CJ Hardy
CSU Bakersfield · 2025–26 · 20 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
578:39 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 20
- Minutes per game
- 28:56
- Points per game
- 12.3
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.8 / 3.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 12.3 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Per 40 minutes | 16.9 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Season totals | 245 | 75 | 61 | 26 | 7 | 50 | 44 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 78–183 | 42.6% | 9.2 | 12.7 |
| 2P | 58–118 | 49.2% | 5.9 | 8.2 |
| 3P | 20–65 | 30.8% | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| FT | 69–84 | 82.1% | 4.2 | 5.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.1% | 55.7% | 35.5% | 45.9% | 1.22 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
CS Bakersfield · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $13K
- 80% range $1K to $54K
- Median share of team pool
- 9.3%
- team pool $205K, 80% range $72K to $540K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $12K to $15K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 49.6%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
CS Bakersfield: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CS Bakersfield | $13Kspeculative | $1K to $54K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -1.2 | -2.3 to -0.1 | Sufficient evidence | -0.1 | -1.0 | +1.7range +1.4 to +1.9 | 2,012 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 30:35 | 28:56 | 16:17–40:00 | |
| Points | 9.8 | 12.3 | 0.0–23.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 42.6% | 44.3% | 0.0%–70.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Cal Poly | L 76–108 | 24:55 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 66.7% |
| 2026-03-05 | CSUN | L 84–86 | 38:06 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 44.4% |
| 2026-02-28 | Long Beach St. | L 87–88 | 40:00 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 5-9 | 58.3% |
| 2026-02-26 | UC San Diego | L 72–84 | 16:17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Cal St. Fullerton | L 80–88 | 33:38 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 43.3% |
| 2026-02-19 | UC Riverside | L 65–93 | 18:57 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-03 | UC Davis | W 81–79 | 16:58 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-01 | UC Irvine | L 77–81 | 27:15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 36.7% |
| 2025-12-23 | Idaho | W 64–63 | 35:21 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 63.3% |
| 2025-12-13 | Pepperdine | L 62–70 | 38:37 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 33.3% |
| 2025-12-11 | North Dakota St. | L 69–80 | 27:32 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 44.4% |
| 2025-12-06 · NCAA | UC Santa Barbara | L 84–109 | 28:00 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 65.4% |
| 2025-12-04 | CSUN | L 66–87 | 35:11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 30.8% |
| 2025-11-30 | Fresno St. | W 76–71 | 28:16 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 45.5% |
| 2025-11-25 | Florida St. | L 59–89 | 18:45 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-22 | Mississippi Val. | W 86–70 | 32:35 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-17 | Portland St. | L 80–93 | 31:40 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 61.1% |
| 2025-11-14 | Ole Miss | L 60–82 | 32:40 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 70.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | Western Ill. | W 74–58 | 30:54 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 54.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | California | L 60–87 | 23:02 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 40.0% |