34:49 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-19 | Binghamton | W 78–60 | 33:54 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 81.3% |
| 2026-01-15 | Bryant | L 74–79 | 39:47 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | New Hampshire | W 75–74 | 36:03 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-08 | Maine | W 69–62 | 34:38 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 36.4% |
| 2025-12-29 | Coppin St. | W 93–59 | 33:15 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 95.0% |
| 2025-12-21 | South Fla. | L 69–94 | 32:31 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 71.4% |
| 2025-12-12 | Army West Point | L 60–63 | 33:48 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-6 | 37.5% |
| 2025-12-09 | Buffalo | L 79–83 | 35:59 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 59.1% |
| 2025-12-06 | Bucknell | W 73–66 | 23:48 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 112.5% |
| 2025-12-03 | Georgetown | L 81–90 | 30:42 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 64.3% |
| 2025-11-29 | Delaware St. | W 71–57 | 26:01 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 66.7% |
| 2025-11-19 | George Washington | L 52–89 | 27:01 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | Morgan St. | W 81–79 | 35:05 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 44.4% |
| 2025-11-08 | Dayton | L 71–77 | 32:11 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 45.5% |