Justin Begg
Sam Houston · 2025–26 · 20 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
534:32 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 20
- Minutes per game
- 26:44
- Points per game
- 9.9
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.5 / 3.5
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 9.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
| Per 40 minutes | 14.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 3.0 |
| Season totals | 199 | 51 | 70 | 14 | 3 | 69 | 40 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 70–176 | 39.8% | 8.8 | 13.2 |
| 2P | 39–84 | 46.4%† | 4.2 | 6.3 |
| 3P | 31–92 | 33.7% | 4.6 | 6.9 |
| FT | 28–38 | 73.7% | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6% | 51.6% | 52.3% | 21.6% | 1.01 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Sam Houston St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $18K
- 80% range $4K to $58K
- Median share of team pool
- 7.8%
- team pool $265K, 80% range $96K to $730K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $15K to $19K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 43.6%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Sam Houston St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Sam Houston St | $18Kspeculative | $4K to $58K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.9 | -0.6 to +2.4 | Sufficient evidence | +0.2 | +0.7 | +3.4range +2.9 to +4.0 | 1,911 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | George Mason | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.2 | -1.4 to +1.1 | Sufficient evidence | +0.0 | -0.2 | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.1 | 943 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 26:43 | 26:44 | 16:23–37:19 | |
| Points | 8.0 | 9.9 | 2.0–20.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 53.0% | 47.2% | 14.3%–90.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | UTEP | W 70–66 | 21:52 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 90.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | Louisiana Tech | W 83–67 | 23:12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 38.9% |
| 2026-01-28 | Missouri St. | W 80–71 | 31:26 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Western Ky. | W 73–58 | 28:50 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 30.0% |
| 2026-01-21 | Kennesaw St. | W 93–87 | 28:13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 56.3% |
| 2026-01-17 | FIU | W 76–63 | 27:02 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 44.4% |
| 2026-01-14 | Jacksonville St. | W 77–62 | 28:58 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 71.4% |
| 2026-01-10 | Liberty | L 74–82 | 32:59 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-08 | Delaware | W 72–60 | 22:08 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-04 | Middle Tenn. | L 67–68 | 16:23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 2026-01-02 | Western Ky. | L 91–102 | 25:32 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 65.0% |
| 2025-12-21 | New Mexico St. | L 78–87 | 26:40 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 60.0% |
| 2025-12-17 | Oregon St. | W 85–75 | 26:16 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Texas Southern | W 82–70 | 19:49 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 14.3% |
| 2025-12-02 | Oklahoma St. | L 83–93 | 24:52 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 35.7% |
| 2025-11-28 | Idaho | W 94–68 | 27:33 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 59.1% |
| 2025-11-26 | Idaho St. | W 84–81 | 37:19 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 38.5% |
| 2025-11-19 | Wyoming | W 78–70 | 27:00 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | Utah | L 79–85 | 30:09 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 46.4% |
| 2025-11-07 | Texas Tech | L 77–98 | 28:19 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 50.0% |